2021-22 MVP Power Rankings

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scaryness

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I will be updating this thread weekly every Monday evening to power rank this seasons MVP, if you're into that sort of thing. I am using the GmSc*W quantification that I think produces very good results. It will probably look a bit funky early days but as the W/L records normalize it will level out and look pretty accurate.

(GameScore per game * Wins played) is a measurement that factors in the 3 most important historical factors in MVP voting: raw statistical output, individual durability and team success. Using this method more often that not correctly predicts the final choice for MVP and has challenged some of the closer races or more controversial previous winners.

WEEK 6 MVP RANKING (29/11/21)

IN: Trae Young, LaMelo Ball, Jordan Poole
OUT: Nikola Jokic, Paul George

RANKPLAYERTEAMGmSc/GPWINS PLAYEDMVP SCORE
1.Stephen CurryGSW22.917390
2.Giannis Antetokounmpo (+5)MIL23.313303
3.Kevin Durant (-1)BKN22.913297
4e.Chris PaulPHX16.417278
4e.Devin Booker (+5)PHX16.317278
6e.James HardenBKN17.714248
6e.DeMar DeRozan (-3)CHI19.013248
8.Andrew Wiggins (+3)GSW13.318239
9.Jimmy Butler (-1)MIA21.411235
10.Zach LaVine (-5)CHI17.013221
11.Trae Young (+13)ATL19.811218
12.Rudy Gobert (+1)UTA16.713217
13.LaMelo Ball (+6)CHA16.513215
14.Montrezl HarrellWAS16.213211
15e.Anthony Davis (-3)LAL20.810208
15e.Jordan Poole (+1)GSW11.618208

MVP.png


I will also be able to track Rookie of the Year rankings this way, however I will ignore the wins part of the equation that is used for MVP as winning historically doesn't matter as much for ROTY winners; it is much more focused on their raw output and durability only.

WEEK 6 ROTY RANKING (29/11/21)

IN: Alperen Sengun
OUT: Jalen Green

RANKPLAYERTEAMGmSc/GGAMES PLAYEDROTY SCORE
1.Scottie BarnesTOR12.919244
2.Evan MobleyCLE12.816204
3.Franz WagnerORL9.321196
4.Josh GiddeyOKC9.419178
5.Chris DuarteIND8.020159
6.Alperen Sengun (+1)HOU7.318131

ROTY.png
 
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scaryness

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WEEK 1 MVP RANKING (25/10/21)
RANKPLAYERTEAMGmSc/GPWINS PLAYEDMVP SCORE
1.Stephen CurryGSW24.3373
2.Miles BridgesCHA23.0369
3.Zach LaVineCHI19.9360
4.LaMelo BallCHA19.0357
5.Ja MorantMEM27.2254
6.Nikola JokicDEN26.2252
7e.DeMar DeRozanCHI15.1345
7e.Lonzo BallCHI14.8345
9.Julius RandleNYK22.2244
10.Karl-Anthony TownsMIN21.1242
11.Spencer DinwiddieWAS19.4239
12e.Joel EmbiidPHI19.2238
12e.Rudy GobertUTA19.2238
14e.Giannis AntetokounmpoMIL18.1236
14e.Seth CurryPHI17.9236

WEEK 1 ROTY RANKING (25/10/21)
RANKPLAYERTEAMGmSc/GGAMES PLAYEDROTY SCORE
1.Evan MobleyCLE15.6347
2.Scottie BarnesTOR13.2339
3.Chris DuarteIND12.9339
4.Jalen GreenHOU11.7335
5.Josh GiddeyOKC10.7332
6.Franz WagnerORL9.5328
 

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scaryness

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WEEK 2 MVP RANKING (01/11/21)
RANKPLAYERTEAMGmSc/GPWINS PLAYEDMVP SCORE
1.Jimmy Butler (+75)MIA23.25116
2.Stephen Curry (-1)GSW21.65108
3.Miles Bridges (-1)CHA19.4597
4.Zach LaVine (-1)CHI18.9594
5e.Kevin Durant (+24)BKN23.2493
5e.Rudy Gobert (+8)UTA18.6593
5e.Montrezl Harrell (+15)WAS18.6593
8.Nikola Jokic (-2)DEN22.8491
9e.Julius RandleNYK17.2586
9e.DeMar DeRozan (-2)CHI17.2586
11.Anthony Davis (+41)LAL20.3481
12.Tyler Herro (+48)MIA15.1576
13e.Donovan Mitchell (+25)UTA14.2571
13e.Joel Embiid (-1)PHI17.6471
15.LaMelo Ball (-9)CHA14.1570

WEEK 2 ROTY RANKING (01/11/21)
RANKPLAYERTEAMGmSc/GGAMES PLAYEDROTY SCORE
1.Scottie Barnes (+1)TOR13.9797
2.Evan Mobley (-1)CLE12.9790
3e.Franz Wagner (+3)ORL10.3772
3e.Chris DuarteIND10.3772
5.Josh GiddeyOKC10.3662
6.Alperen Sengun (+1)HOU7.3644
 

scaryness

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WEEK 3 MVP RANKING (08/11/21)

