Resource 2020 planning thread - mistakes, corrections, research and projections

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Michael Sabell

Draftee
Feb 6, 2014
2
3
AFL Club
Essendon
Thanks for making this post! I generally do the same each year; I start a list of players to consider for the following season and make an 'ideal world' upgraded side (changes in DPP often stuffs things up a bit though!).

I also have a 'never again' list as I am sure we all do. Heeney is on top of my 2020 list! He killed me this year.

I try not to rage-trade and try not to trade at the last minute. Usually ends up working against me.

Keeping in mind blokes due back from injury and hoping for some discounts - Doc, Titch, Dev Smith, etc.

Cheers :)
 

Dan12

Club Legend
Dec 19, 2011
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Albury
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I also have a 'never again' list as I am sure we all do. Heeney is on top of my 2020 list! He killed me this year
Just on Heeney, he's averaged 90 odd and been durable for three years now. Our forward stocks will likely be pillaged by champion data next year so I'm pretty sure I'll start with him again.
 

JADED

Norm Smith Medallist
Aug 29, 2005
5,033
3,602
SA
AFL Club
West Coast
Just on Heeney, he's averaged 90 odd and been durable for three years now. Our forward stocks will likely be pillaged by champion data next year so I'm pretty sure I'll start with him again.
If we lose a lot of premo fwds as we suspect we will, I'll load up on rookies there til they give them back. :'(

Greene will likely be top priced fwd now.
 

powerrrrrrrrrrrr

Club Legend
Feb 17, 2010
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adelaide
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Well it’s never too early to hit the drawing board for next year!

There’s a number of players I’ll be keeping a close look on over preseason, mainly docherty (as everyone will), Houston, S Hill, J Steven, Mitchell and wingard.

Few under priced players after injury and so forth who would hopefully bounce back. Assuming J Steven gets to the cats I see no reason he won’t bounce back and have a solid year if he is able to move forward from his personal issues.

Will be looking at something like this too start the year. Obviously no idea on rookies, but just thrown in a number of players priced between 200-270k to allow for them (assuming the prices aren’t too far off).

Assuming Whitfield may loose his Defender status but either way not making that mistake of not starting without him.

Def: J.Lloyd (107.10), D.Houston (80.30), S.Docherty (75.93), S.Hill (57.68), B.Stratton (37.30), T.Williamson (33.82) (J.McLennan (23.51), H.Jones (23.51))

Mid: J.Macrae (115.60), L.Whitfield (113.80), J.Dunkley (111.11), T.Mitchell (90.44), J.Steven (87.99), J.Atley (39.42), L.Stocker (38.42), J.Carter (29.25) (K.Pudney (23.51), E.Smith (23.51), N.McHenry (23.51))

Ruc: B.Grundy (122.10), R.O'Brien (95.50) (A.Bradtke (23.51))

Fwd: P.Dangerfield (107.50), T.Greene (98.40), C.Wingard (78.40), P.McCartin (34.85), J.Brander (29.25), S.McAdam (23.51) (M.King (23.51), I.Rankine (23.51))
 

bl4ke

Club Legend
Nov 17, 2014
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Dylan Roberton given the all clear to make a 2020 return, albeit under close observation. I will be hopping on that discounted train!
 

Keystone agony

Brownlow Medallist
Aug 15, 2011
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Dylan Roberton given the all clear to make a 2020 return, albeit under close observation. I will be hopping on that discounted train!
Will be priced at roughly 44 is a lock
What stats do you take most seriously when considering and researching a player in your side?
Really for me with premiums it's about what they've done previously and whether I think they can get back to that level if role allows it

Role is really important

I also look for discounts with premiums. A top end premium 5-10% under expected value is worth gold

I really can't see my starting 8 mids being much different to this

Macrae
Titchell
Coniglio
T.Adams
A.Brayshaw (Melb)
C.Ward
M.Rowell
M Pickett
 

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bl4ke

Club Legend
Nov 17, 2014
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Will be priced at roughly 44 is a lock


Really for me with premiums it's about what they've done previously and whether I think they can get back to that level if role allows it

Role is really important

I also look for discounts with premiums. A top end premium 5-10% under expected value is worth gold

I really can't see my starting 8 mids being much different to this

Macrae
Titchell
Coniglio
T.Adams
A.Brayshaw (Melb)
C.Ward
M.Rowell
M Pickett
Bray😭😭😭
Ward has to be in doubt for round 1? Did his knee mid April. Will they inflate picketts price because he's playing tomorrow?
 

