List Mgmt. 2020: Death Riding Melbourne [NMFC owns MFC's 1st (#9) & 4th (#64) 2020 picks] - Keep Your Eye on the Red and the Blue

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giantroo

Bleeding Blue and White
Sep 23, 2005
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Thanks for that Giantroo......further to that,.....does that mean they go down a pick or two....apologies I've taken no notice of the points system....
Yes.

Each pick has a points value. Pick 1 (3000), etc . For Pick 1 you must have the full allocation of points (3000) to keep the pick even though you may have enough to cover pick 2 (2,517).

From there, you just minus the point deficit (265) and you get the table I've posted.

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Ohhh Errol

Norm Smith Medallist
Apr 1, 2010
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Go Dogs.




Hmm, Saints go down to GWS, dees likely to scrape through on %

GWS need dogs to lose, and beat saints by 50 to make it.



Would've been nice to better pick 8. Now begrudgingly take pick 9. But results go against us and pick 9 fast turns into pick 12.


Saints and dogs eh, it all comes down to Saints and dogs.
 
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Hazey1977

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Mar 2, 2008
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Go Dogs.




Hmm, Saints go down to GWS, dees likely to scrape through on %

GWS need dogs to lose, and beat saints by 50 to make it.



Would've been nice to better pick 8. Now begrudgingly take pick 9. But results go against us and pick 9 fast turns into pick 12.


Saints and dogs eh, it all comes down to Saints and dogs.
Or pick 18

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Mixed Results

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Nov 17, 2011
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It's actually not much, using ladder predictor in AFL app, seems like a 25 point win over ess will get the job done if saints lose. Basically a done deal.

Roughly Looks like gws beat saints by 15
Dees beat * by 25

Dees make the 8.
Just had a quick look at it.

St Kilda lose to GWS 60-75 and end with a percentage of 109.1
Melbourne beat Essendon 71-40 and end with a percentage of 109.1
 

Snake_Baker

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Just had a quick look at it.

St Kilda lose to GWS 60-75 and end with a percentage of 109.1
Melbourne beat Essendon 71-40 and end with a percentage of 109.1
GWS haven't cracked 60 points in a Qld night match this season.
StKIlda have conceded 75+ points in a one night match this season (Geelong).
Melbourne's top score at Carrara in all conditions is 52 points.
 

Mixed Results

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Nov 17, 2011
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GWS haven't cracked 60 points in a Qld night match this season.
StKIlda have conceded 75+ points in a one night match this season (Geelong).
Melbourne's top score at Carrara in all conditions is 52 points.
I wonder if it's still possible for Melbourne to make the eight if these conditions are all met. Just for the fun of it, assuming St Kilda lose 40-60 and Melbourne score only 52 points, Essendon would need to only score 25 points for Melbourne to make finals.

Given how low scores are this season it's probably too hard for teams to make up percentage in one round.
 

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Snake_Baker

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I wonder if it's still possible for Melbourne to make the eight if these conditions are all met. Just for the fun of it, assuming St Kilda lose 40-60 and Melbourne score only 52 points, Essendon would need to only score 25 points for Melbourne to make finals.

Given how low scores are this season it's probably too hard for teams to make up percentage in one round.
I don't know, but I would be looking for 8/1 to bet on it.
 

Caracas

Premium Gold
Apr 3, 2008
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Pies will win tomorrow night and the Dogs will win next week - finals over now for the Dees and pick 9 to us.
On present form, Freo are far more likely to beat WB than Essendon are to beat the Demons. Just sayin’. On the other hand, the Demons are way more likely to screw things up than WB. It’s a conundrum, really.


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tazaa

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Apr 11, 2007
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The irony is not lost on me that for Melbourne to drop down to 10th theyll need GWS to win, thereby opening the door for Melbourne to make finals.
It’s cooked.
 
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Wels Eicke

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Sep 13, 2003
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For our sake we want them to miss finals - in a year like this anything is possible in finals and we could fast lose ground on this pick.
Call me skeptical, but the AFL love a fairytale and Melbourne breaking their premiership drought after sneaking into the eight would be a beauty. The AFL can contrive whatever result they want and this has a Footscray 2016 feel to it if they get in. They've already had a pile of luck just to get where they are now.

Hopefully St.Kilda and Footscray take the luck out of it.
 

bengrina

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Aug 29, 2012
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Call me skeptical, but the AFL love a fairytale and Melbourne breaking their premiership drought after sneaking into the eight would be a beauty. The AFL can contrive whatever result they want and this has a Footscray 2016 feel to it if they get in. They've already had a pile of luck just to get where they are now.

Hopefully St.Kilda and Footscray take the luck out of it.
They've been completely robbed of double up games against the bottom 6 sides as the fixture became a 17 game draw
 

Le Grille

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Feb 14, 2005
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So lets imagine Caleb Serong was drafted by NMFC.

And Freo came to us and offered :

Pick 9-10
Perez.
And pick 50.

Would you do the trade ?

Would you give up a bottom age, highly promising, midfielder, potential Rising star winner for 3 picks. And only one in the top 25 ?


If you say no, then you agree with me. We got dudded.
What if pick 9 or 10 is better than serong?, this draft is supposed to be stronger anyway. You can prefer him but to say we got dudded is a bit premature


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Snake_Baker

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What if pick 9 or 10 is better than serong?, this draft is supposed to be stronger anyway. You can prefer him but to say we got dudded is a bit premature
Some folks don't analyse facts and then have an emotional reaction.
They have an emotional reaction first, and then shoehorn the facts to justify it.

Welcome to the human race in 2020.
 

Johnny99

All Australian
Sep 15, 2011
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What if pick 9 or 10 is better than serong?, this draft is supposed to be stronger anyway. You can prefer him but to say we got dudded is a bit premature


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We had the choice, option A or B.

OPTION A. C Serong. (exactly what we need)

OPTION B. (mystery)

We gave up exactly what we need for we dont know what we will get.

Personally, I would have taken Serong, because he's the sort of player we need anyway....
 

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