IN: Jarrett Allen, James Harden, Seth Curry, Luka Doncic
OUT: Miles Bridges, Anthony Davis, Donovan Mitchell, LaMelo Ball

RANKPLAYERTEAMGmSc/GPWINS PLAYEDMVP SCORE
1.Kevin Durant (+4)BKN22.87160
2.Stephen CurryGSW19.38155
3.Jimmy Butler (-2)MIA21.97153
4e.DeMar DeRozan (+6)CHI20.56123
4e.Rudy Gobert (+2)UTA17.57123
6.Joel Embiid (+8)PHI17.07119
7.Nikola Jokic (+1)DEN23.55118
8.Montrezl Harrell (-1)WAS16.67116
9.Jarrett Allen (+60)CLE16.17113
10.James Harden (+13)BKN15.97111
11.Zach LaVine (-7)CHI18.26109
12.Julius Randle (-3)NYK17.46104
13.Seth Curry (+38)PHI12.88103
14.Tyler Herro (-2)MIA14.47101
15.Luka Doncic (+9)DAL16.76100

WEEK 3 ROTY RANKING (08/11/21)
RANKPLAYERTEAMGmSc/GGAMES PLAYEDROTY SCORE
1.Evan Mobley (+1)CLE13.211145
2.Scottie Barnes (-1)TOR13.49121
3.Chris DuarteIND10.311114
4.Franz Wagner (-1)ORL10.311113
5.Josh GiddeyOKC9.4985
6.Alperen SengunHOU6.91069
 
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scaryness

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WEEK 4 MVP RANKING (15/11/21)

IN: Anthony Davis, Chris Paul, Paul George, Devin Booker, Andrew Wiggins, Miles Bridges
OUT: Rudy Gobert, Joel Embiid, Jarrett Allen, Julius Randle, Seth Curry, Tyler Herro

RANKPLAYERTEAMGmSc/GPWINS PLAYEDMVP SCORE
1.Stephen Curry (+1)GSW22.511247
2.Kevin Durant (-1)BKN24.010240
3.Nikola Jokic (+4)DEN24.08192
4.DeMar DeRozanCHI19.69176
5.James Harden (+5)BKN17.010170
6.Anthony Davis (+11)LAL20.98167
7.Montrezl Harrell (+1)WAS17.89160
8.Zach LaVine (+3)CHI17.79159
9.Chris Paul (+21)PHX17.69158
10e.Jimmy Butler (-7)MIA21.27148
10e.Paul George (+8)LAC18.48148
12.Luka Doncic (+3)DAL18.08144
13.Devin Booker (+20)PHX15.59139
14.Andrew Wiggins (+18)GSW12.411136
15.Miles Bridges (+14)CHA16.98135

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WEEK 4 ROTY RANKING (15/11/21)
RANKPLAYERTEAMGmSc/GGAMES PLAYEDROTY SCORE
1.Evan MobleyCLE13.814193
2.Scottie BarnesTOR13.312159
3e.Franz Wagner (+1)ORL9.613125
3e.Chris DuarteIND8.914125
5.Josh GiddeyOKC8.312100
6.Alperen SengunHOU7.51290

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jod23

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For me though it's a straight shoot out between Curry and Durant for MVP, like the graphs above portray. They have both been terrific in teams that lead each conference.

Curry is an interesting one, if he could win another MVP and a 4th Championship... that would give him 4 chips and 3 MVPs in the LeBron era. That's something else.

ROTY im with the above graphics too, Duarte was great early but has faded to be a straight fight between Mobley and Barnes at the moment. The Raptors look like genius' for going for Barnes over the more sought after Suggs who has been super average.

Cunningham im sure will be fine but right now he looks average after being the absolute consensus No.1 pick.
 

Wickzki

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Cunningham im sure will be fine but right now he looks average after being the absolute consensus No.1 pick.
If Cade impresses before January I'll be surprised. He'll start going from strength to strength as other rookies are hitting the wall.

Shooting percentage will rise as his turnovers will decrease as he continues to find his touch and fitness base.
 

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DT_35

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Jokic currently has the highest PER of all time with 35.06, next best is Giannis at 31.86. Obviously it’s still early in the season but the disrespect still continues
 

Lego23

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For me though it's a straight shoot out between Curry and Durant for MVP, like the graphs above portray. They have both been terrific in teams that lead each conference.

Curry is an interesting one, if he could win another MVP and a 4th Championship... that would give him 4 chips and 3 MVPs in the LeBron era. That's something else.

ROTY im with the above graphics too, Duarte was great early but has faded to be a straight fight between Mobley and Barnes at the moment. The Raptors look like genius' for going for Barnes over the more sought after Suggs who has been super average.

Cunningham im sure will be fine but right now he looks average after being the absolute consensus No.1 pick.
I think it is getting hard to make a case for anyone other than Jokic if the season ended today.

25/13/6/ - 60%FG / 39% from 3

Highest PER of all time

2nd best player on the team injured

3rd best player injured/terrible so far

4th seed in the West

Laid our a Morris twin

What more could you want from an MVP?
 

