AFL 2021 AFL Round 14

[BloodRet]

Greene fuak that would've been juice

 

[Hak94]

Kelly sheep dogging every contest like an absolute gutless pissant

Seriously fu** off to North where u belong

2 touches since Half time for a campaigner on the ball is pathetic

Too be fair, did you catch a look at the size of the ball that came up around his ankle that was the result of rolling it in the first? Looks debilitating, but he played on!

 

[TheJanuaryMan]

Kelly sheep dogging every contest like an absolute gutless pissant

Seriously fu** off to North where u belong

2 touches since Half time for a campaigner on the ball is pathetic

Rolled his ankle near 1/4 time and lost a fair bit of momentum

 

[mac23]

Newman needs just 1 more touch. C'mon Newman.

 

[BloodRet]

Wright 4+ @21 ts

Wingard 4+ @88 sb

Mcevoy 3, 4, 5+

Wright 3
Mcevoy 3
Wingard
@141 sb

 

[jikost]

Jake Stringer 15+ @ $2.40 lads. Bombers midfield looks thin with no McGrath so thinking Jake will go back to attending more CB's like he was before he got injured. It's not like they're crying out for him up forward with Wright, Perkins, Jones and Hooker all providing targets.

 

[Robo87]

1u hill exact 0 goals @2.52 TS

should have put more on. #Hindsight but gotta take the small wins.

 

[TryAnHit]

iluvparis

McKay won't play gws every week

 

[TryAnHit]

5u - McKenzie 15+, Amon 20+, Wines 25+ disposals - $2.50

2.5u - Miller over 29.5 disposals - $1.87 - 365
Miller has been massive this year covering this in 7/11 games an 2/3 at Metricon. His aerobic capacity makes him extremely hard to shut down and the amount of ground he covers has been blowing me away. Super line.

1.5u - Neale over 27.5 disposals - $1.80 - TopSport
Should be fit and firing now. Ready to see the champ work this one back up into the 30s over the coming weeks.

2u - Greene 2+ goals - $1.67 - SB
1.5u - Greene 3+ goals - $3.10 - SB
1u - Greene 4+ goals - $6.50 - SB
0.5u - Greene 5+ goals - $15 - SB
Have had a fair bit of success backing the smalls against Carlton this year. Greene is in my opinion the best and most dangerous of any small in the comp. Has had a massive 50 scoring shots this year which equates to 5 a game! Is a bloke that never gives up and is the man that gets his team going. Expecting big things today.

Great day

 

[Robo87]

obrein will play fwd/hf tomorrow, yes?
has ok odds for the hawks 4th best averaging fwd tomorrow
1u obrein 2g+@4.25 lads
0.5u obrein 3g+@13 tab
0.3u obrein 4g+@51 tab

 

[iluvparis]

iluvparis

McKay won't play gws every week

Exactly. Cheapies against bottom 8 rabble won’t get you the Coleman! Sharks starting to close

 

[NYRB]

Greater Western Sydney v Carlton Stats Multiplier from PointsBet (Goals x Kicks x Handballs):

IN 2021:		OCCURRENCES		OCCURRENCES		OCCURRENCES	SEASON AVERAGE MULTIPLIER
JOSH KELLY	UNDER 166	4​	166-194	3​	OVER 194	5​	209.17​
TOBY GREENE	UNDER 151	6​	151-177		OVER 177	4​	137.40​
JACOB HOPPER	UNDER 101	6​	101-119		OVER 119	6​	101.08​
TIM TARANTO	UNDER 64	8​	64-76		OVER 76	4​	55.08​
HARRISON HIMMELBERG	UNDER 42	6​	42-50	1​	OVER 50	5​	47.33​
LACHIE WHITFIELD	UNDER 38	5​	38-46		OVER 46	1​	34.67​
PATRICK CRIPPS	UNDER 98	8​	98-116	1​	OVER 116	3​	117.25​
SAM WALSH	UNDER 83	7​	83-97		OVER 97	5​	96.92​
JACK MARTIN	UNDER 51	2​	51-61	1​	OVER 61		20.00​
ED CURNOW	UNDER 50	8​	50-60		OVER 60	4​	56.00​
EDDIE BETTS	UNDER 42	7​	42-53		OVER 53	3​	45.00​
HARRY MCKAY	UNDER 42	7​	42-50	1​	OVER 50	4​	72.75​

My picks for the Spreads using $1 stakes:

UNDER 166 Josh Kelly
UNDER 151 Toby Greene
NO PLAY Hopper
OVER 76 Taranto
OVER 50 Himmelberg
NO PLAY Whitfield
UNDER 98 Cripps
OVER 97 Walsh
NO PLAY Martin
OVER 60 Curnow
NO PLAY Betts
NO PLAY Harry McKay