Keystone agony

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Bray😭😭😭
Ward has to be in doubt for round 1? Did his knee mid April. Will they inflate picketts price because he's playing tomorrow?
Obviously with the disclaimer that if theyre named round 1. I'd still think Ward will likely be gives him -3 weeks off a full 12 month recovery

And no Pickett will be basement price as he is right now unless a brand new rule is introduced
 

bl4ke

Club Legend
Nov 17, 2014
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Obviously with the disclaimer that if theyre named round 1. I'd still think Ward will likely be gives him -3 weeks off a full 12 month recovery

And no Pickett will be basement price as he is right now unless a brand new rule is introduced
Yeah sorry my comment about ward was pretty stupid, I should have re worded it but i couldn't be stuffed 😂 hugh Greenwood as a full time mid at GC could be an interesting one
 

Keystone agony

Brownlow Medallist
Aug 15, 2011
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Yeah sorry my comment about ward was pretty stupid, I should have re worded it but i couldn't be stuffed 😂 hugh Greenwood as a full time mid at GC could be an interesting one
What I'm finding very interesting is the backline and how that's shaping up. Plenty of under priced guys but always a spot to have several rookies on field

Docherty
D.Roberton (Stk) are both locks if fit for round 1

Then I'm strongly eyeing off Under priced premiums like Laird, Sicily, Blakely, Witherden all could be keepers

No doubt that structure will change once rookies announce themself

Nick Haynes could be a great unique as well. Could be the Tom Stewart from 2019
 

bl4ke

Club Legend
Nov 17, 2014
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What I'm finding very interesting is the backline and how that's shaping up. Plenty of under priced guys but always a spot to have several rookies on field

Docherty
D.Roberton (Stk) are both locks if fit for round 1

Then I'm strongly eyeing off Under priced premiums like Laird, Sicily, Blakely, Witherden all could be keepers

No doubt that structure will change once rookies announce themself

Nick Haynes could be a great unique as well. Could be the Tom Stewart from 2019
Witherdon without Hodge in the team could be a good shout. Definitely a JLT watch
 

PAFCsince1870

Premiership Player
Mar 13, 2006
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Shaw, Haynes, Taranto -yep all GWS, were the top 3 AF rankings for the GF = Ridiculous ranking system
Well the ball was in the Giants backline the whole game...

I don’t think anyone has ever claimed highest Fantasy points to be a direct correlation to the best players on the ground.
 

powerrrrrrrrrrrr

Club Legend
Feb 17, 2010
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Interested particularly from tigers fans, their thoughts on Jack Riewoldt for next year?

Obviously underpriced after an injury interrupted year on a couple occasions. Will he be back to a 75-80ave and therefor underpriced by 25odd points, or will Lynch negatively affect him and stay around the 65-70mark?

He’s had a number of decent years ave around the 80 mark but that was without Lynch. Big question if this years lower scoring was solely due to sharing the forward line, or were his injuries the only reason for his lower output fantasy wise
 

DynamiteDons

Club Legend
Jul 25, 2007
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Ive had a crack at the DT live drawing board.

Inital thoughts, I really hope we get that third bench mid spot. Also if these prices are fairly accurate (which they normally are) we are once again going to have some decent value in underpriced premos again! Forwards are going to be tricky to select from the start as we dont have the range we did this year.

This is my first team. (any player under 300K rookie will be a 2020 Draftee).

DEF: Crisp (706K), Laird (700K), Docherty (549K), Stoker (277K), Carter (211K), Nutting (170K)

MID: Macrae (835K), Treloar (817K), Cogs (749K), Mitchell (653K), MCGrath (540K), Davies Uniake (384K), Dunkley (301K), Bennell (170K)

RUCK: Grundy (882K), Gawn (804K)

FWD: DMartin (702K), DSmith (701K), JMartin (603K), Cerra (439K), Cockatoo (248K) McAdam (170K)

Bench: all 170K players.
 

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