AFL 2021 AFL Round 1

Remove this Banner Ad

Log in to remove this ad.

mouncey2franklin

Norm Smith Medallist
Jun 16, 2018
5,334
7,752
AFL Club
North Melbourne
That's the problem, these plays have short lifespans because the odds come in and its a lot harder to fine value
Round 1 is always the best.

The mathematicians and their models haven't had time to adjust.

AFL is especially good for this because of how many rule changes there are every season, and how many players on the field, etc.

You won't get value for the O-Train again, not like that.

Sorry to you guys who missed out but there will be a Riccardo style flyer later in the year, just need to keep your eyes peeled.
 

dontlimitme

All Australian
May 20, 2016
733
1,106
AFL Club
GWS
Round 1 is always the best.

The mathematicians and their models haven't had time to adjust.

AFL is especially good for this because of how many rule changes there are every season, and how many players on the field, etc.

You won't get value for the O-Train again, not like that.

Sorry to you guys who missed out but there will be a Riccardo style flyer later in the year, just need to keep your eyes peeled.
yeah we will have to look out for the debutant goal trains
 

Robo87

loyal crows fan.
Aug 3, 2014
1,804
1,888
Adelaide
AFL Club
Adelaide
will tail. (aka- reinvesting some winnings)
also following this idea, i like these odds for walker at PB:
1.5u josh walker 2g @6.50 pb
1u josh walker 3g @26 pb
0.3u josh walker 4g @81 pb


1.5u fantasia 2g+ @2.30 sb
1u fantasia 3g+ @5.5 tab
0.5u fantasia 4g+ @15 sb/tab

1.5u sgm- port win, walker ags, fantasia 2g+ @3.94 lads
1.5u sgm-port win, walker ags, fantasia 3g+ @10.15 lads boost
1u sgm-port win, walker ags, fantasia 4g+ @23.02 lads

1u sgm- port win, walker 2g+, fantasia 2g+ @9.40 sb
1u sgm- port win, walker 2g+, fantasia 3g+ @18.32 lads
1u sgm- port win, walker 2g+, fantasia 4g+ @49.25 sb


1.5u butters 2g+ @3.35 lads
0.7u butters 3g+ @9.75 lads (this is as short as $2.90 on b365).
1u sgm butters 2g+, fantasia 2g+ @7.50 sb
1u sgm butters 2g+, fantasia 3g+ @16 sb
another great day!!
 

jameses

All Australian
Jun 29, 2016
785
2,014
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Gone for a cheeky SGM @ 16.25

St Kilda win 1-39
Higgins AGS
Steele 25+
Green 25+

Needing Tom Green to get more of the ball but looking ok so far
 

DeebotheDonkey

Draftee
Mar 21, 2021
1
10
AFL Club
Essendon
Who is this boys?
This was mine haha. Long time lurker just saying hi and thanks to the all the regs here especially Mouncey and NonPhixion this round for their tips yesterday. I might not be 55k richer but I’ve definitely had a good round tailing NonPhixions Dev Smith bet and then jumping on Mounceys Gulden train. Was a roller coaster today but it’s all good, just wasn’t meant to be. Cheers boys 👌🏻
 

Attachments

(Log in to remove this ad.)

Ohh Ok

Club Legend
Jul 31, 2018
1,081
1,463
AFL Club
Adelaide
3u - Gaff 30+ disposals - $1.80 - TAB
1u - Gaff 35+ disposals - $3.75 - TAB
0.5u - Gaff 40+ disposals - $11 - 365
This is one bloke that will thrive off the rule changes. An elite runner that will pick up a bulk of possessions late in the quarters once guys begin to tire. Absolutely loves playing at Optus stadium and has a strong track record against the suns.
 

tangolikelama

Norm Smith Medallist
Jan 21, 2013
8,617
18,474
AFL Club
Port Adelaide
This was mine haha. Long time lurker just saying hi and thanks to the all the regs here especially Mouncey and NonPhixion this round for their tips yesterday. I might not be 55k richer but I’ve definitely had a good round tailing NonPhixions Dev Smith bet and then jumping on Mounceys Gulden train. Was a roller coaster today but it’s all good, just wasn’t meant to be. Cheers boys 👌🏻
Holy fu** - sorry mate
 

benji21

All Australian
Apr 2, 2016
902
577
Hong Kong
AFL Club
Fremantle
3u - Gaff 30+ disposals - $1.80 - TAB
1u - Gaff 35+ disposals - $3.75 - TAB
0.5u - Gaff 40+ disposals - $11 - 365
This is one bloke that will thrive off the rule changes. An elite runner that will pick up a bulk of possessions late in the quarters once guys begin to tire. Absolutely loves playing at Optus stadium and has a strong track record against the suns.
Tailing and adding Weller 25+ @2.88, another one that will enjoy a bit of speed in the game. Had 29 in preseason game
 

Ohh Ok

Club Legend
Jul 31, 2018
1,081
1,463
AFL Club
Adelaide
2.5u - Duggan over 20.5 disposals - $1.80 - SB
Got the opportunity to play on the wing during 2020 when injuries struck and performed well. Has looked to have made the role permanent in 2021 training with the midfield group in pre season. With Yeo and Shuey missing, and Kelly under done he should get a strong chance at it today.
 

Remove this Banner Ad