Apex36
Hall of Famer
- Mar 26, 2014
- 42,773
- 93,828
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
Assuming that Sydney and port both have to match bids before us, our picks should jump up about 10 places and leave us with roughly 661 points, which is only just shy of what we’d need for a bid at 20. A less than 100 point deficit is no big deal. We should absolutely be looking to use those late pick to match a bid. The draft will finish at about 45-50 as it is anyway, so there’s no real benefit to keeping those late picks since our even later picks will just come in to that point anyway.To be honest our 3 picks in the 60's only have a combined value of 229pts currently which isn't much and equivalent to pick 54.
Obviously if Reef receives an early bid, we match and we're still in possession of our 1st round selections then the points value of these picks will become irrelevant.
If a bid comes after our 1st round selections then you would expect those picks to have come in and be a little more valuable but even then matching a bid at pick 20 would cost 729pts (after 20% discount) and still far more than we'd have available without pick 23 in the mix.
If we were to do a deal with Adelaide involving picks 14/16 for 9/23 then it's seems pretty obvious we'd only do so if Cox or Reid were still available and I expect we fully hope to trade our future 1st for another 1st round live selection this draft.
Do that and we could look to use 23 to gain more points and while yes this would mean using it to match a bid I don't think that's the end of the world, it's market value for Reef, it would stop us going into deficit when every point might be needed for Daicos and it would stop us eating up all those picks in the 60's which by the time they can be used are likely to be 10 to 15 spots higher.





