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AFL 2021 AFL Round 7

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The 1st derby played of each season between these 2 sides (WCE and Freo) are usually cagey games. (if you look at the trend of the last 18 seasons) Don't expect so many goals in the derby or an end-to-end style of game. The better bet, is to bet on disposals.

Factoring into account the shortened quarters of last year, the opening derby average in the last 18 games between these 2 sides is 158.99.


The total match points line for the current game is set at 163.5 points. (Unders/Overs at $1.90 each way)
 
2u - Sheed, Redden, Duggan 20+ disposals - $2.40 - SB


3u - Kennedy and Darling 5+ goals combined - $2.60 - SB
1u - Kennedy and Darling 6+ goals combined - $4 - SB
1u - Kennedy and Darling 7+ goals combined - $8 - SB
Value here! 5+ and 6+ priced at $1.85 and $2.75 on TAB. Collectively averaging over 5 goals this year and have done so between 2016-2018. Inexperience in the Freo backline and getting it into these two +Allen is where the game will be won. Good conditions this arvo for the talls.
 

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if betting on game totals for the derby, I see the 161-170 points range on the Exchange is paying $7.20. That's not a bad bet for insurance purposes.
 
Eagles without their 3 key defenders, their captain and now without a crowd to back them. Have the Dockers ever had a better chance to break their 10 game streak than today?
 
Gone through the points?
has Lingy dropped 3 tabs of acid today?
Does anyone know if the bunker gets audio commentary from the TV coverage?

The quintessential definition of punching above your weight.

browngall4.jpg
 
Fre SU @ 1.98 and 24+ @ 4.2 on betfair

Frederick 3+ @ 15 and 4+ @ 71 on sb

Today is the day Frederick realises his potential, you heard it here first.
 

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Harry Jones is still massive odds for goals. He's going to have a breakout game eventually and a perfect 24 degree day against Carlton is the ideal opportunity as Liam Jones and Weitering will be busy with Wright and Hooker.

Jones 2+ @ $7.5 sb
Jones 3+ @ $34
Jones 4+ @ $101

Maaattteeee leggo!!! One more please!!!
 

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AFL 2021 AFL Round 7

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