Results from last nights match:

UNDER 166 Josh Kelly = +$16 WIN
UNDER 151 Toby Greene = -$105 LOSS
NO PLAY Hopper
OVER 76 Taranto= -$76 LOSS
OVER 50 Himmelberg = +$72 PROFIT
NO PLAY Whitfield
UNDER 98 Cripps = +$98 PROFIT
OVER 97 Walsh= -$97 LOSS
NO PLAY Martin
OVER 60 Curnow= -$60 LOSS
NO PLAY Betts
NO PLAY Harry McKay

Net Result= -$55 LOSS

Record in 2021: 4 Wins & 8 Losses

 

[NYRB]

Gone the multi:

Milwaukee Bucks to Win Game 7 against the Brooklyn Nets into Under 150.5 points between Hawthorn and Essendon at 12.60

 

[NYRB]

Hawthorn v Essendon PointsBet Stat Multiplier:

IN 2021		OCCURRENCES		OCCURRENCES			OCCURRENCES	SEASON AVERAGE MULTIPLIER
LUKE BREUST	UNDER 86	9​	86-100			OVER 100	3​	68.92​
TOM MITCHELL	UNDER 83	10​	83-97			OVER 97	2​	52.00​
CHAD WINGARD	UNDER 97	6​	97-113	1​		OVER 113	2​	63.44​
DYLAN MOORE	UNDER 67	7​	67-79			OVER 79	5​	82.67​
LIAM SHIELS	UNDER 44	8​	44-52			OVER 52	3​	30.63​
DARCY PARISH	UNDER 97	9​	97-113			OVER 113	3​	120.75​
ANTHONY MCDONALD-TIPUNGWUTI	UNDER 68	7​	68-80			OVER 80	5​	68.00​
ZACH MERRETT	UNDER 56	11​	56-66			OVER 66	1​	19.50​
DEVON SMITH	UNDER 55	6​	55-65	1​		OVER 65	2​	40.56​
JAKE STRINGER	UNDER 67	5​	67-79			OVER 79	3​	64.75​

Will post up the bets about an hour before game time.

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Not sure who is kicking goals for Hawthorn looking at that forward line

Anyway

Think Jai Newcombe’s odds aren’t too bad, had a shot last week and has kicked goals for Box Hill

$2.63 for 1
$13.50 boosted for 2 SB

SGM
Newcombe
Ham x 2
Koschitzke x 2
@ 33.50 boosted SB

 

[Ohh Ok]

3u - Ridley 20+ disposals - $1.72 - SB
Has cleared 7/10 this season, an elite user of the ball and not afraid to get it into his hands. Takes some kick outs. Line blown out a bit due to going under last two games.

3u - Heppell over 23.5 disposals - $1.85 - TopSport
6/10 on this. Soft match up today, should see plenty of the ball.

2u - Langford 25+ disposals - $2.20 - 365
Has moved into the midfield in recent weeks. CBAs and disposal counts have both risen.

2.5u - O’Meara over 25.5 disposals - $1.87 - Ladbrokes
Picks up some of the slack left behind with Worpel out. Has cleared 6/9 this year.

1.5u - Wingard 20+ disposals - $1.91 - SB
6/9. Mid/wing role improves with Worpel out.

5u - Hind 20+, Mitchell, Parish 25+ disposals - $1.95 - TAB

1.5u - Phillips 15+ disposals, Breust, McDonald 2+ goals - $3.30 - SB
Phillips 11/12, under being against Melbourne which is a tough match up. Bruest 8/12, their main goal threat, 1.2 on the earlier in the year. McDonald-Tippa 9/12, again ultra consistent, 2.1 on them earlier in the year.

 

[NYRB]

Exactly 14 Goals to be kicked in the 2nd half between the Hawthorn Hawks and the Essendon Bombers

Odds: $7.75 (Boosted to $8 with the Booster)

 

[Ohh Ok]

Last pick
4u - Essendon -8.5 - $1.93 - TopSport

 

[ShaunWDT]

I reckon Bombers clear that line but I'd be surprised if they go over 40 points.
1-39 for me.

 

[JuniorWatch]

Loosey Goosey multi:
Langford overs, Parish overs, Impey unders, Dev Smith 20+
$22 SB

 

[X_box_X]

Shiels is paying $1.88 on Pointsbet and $1.87 on Neds for o95.5 fantasy pts. The lay price is $1.83 on BF if you want free money.

 

[Atavistic]

Tippa 3+
Parish and Mitchell 35+ disposals
@14

 

[chrisdon16]

Absolutely no wind today boys. Perfect

 

[Ohh Ok]

Absolutely no wind today boys. Perfect

Doesn't look windy in that photo

 

[jikost]

McEvoy 2-6. Lets go big boy.