2020 AFLW Season Betting Thread

[freo_leo29]

Yeah sorry, I was experimenting how much I could get on but realised I ruined the odds on a few goalkickers. Won't touch the market now as B365 seem to think I am some kind of market mover lol

 

[NYRB]

ROUND 3 AFLW

St.Kilda 5.60 v 1.17 Melbourne
Bulldogs 2.50 v 1.62 Carlton
Gold Coast 3.35 v 1.36 Brisbane
Fremantle 1.47 v 2.88 Collingwood
GWS 1.33 v 3.50 West Coast
Richmond 4.80 v 1.25 North Melbourne
Geelong 3.25 v 1.37 Adelaide

There is for value on 3 underdogs this week: Collingwood, West Coast and Geelong.

Earlier in the week I priced Freo around 1.60 favourites at Fremantle Oval but 1.47 is too short in my books. West Coast I feel is a 50 50 chance against GWS. Geelong haven't played too badly in their 2 losses and Adelaide took until the final quarter last week to turn things around against the lowly Saints.

 

[NYRB]

The Current Handicap lines for this week:

St.Kilda +19.5 pts v -19.5pts Melbourne
Bulldogs +4.5 pts v -4.5 pts Carlton
Gold Coast +11.5 pts v -11.5 Pts Brisbane
Freo -8.5 pts v +8.5 pts Collingwood
GWS -12.5 pts v +12.5 pts West Coast
Richmond +17.5 pts v -17.5 pts North
Geelong +11.5 pts v -11.5 pts Adelaide

 

[NYRB]

Like the looking of St.Kilda +19.5 pts x West Coast +12.5 pts x Geelong +11.5 pts at around $7.00 or so.

or

St.Kilda +19.5 pts x Collingwood +8.5 pts x Geelong +11.5 pts at around $7.00 or so.

and for a giggle a 12/1 shot

St.Kilda +19.5 pts x Collingwood +8.5 pts x West Coast +12.5 pts x Geelong +11.5 pts

and a hail mary paying $154.69

St.Kilda Win x Collingwood Win x West Coast win x Geelong win

 

[Benjo_]

Here we go again, surely it couldn't happen 2 weeks in a row...
Ruby Schleicher (Collingwood)
AGS $10.50
FGS $50 B365

She's back in the team this week and named starting at Full-Forward. Almost a carbon copy situation of Jordyn Allen, where a player previously playing as a defender is named at Full-Forward. I'm no magician but these odds are way off

You get on in time?

 

[NonPhixion]

You get on in time?

I always get on before I post here

Here's one more for the lads:
Kalinda Howarth
AGS $7.50 - B365
FGS $34 - SB

Same scenario, starting Full-Forward...

 

[Benjo_]

I always get on before I post here

Here's one more for the lads:
Kalinda Howarth
AGS $7.50 - B365
FGS $34 - SB

Same scenario, starting Full-Forward...

Think there may be a bit of rain floating around for that game although still looks value if she's parked in the goal square and stays there all day

Bodey in the same game is $7 anytime and she's kicked a goal for the last 2 games. Also like Tester for Eagles who kicked a goal last game and is at $6. All these chicks starting forward btw

 

[NonPhixion]

Think there may be a bit of rain floating around for that game although still looks value if she's parked in the goal square and stays there all day

Bodey in the same game is $7 anytime and she's kicked a goal for the last 2 games. Also like Tester for Eagles who kicked a goal last game and is at $6. All these chicks starting forward btw

Reading my mind haha

 

[benji21]

Tonights game a tough one, Looks like they've caught on to the totals. Still leaning over, thinking total will be 55 - 70 points.
Melb should win comfortably but saints have shown a bit and thats a big line!

 

[NYRB]

Match points line for Saints v Demons is 59.5 points if anyone is interested

 

[NYRB]

Georgia Patrikios number 21 for the Saints

I may have misheard things but does anyone know why commentators Call her “doctor”?

 

[Red Dog Styles]

Match points line for Saints v Demons is 59.5 points if anyone is interested

Yeah im on this for over, you're thoughts?

On SM-G930F using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Red Dog Styles]

Yeah im on this for over, you're thoughts?

On SM-G930F using BigFooty.com mobile app

Oh boy

On SM-G930F using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Robo87]

Think there may be a bit of rain floating around for that game although still looks value if she's parked in the goal square and stays there all day

Bodey in the same game is $7 anytime and she's kicked a goal for the last 2 games. Also like Tester for Eagles who kicked a goal last game and is at $6. All these chicks starting forward btw

wow yea, in comparison- Bodey ags is @1.75 on BE ...
Some of those same forwards might be worth a small nibble on 2g+ also, eg. bodey / horwarth / tester all 2g+ @29 b365
1u bodey ags @7.00
0.2u bodey 2g+@29
0.5u Horwarth ags @7.50
0.1u Horwarth 2g+ @29

 

[NonPhixion]

Brooke Lochland AGS $4.33 - SB
Good odds for a proven goal-kicker. Should get here chances today

 

[benji21]

Waiting on the totals elsewhere to go up. But freo/pies, 52.5 at sportsbet seems real low.

 

[Robo87]

0.3u multi- Brooke Lochland ags, Bodey ags, Roxanne Roux (freo) ags, Emma King(nrth) ags @85 b365

 

[NYRB]

QTR TIME

Bulldogs Womens 6-19 Carlton Womens


QTR TIME ODDS

Bulldogs 4.10 v 1.22 Carlton

 

[NYRB]

does anyone find Georgia Patrikios hot or is it just me?

 

[NYRB]

HALF TIME

Bulldogs Womens 15-19 Carlton Womens

HALF TIME ODDS

Bulldogs Women 2.60 v 1.50 Carlton Womens

 

[NYRB]

LIVE 3RD QTR MARGIN

Bulldogs Women v Carlton Women

Bulldogs Women by 7 points + $6.50
Bulldogs Women by 1-6 points $4.25
Draw $11
Carlton Women by 1-6 points $3.10
Carlton Womens by 7 points + $2.50

 

[NYRB]

LIVE 3RD QTR MARGIN

Bulldogs Women v Carlton Women

Bulldogs Women by 7 points + $6.50
Bulldogs Women by 1-6 points $4.25
Draw $11
Carlton Women by 1-6 points $3.10
Carlton Womens by 7 points + $2.50

Those are disgusting margins by the TAB! That's around a 20.26% margin for the bookies .


Should be around $1 more for those selections. I'd have those odds around:


Bulldogs Women by 7 points + $7.50
Bulldogs Women by 1-6 points $5.25
Draw $12
Carlton Women by 1-6 points $4.10
Carlton Womens by 7 points + $2.80

 

[NonPhixion]

does anyone find Georgia Patrikios hot or is it just me?

She ain’t too bad.
abbatangelo is pretty tidy I rekon

 

[NYRB]

She ain’t too bad.
abbatangelo is pretty tidy I rekon

going to quickly instagram her

 

[NYRB]

3/4 TIME:
Bulldogs Women 15-33 Carlton Women

3/4 TIME ODDS:
Bulldogs Women 8.00 v 1.07 Carlton Women