AFL 2020 Brownlow Medal

[NonPhixion]

Is Caleb Daniel any chance to win dogs most votes ? $101
Every time I look he’s in the mix but probably just confirmation bias

probably shouldn’t be $101, but I still wouldn’t bother. Don’t think he’s much better than a 5-10% chance

 

[jack 231]

Sitting on a pretty large Pendlebury most Collingwood votes bet which will unravel if Adams outpolls Pendlebury tonight. I don’t think the bookies have factored in Pendles round 15 performance which I’ll keep up my sleeve

 

[Gazza Guru]

Sitting on a pretty large Pendlebury most Collingwood votes bet which will unravel if Adams outpolls Pendlebury tonight. I don’t think the bookies have factored in Pendles round 15 performance which I’ll keep up my sleeve

I agree that Pendles looks solid with 2 to play. Hopefully the TAB put up team votes prices this week as they didn’t last week. I assume they will after this round ends.

 

[GROTTO]

probably shouldn’t be $101, but I still wouldn’t bother. Don’t think he’s much better than a 5-10% chance

You have to wonder though, in a normal year, AFL media coverage does influence/shape the way an umpire assigns votes?

The lack of it compared to the previous, would you think roughies have a better chance in 2020?

Not speaking of Daniel being $101, have no idea, just in general?

 

[2121]

I have daniel on 2 votes not including yesterday.

 

[jack 231]

You have to wonder though, in a normal year, AFL media coverage does influence/shape the way an umpire assigns votes?

The lack of it compared to the previous, would you think roughies have a better chance in 2020?

Not speaking of Daniel being $101, have no idea, just in general?

100% that’s why most players have to go through a breakout year where they get noticed. Petracca May suffer a bit at the start of this year then benefit towards the end. Although he probably stands out more than others such as macrae

 

[GROTTO]

100% that’s why most players have to go through a breakout year where they get noticed. Petracca May suffer a bit at the start of this year then benefit towards the end. Although he probably stands out more than others such as macrae

Rowell's odds at one stage was stupid. He had shortened dramatically.

Mind you though, punters must have bashed him in the first place for those odds to take place.

 

[jack 231]

I’m going
Treloar 3
Weller 2
Degoey 1

 

[NonPhixion]

3. De Goey
2. Crisp
1. Miller/Sexton
Tough game, but definetely giving De Goey the 3. didn't get a huge amount but had by far the biggest impact on the game.

 

[Gazza Guru]

It sure was a tough game to give votes and I reckon Treloar will miss as was quiet in 4th quarter.
3 Degoey
2 Crisp
1 Miller - layed heaps of tackles and smothers

Sexton, Weller, Greenwood and Treloar probably next. The 3,2,1 could go any order without surprising though.

 

[jack 231]

It sure was a tough game to give votes and I reckon Treloar will miss as was quiet in 4th quarter.
3 Degoey
2 Crisp
1 Miller - layed heaps of tackles and smothers

Sexton, Weller, Greenwood and Treloar probably next. The 3,2,1 could go any order without surprising though.

Interesting I had Treloar as BOG....

I’ll put money on it on the night then as looks like it’ll be good odds

 

[gothedons]

Rank	Player	Total Votes
1	L.Neale	26
2	T.Boak	22
3	M.Bontempelli	19
4	C.Petracca	18
5	J.Steele	17
6	L.Parker	15
6	T.Adams	15
6	N.Fyfe	15
6	J.Macrae	15
10	Z.Merrett	14
10	S.Walsh	14
10	S.Pendlebury	14
10	C.Oliver	14

Luke Parker the big one surprising me in my current count - will need to go back and review where I have polled him...

 

[NonPhixion]

I’ve got Pendlebury & Adams both tied on 13 with 1 round to go... Going to come down to the last game for sure

 

[ronpingwins]

Rank	Player	Total Votes
1	L.Neale	26
2	T.Boak	22
3	M.Bontempelli	19
4	C.Petracca	18
5	J.Steele	17
6	L.Parker	15
6	T.Adams	15
6	N.Fyfe	15
6	J.Macrae	15
10	Z.Merrett	14
10	S.Walsh	14
10	S.Pendlebury	14
10	C.Oliver	14

Luke Parker the big one surprising me in my current count - will need to go back and review where I have polled him...

