-
LIVE: St Kilda v Western Bulldogs - 7:30PM Thu
Squiggle tips Saints at 51% chance -- What's your tip? -- Team line-ups »
AFL 2020 - AFL Round 7
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
- Tagged users None
squeaky1000
Team Captain
- Apr 30, 2018
- 368
- 870
- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
You're having a shocking run so your answer is to try and hit a 23-1 multi? Not sure there's a whole lot of strategy to your punting by the looks of things
Hey mate why do you waste the time manually doing this for every game when you know the margins are awful? Punting on total team points brackets is one of the easiest way to hand over your money to the bookies. Also think its clogs up this message board abit so would appreciate if you could reduce the posting of it, or maybe make your own separate thread for your bets and analysis?
- Oct 6, 2011
- 32,916
- 9,964
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
OK no problem. I just thought it might be useful but if you aren't happy with it, I'll stop it.
Just think the effort you put into it could be better spent on more +EV markets like goal scorers, disposals, fantasy bets.
- Sep 25, 2013
- 14,440
- 22,026
- AFL Club
- Sydney
- Other Teams
- Norwich City, Detroit Pistons
I've taken a swipe at Ryder 4+
- Mar 27, 2018
- 7,215
- 18,871
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
- Other Teams
- Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Also like Zak Jones with the outside speed element.
O72.5 Fantasy $1.85 - lads
Averaging 75 for the year, but this includes a 36 where he got injured and only played 48% TOG. Take this away & he’s averaging 85 which is around where I think the line should be
O72.5 Fantasy $1.85 - lads
Averaging 75 for the year, but this includes a 36 where he got injured and only played 48% TOG. Take this away & he’s averaging 85 which is around where I think the line should be
- Sep 17, 2014
- 1,152
- 1,292
- AFL Club
- West Coast
Lonie 1.77
Kent 1.95
Already on Ryder 2.75 and Chance Jones 3.30 but odds gone there.
Kent 1.95
Already on Ryder 2.75 and Chance Jones 3.30 but odds gone there.
PieBeast
Brownlow Medallist
2 multis on BE alive, both into Saints at the line, neither was placed using bonus bets, no cash out offers.
Any particular reason you boys can think of?
Any particular reason you boys can think of?
hedge on Adelaide?
Same thing.
squeaky1000
Team Captain
- Apr 30, 2018
- 368
- 870
- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
SGM: Steele, Laird, Smith, B Crouch 15+, M Crouch 20+ $2.15
Ross under 20 disp $1.80
Billings under 22.5 disp $1.88
Ross under 20 disp $1.80
Billings under 22.5 disp $1.88
Bit of fun:
Membrey 2+ goals
King 2+ goals
Chayce Jones AGS
Jarryn Geary AGS
Jack Billings AGS
Hunter Clark 15+ disposals
OB to $118 on SB
Membrey 2+ goals
King 2+ goals
Chayce Jones AGS
Jarryn Geary AGS
Jack Billings AGS
Hunter Clark 15+ disposals
OB to $118 on SB
yousnoozeyoulose
Debutant
- Sep 7, 2011
- 129
- 89
- AFL Club
- Fremantle
Speaking of Geary, anyone have any info on him? Is he playing that forward role again like he did against Carlton?
He's $3.75 AGS @ Lads
He's $3.75 AGS @ Lads
- Mar 27, 2018
- 7,215
- 18,871
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
- Other Teams
- Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
I think he will be playing down back tonight, crows don’t have anybody to tag, Laird isn’t damaging enough off HB to go to. Also Long is out so Geary will be needed to straighten up the backline & with Ryder in they are essentially playing 3 tall, Geary included would make them a tad slow IMO.
- May 20, 2016
- 7,457
- 11,219
- AFL Club
- GWS
who do we reckon talia goes to tonight? King or Membrey?
PieBeast
Brownlow Medallist
one multi 565 collect, the other 210, was hoping to get and take out around 300 cash out offer on the bigger one and let the smaller bet ride.
Hedging would net me 300 profit either way and most likely slightly more than cash out.
Guess you're right, was hoping to have some interest in the game but.
decisions, decisions....
- Mar 28, 2012
- 2,206
- 3,563
- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
- Other Teams
- Pittsburgh Steelers Perth Scorchers
King would be my choice
So if saints win you get $775, adelaide paying $3.5, put $200 on adelaide, collect $700 or $775 if saint win.
Not sure what it cost you in the first place? I often just put a small amount on the outsider for small profit, better then a loss.(like $50-$100)
- May 20, 2016
- 7,457
- 11,219
- AFL Club
- GWS
where abouts is the $34 for first any quarter?
PieBeast
Brownlow Medallist
Yeah 775 collect for 50 dollar outlay but I have Saints at the line -18.5, so need to chuck 400 on Crows at the line to make 300 either way.
- Oct 6, 2011
- 32,916
- 9,964
- AFL Club
- GWS
- Other Teams
- Patriots, Golden State, Wildcats
Im just not a fan of betting on short odds all the time- in fact I used to ignore bets involving multis. ( I would rarely touch them) My ratio of straight single bets : multis bets was something along the lines of 95% single bets: 5% multi bets in the past. I bet on odds whether it be straight up bets at around even money to multis going at whatever odds these days (range this weekend i think was $3- $100). This 'Same Game Multi' has added another dimension to betting, as 15 years ago, you couldn't do something like this. At 23/1 its supposed to be a bit of a hit and giggle. I have other bets on the match as well, and Im traditionally an 'in-play/live betting' kind of guy. Like to watch a quarter or two before betting on some markets. My Pre-game odds are mainly based on stats and previous history of past encounters.
I personally feel, there is more money to bet made in 'in-play betting' as a sport like AFL can be volatile and see-sawing with: Match Odds, Total Points lines, Quarter by Quarter, Goalscorer markets etc
Last edited:
- Jun 13, 2016
- 2,334
- 20,544
- AFL Club
- Essendon
Talia usually plays on the deepest fwd which lately has been King.
Talia is also, size wise, a better matchup for King.
Which is why I like Membrey to get off the chain.
2+ $2.45
3+ $5.75
Membrey more goals than Lynch $2.25 (9 for the year vs. 4)
Lads
Kicked 3 last year against the crows from membrey.
