AFL 2021 AFL Round 11

[Del125763]

Sportsbet odds settors if your reading this, is there any chance you guys can improve your odds on 35+ Goals or more for a few of the matches you have listed down, its currently set at odds of $26.00. (for most of the year)

Your competitors Ladbrokes are offering $34 for 34+ Goals or more .

Just thought I would bring it up as the odds are inferior for more goals.

 

[BloodRet]

Anyone know when topsport release their odds? That place is a gold mine

 

[Del125763]

PointsBet Special

Bontempelli to Kick 1+ Goal and Bulldogs to Win by 1-100 pts

@ $3.00


A Same Game Multi at Sportsbet pays $2.10

 

[BloodRet]

Bud 3
M King 2
Mihocek 2
Hawkins 2
Daniher 2
Lynch 2
Fritsch 2
Weideman
Naughton
Bruce
Hill
Zurhaar
Fogarty
Lobb
@213

 

[Robo87]

Bud 3
M King 2
Mihocek 2
Hawkins 2
Daniher 2
Lynch 2
Fritsch 2
Weideman
Naughton
Bruce
Hill
Zurhaar
Fogarty
Lobb
@213

now thats just greedy...

 

[Atavistic]

Lachie Hunter a big price for 25,30,35 disp in a game at the dome with no Treloar/Dunkley so he should see some more of the footy

Odds have come in for Hunter now. Thanks for the tip. Hope plenty got on board.

 

[Geeves Train]

thanks for reminding me of this. i was gonna get on when i heard treloar was gonna be having surgery.
1.5u hunter 25+ @3.60
0.6u hunter 30+ @10
0.4u hunter 35+ @41 sb

(in his last 5 games v dees - 24 (scaled to 28), 37, 35,32, 26 )

shut up and take my money

 

[Kiddbrown]

Odds have come in for Hunter now. Thanks for the tip. Hope plenty got on board.

If anyone is interested you can still get $101 for 40+ on tab

 

[Robo87]

Duncan is also out for geelong with concussion this week, so wonder who gets more mid minutes at geelong? narkle/parfitt?

 

[Atavistic]

Duncan is also out for geelong with concussion this week, so wonder who gets more mid minutes at geelong? narkle/parfitt?

I already put money on Narkle, so I hope it's him. Maybe Menegola gets more of the ball too?

 

[LicoriceAllsorts]

Trying a different approach this year, only trying for $3+ odds, or $2.50ish at the very least thru SGMs. So far going well at +29U. Last year hit at +90ish but that was mainly thru the Brownlow and bonus bets/promos


GEEL/BRIS/WC/RICH/STK/GC @$3.73

WB 1-39/C. Petracca 20+ disp/M. Bontempelli 20+ disp/T. Liberatore 20+ disp/A. Naughton 1+ goal @$3.08

BRIS 1-39/H. McCluggage 20+ disp/J. Lyons 20+ disp/D. Rich 20+ disp/T. Taranto 20+ disp/J. Hopper 20+ disp/J. Kelly 20+ disp @$3.45

GC 1-39/T. Mitchell 25+ disp/T. Miller 20+ disp/B. King 20+ disp @$2.47

SYD 1-39/J. Lloyd 20+ disp/L. Parker 20+ disp/E. Curnow 20+ disp/S. Docherty 20+ disp/H. McKay 1+ goal/L. Franklin 1+ goal @$3.31

 

[Sausage Legs]

Early looks.
Dogs v dees. TAB. Jason Joho a snag at 2.50. playing predominately as a fwd pressure operator. Has 4 snags in last 3 games and kicked one 4 out of last 5.

Cats v Pies. Mentioned but I can get around Higgins at 1.91, loves a goal, can kick from behind the arc, will get his chance.

Saints v kangs. Lonie was 1.90 , still 1.77 on ladbrokes. Have feeling could get dropped, if not will get his chances v kangs.
Billings 25 touches at 2.55, 30 at 5s. Can be quiet but kangs leak touches, particularly across half back and he's the man for it. Could also look at Battle for a goal at 1.90.

