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AFL 2021 AFL Round 18

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129 points in the suns-gws matchup at ballarat last week, so going on this going to bet all of these on SB and hopefully total comes in and maybe a decent cash out/check out weather on the day to let it ride

under 100.5 @ 31
under 105.5 @ 18
under 110.5 @ 11
under 115.5 @ 8

Good areas

Under 115.5/Perkings AGS/Shane Lowry Top 5 British Open @ 150/1
 
Perkins kicked 3.3 last week. He's 3.25 for AGS at Neds. 2+@11 and 3+@34 at SB.
I like it, he was a ball magnet inside 50 last week.. hope he can just get 1 this week.

5u Perkins ags @3.25 lads
1u SGM Perkins ags, Jones 2g+ @8.69 lads
0.5u SGM Perkins ags, Jones 2g+ zurhaar ags, stringer, Ridley, LDU, hind 15+ @15.25 lads
1u perkins 2g+ @10 sb
0.5u perkins 2g+ , Jones 2g+ @30.25 sb
0.3u Perkins 3g+ @34. Sb
 

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Total Match Points Lines are out as well (all $1.88 Lines):

Freo v Geelong Under/Over 150.5 pts
Richmond v Geelong Under/Over 149.5 pts
Greater Western Sydney v Sydney Under/Over 143.5 pts
Gold Coast v Western Bulldogs Under/Over 150.5 pts
Melbourne v Hawthorn Under/Over 151.5 pts
St.Kilda v Port Adelaide Under/Over 150.5 pts
North Melbourne v Essendon Under/Over 157.5 pts
Collingwood v Carlton Under/Over 148.5 pts
Adelaide v West Coast Under/Over 154.5 pts


rain expected on each day for majority of games in Melbourne/Ballarat on Saturday and Perth on Thursday. Sunday is less likely chance of rain in Melbourne. Games in Gold Coast and Adelaide expected to have no rain.

Will keep closer check on weather updates between now and game day.
 
A tactic might be worth watching a quarter or 2 in-play and then readjusting your evaluation after watching a quarter or 2.

Eagles v Roos line pre-game was about 140.5 points from memory, at half time the line had adjusted to 108.5 points (48 points had been scored at HT)
 
As if they think keeping a roof open would change anything anyway I dont get these re****s

It's about not getting sued, not stopping people getting sick.

It's just one of a range of ways of showing they tried to address the risks of infection, like having hand sanitizer etc available.

All those things might do absolutely nothing to prevent an outbreak- but they do usually stop someone successfully claiming you've been negligent.
 
Ben long AGS 2.40 Tab.
 

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Zac Langdon @3, 14, 121 sb

80% forward last game, few scoring chances, 1 goal
 

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Mackay should kick a few against us, but I think that's mostly due to his innate ability and high average.

Likely matchup is Roughhead who IMO is an exceptional lock-down KPD, i think there was a stat last year when he did not concede more than 1 goal to his direct opposition 9 weeks in a row or something, despite playing on the best KPF week in week out. Our midfield with the inclusion of Adams has also started to perform quite well.

I'm staying away.
 
Zac Langdon @3, 14, 121 sb

80% forward last game, few scoring chances, 1 goal

Tailing, he’s also kicked 4.1 in 2 games at Adelaide Oval.
 
Like Giants to roll the Swans this week.

They have a good recent record winning 4 of the last 5 against the Swans.
They also more often than not seem to respond after a bad loss.

Appreciate Swans are flying but feel this is a good chance for a let down spot for them at a real challenging venue
they have never seen.
( like the Giants they too have served up some shockers this season....)

Playing in Ballarat in July on an open ground in the wet and wind is going to be tough.
Giants have played at the same venue in poor conditions and more importantly they have
had a sighter with the near always present strong wind has to be some advantage.

This match has low scoring grind written all over it
$2.90 Giants to win under 39.5 pts Sportsbet is overs for me.
 

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AFL 2021 AFL Round 18

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