JT_the_Man

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I think it is getting hard to make a case for anyone other than Jokic if the season ended today.

25/13/6/ - 60%FG / 39% from 3

Highest PER of all time

2nd best player on the team injured

3rd best player injured/terrible so far

4th seed in the West

Laid our a Morris twin

What more could you want from an MVP?
Unfortunately I get the feeling there is already voter fatigue for Jokic. I’d probably go Curry if the season ended today.
 

Lego23

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Unfortunately I get the feeling there is already voter fatigue for Jokic. I’d probably go Curry if the season ended today.
It felt like they were honestly reluctant last year but had no choice, it’s a shame he is so disrespected.

Agree Curry probably wins if it was voted on today
 

jod23

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Will admit did forget about Jokic who has been immense.

Giannis too has been amazing but his team is just losing games. I know they have had a LOT of injuries but same can be said with the Nuggets but they are still winning so it pushes Jokic up for me.

Steph and KD lead the way but only a hair between those two and Jokic. Gotta give props to Steph who has led the Warriors to the best record in the entire league while Klay hasnt played a minute.

It's just those four so far this year with only Jimmy Butler hanging on their coat tails. Other players have been good like DeRozan and Lavine, AD, Chris Paul, Paul George but they are all a fair way back.
 

Lego23

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I think it is getting hard to make a case for anyone other than Jokic if the season ended today.

25/13/6/ - 60%FG / 39% from 3

Highest PER of all time

2nd best player on the team injured

3rd best player injured/terrible so far

4th seed in the West

Laid our a Morris twin

What more could you want from an MVP?
Okay i take it back, i am an idiot...

Just give it to Steph!
 

kozi

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Steph getting louder MVP chants than #2 on the list in his own house is an unprecedented event.
 

scaryness

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WEEK 5 MVP RANKING (22/11/21)

IN: Giannis Antetokounmpo, Rudy Gobert
OUT: Luka Doncic, Miles Bridges

RANKPLAYERTEAMGmSc/GPWINS PLAYEDMVP SCORE
1.Stephen CurryGSW22.714317
2.Kevin DurantBKN22.811250
3.DeMar DeRozan (+1)CHI20.112241
4.Chris Paul (+5)PHX16.813219
5.Zach LaVine (+3)CHI18.212218
6.James Harden (-1)BKN17.912215
7.Giannis Antetokounmpo (+11)MIL23.49210
8.Jimmy Butler (+2)MIA22.89205
9.Devin Booker (+4)PHX15.413201
10.Nikola Jokic (-7)DEN24.98199
11.Andrew Wiggins (+3)GSW13.115197
12.Anthony Davis (-6)LAL21.29191
13.Rudy Gobert (+4)UTA17.011187
14.Montrezl Harrell (-7)WAS16.811185
15.Paul George (-4)LAC17.910179

MVP.png


WEEK 5 ROTY RANKING (22/11/21)

IN: Jalen Green
OUT: Alperen Sengun

RANKPLAYERTEAMGmSc/GGAMES PLAYEDROTY SCORE
1.Scottie Barnes (+1)TOR12.216196
2.Evan Mobley (-1)CLE12.815192
3.Franz WagnerORL9.717164
4.Josh Giddey (+1)OKC9.016143
5.Chris Duarte (-2)IND8.216132
6.Jalen Green (+2)HOU7.116113

ROTY.png
 
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scaryness

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WEEK 6 MVP RANKING (29/11/21)

IN: Trae Young, LaMelo Ball, Jordan Poole
OUT: Nikola Jokic, Paul George

RANKPLAYERTEAMGmSc/GPWINS PLAYEDMVP SCORE
1.Stephen CurryGSW22.917390
2.Giannis Antetokounmpo (+5)MIL23.313303
3.Kevin Durant (-1)BKN22.913297
4e.Chris PaulPHX16.417278
4e.Devin Booker (+5)PHX16.317278
6e.James HardenBKN17.714248
6e.DeMar DeRozan (-3)CHI19.013248
8.Andrew Wiggins (+3)GSW13.318239
9.Jimmy Butler (-1)MIA21.411235
10.Zach LaVine (-5)CHI17.013221
11.Trae Young (+13)ATL19.811218
12.Rudy Gobert (+1)UTA16.713217
13.LaMelo Ball (+6)CHA16.513215
14.Montrezl HarrellWAS16.213211
15e.Anthony Davis (-3)LAL20.810208
15e.Jordan Poole (+1)GSW11.618208

MVP.png


WEEK 6 ROTY RANKING (29/11/21)

IN: Alperen Sengun
OUT: Jalen Green

RANKPLAYERTEAMGmSc/GGAMES PLAYEDROTY SCORE
1.Scottie BarnesTOR12.919244
2.Evan MobleyCLE12.816204
3.Franz WagnerORL9.321196
4.Josh GiddeyOKC9.419178
5.Chris DuarteIND8.020159
6.Alperen Sengun (+1)HOU7.318131

ROTY.png
 

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