Eags v ess. Jamie cripps a goal at 1.60 for ur multis.

GC v Hawks. Rankine a goal 1.50 for ur multis. Has been kept quiet by tag such as starcevic, going on feel here not stats.

Rich v crows. Castagna 1.40 for multis.
Cripps, Rankine, Castagna 1 goal multi @ 3.36.

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Eags v ess. Jamie cripps a goal at 1.60 for ur multis.

That campaigner is still in my sack file lol

 

[Jugada]

Weather fappers at it again already for Perth. Coming to the conclusion there is some serious money to be made just taking unders waiting for the weather boys to pile in midweek then just cash out

 

[Atavistic]

Weather fappers at it again already for Perth. Coming to the conclusion there is some serious money to be made just taking unders waiting for the weather boys to pile in midweek then just cash out

I already have some nice cash-out options for under 100.5 and under 130.5. Under 100.5 for WC v Ess was 100-1 and now at 20-1. Might sit on it a while and see how it goes.

 

[targett]

Sorry Lads this is a budget version this week . Not much time this week for screen time ....GL

 

[Del125763]

im assuming Most Disposals Group A for Bulldogs v Melbourne will be:

MacRae (WB)
Oliver (Melbourne)
Petracca (Melbourne)
Bontempelli (WB)
Liberatore (WB)
Bailey Smith (WB)
Langdon (Melbourne)
James Harmes (Melbourne)

For Friday night.

Demons have been a big riser in the Net Difference in Disposals , gone from 13th rank to 4th rank in 2021.

I will stick my head out the Bulldogs will get more of the ball on Friday night. Last year , Petracca, Bailey Smith and MacRae finished on equal disposals. MacRae should start the favourite in a group consisting of those players and will keep an interest on odds later in the week. Most Disposals in Group B should be interesting as well , players of the calibre of : Caleb Daniel, Bailey Dale, Lachlan Hunter, Taylor Duryea would be in some of the top teams group A Disposals list.

Who would your money be on in a top shoot out of the mids?

 

[Del125763]

MacRae should be favourite in a group such as that, but anything less than $4.00 to win that group spells danger for me. (Some may possibly find that value).

 

[Del125763]

Fcuk me, reading that one of the Bulldogs staffer has gone into quarantine and there is doubts that if Round 11 will continue.

 

[jikost]

I already have some nice cash-out options for under 100.5 and under 130.5. Under 100.5 for WC v Ess was 100-1 and now at 20-1. Might sit on it a while and see how it goes.

Yeah, definitely wait till Saturday afternoon when you can look at the radar yourself and act accordingly. If you see a massive blob of red/yellow on the radar that is going to crash into Perth at game time then sit on the unders. On the 99% likelihood that the BOM is wrong and there is little to no rain heading to Perth then cash out.

 

[NonPhixion]

Weather fappers at it again already for Perth. Coming to the conclusion there is some serious money to be made just taking unders waiting for the weather boys to pile in midweek then just cash out

In any case you can just arb out like last week and have sweat free $$

 

[Sausage Legs]

Fcuk me, reading that one of the Bulldogs staffer has gone into quarantine and there is doubts that if Round 11 will continue.

Chill buddy, it'll be fine. Doubt u get much more than 3s on Macrae in any group.

 

[BloodRet]

Lobb wingard and garner are cracking prices on topsport

Got Lobb 1.83, 4.90, 17, 58. Insane for someone just coming off 4 goals

 

[BloodRet]

Also put some on Budwah to back up his 6 goal performance @17 topsport

I'll take that, always kicks bags against Carlton at the SCG, including a bag of 10 once. Only worry is a few showers forecasted for the weekend.

 

[langdon19]

Only worry is a few showers forecasted for the weekend

Didn’t worry you in Perth