What's your Geelong/GWS/Hawthorn/North count look like out of curiosity?

 

[shepherdodin]

Luke Parker the big one surprising me in my current count - will need to go back and review where I have polled him...

I don't think you should be too surprised. I don't have him at that many, but Parker is a gun. And unlike other clubs with players like Bont/Macrae, Adams/Pendles etc. Parker doesn't really have anyone who is taking votes off him. Only real thing going against is that the Swans haven't been winning that many games, however they've been competitive in most games, and it's usually because of Parker.

 

[Gazza Guru]

Interesting I had Treloar as BOG....

I’ll put money on it on the night then as looks like it’ll be good odds

Yes you are bound to get good odds on him polling 3. They will go up with Degoey a clear favourite I’d say and probably Crisp then Treloar.
Treloar never seems to have a massive influence is my opinion but good luck with getting on him as has to be a chance for the 3.

 

[2121]

Rank	Player	Total Votes
1	L.Neale	26
2	T.Boak	22
3	M.Bontempelli	19
4	C.Petracca	18
5	J.Steele	17
6	L.Parker	15
6	T.Adams	15
6	N.Fyfe	15
6	J.Macrae	15
10	Z.Merrett	14
10	S.Walsh	14
10	S.Pendlebury	14
10	C.Oliver	14

Luke Parker the big one surprising me in my current count - will need to go back and review where I have polled him...

I dont have him too far off what you have him on.

 

[FrankGrimes]

Sitting on a pretty large Pendlebury most Collingwood votes bet which will unravel if Adams outpolls Pendlebury tonight. I don’t think the bookies have factored in Pendles round 15 performance which I’ll keep up my sleeve

why haven't they factored in round 15?
pretty sure they would have.

 

[Sausage Legs]

why haven't they factored in round 15?
pretty sure they would have.

Only have penners on 10. Bit too much penners love for mine

 

[jack 231]

why haven't they factored in round 15?
pretty sure they would have.

To clarify I haven pendlebury getting 3 on this round. They don’t

 

[NYRB]

my votes for Collingwood v Gold Coast

De Goey 3
Treloar 2

Crisp1


tempted to give Sexton a vote but only played a decent quarter

 

[NYRB]

reckon De Goey is primed to poll 3 votes for his last 2 games against Gold Coast and Geelong

 

[jack 231]

Anyone have m crouch leading crows
And Tkelly leading eagles
Sam Walsh leading Carlton?
Jkelly leading giants

 

[Gazza Guru]

I watched a replay of the Coll vs GC game after watching it live last night.
I still don’t think Treloar polls. A good, not great, first half and average in 2nd half.
The guys who can poll in my opinion are Degoey ( not a lock for 3 as hot early then quiet q4 ), Crisp, Quaynor, Miller, Greenwood ( GC ) and Weller. Sexton great q1 then was hardly sighted.
Degoey or Crisp to get 3 and 2 I reckon and one of the Suns to get the 1. Quaynor a good chance for 1 as well. Hard to know which Sun they go for if they do.
I’ll stand by :
3 Degoey, just
2 Crisp, can miss votes though
1 Miller just in a raffle

 

[NYRB]

I watched a replay of the Coll vs GC game after watching it live last night.
I still don’t think Treloar polls. A good, not great, first half and average in 2nd half.
The guys who can poll in my opinion are Degoey ( not a lock for 3 as hot early then quiet q4 ), Crisp, Quaynor, Miller, Greenwood ( GC ) and Weller. Sexton great q1 then was hardly sighted.
Degoey or Crisp to get 3 and 2 I reckon and one of the Suns to get the 1. Quaynor a good chance for 1 as well. Hard to know which Sun they go for if they do.
I’ll stand by :
3 Degoey, just
2 Crisp, can miss votes though
1 Miller just in a raffle

Wasn't following the tackle count, disposals , contested, clearances but i'll take your word if you say Crisp or Miller did the better work around the footy. ( I gave Treloar 2 votes but it was based on what commentators were saying and him getting most stats) . Did feel like Crisp had a more influential role on the game.


I wasn't betting on disposals last night, so can't really give a good reflection.