balmainforever
Dibs
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AFL 2021 Brownlow Medal (any results after no posting is automatic card)
- Thread starter TheJanuaryMan
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Well played. Was looking at sportsbet odds and couldn’t figure out why you would have bet at $1.30!! Also, saw Lads\Neds market but by that stage Wines was $1.28 although you could see he’d opened $2.50 as he was still listed between 2 players at $2.50 haha
There’ll be value in NM. One poster had Hall on 1 vote, the only NM player polled so far, currently @ 17s
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North were value last year too, some poster had a pretty convincing case on Simpkin and he was paying 21 at tabtouch when I got on post season.
Ended up romping it in
Ended up romping it in
Tex favourite for Crows.
Forwards traditionally underpoll. He's as much chance of being on 4 as 9 right now
Laird 2.25 looks fantastic imo but outside the box, Sholl will rack up disposals and is a good ball user. Could stand out to umpires moving forward and Keays is racking them up + nice hair. Umpires will notice that
Either way, I wouldn't be backing Tex to win our votes. Also has a calf complaint, I'd expect he misses games yet too
Forwards traditionally underpoll. He's as much chance of being on 4 as 9 right now
Laird 2.25 looks fantastic imo but outside the box, Sholl will rack up disposals and is a good ball user. Could stand out to umpires moving forward and Keays is racking them up + nice hair. Umpires will notice that
Either way, I wouldn't be backing Tex to win our votes. Also has a calf complaint, I'd expect he misses games yet too
iluvparis
Import Whisperer
- Apr 1, 2005
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Could end up similar at Carlton with Walsh v McKay
What if Brayshaw wins?
Not just freo tho
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I will look at posting progressing round votes soon. Haven't had a lot of time to until now.
- Mar 27, 2018
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liking these 2 for value on 365..
Keays $26 - $8 on SB looks more accurate, been really good so far and to my eye he stands out in games, something about him.
Greenwood $17 - $4.50 on SB, won it last year after polling really well, always doing the hard stuff getting the umps attention.
Should be really nice cash outs later in the season
Keays $26 - $8 on SB looks more accurate, been really good so far and to my eye he stands out in games, something about him.
Greenwood $17 - $4.50 on SB, won it last year after polling really well, always doing the hard stuff getting the umps attention.
Should be really nice cash outs later in the season
- May 5, 2014
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Problem is 365 don't give profit if you cash out, they just give you your money back if the odds have shortened or stayed the same; or in the event they've gone out they tax you less than what SB and others do to make up for it.
No I’m sure they cashout for profits ...? Odds need to reduce a significant % though
No I can definitely confirm they cash out for profit I just checked my pending bets. Fake news by you
365 wouldn’t accept my $5 bet on Witts. Now they’ve pulled it......
- Sep 17, 2014
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Cost emself 5 bucks
- May 5, 2014
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Oh, ok then, my mistake then.
My experience with them had been nothing that had come in had reduced and I bet on stuff that came in quite a bit.
Bet on a UFC fight where the guy's odds came in by just under 25% and the cashout didn't change, and I reckon I had a AFL futures bet this year that I bet at $11 and the cashout didn't change when the odds were at around $8.
It definitely isn't proportionate to how they change when the odds go out.
What kind of odds change have you had and what has the change to the cashout been?
I’m on Mundy $101 and it’s into $41 still not + cashout.
My bulldogs top 8 bet @ 1.14
Is cashing out for + 4% ROI
Current odds are like 1.06 I think
Anyway definitely cashout for profit just needs to come in enough
- May 5, 2014
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Perhaps it's only applicable to certain markets then?
If Mundy's odds have come in by 60% and they still haven't changed then I'm not sure what more it's going to take.
Just be careful what you bet on if you're betting mainly thinking "cashout" because I made a bet on the rising star and the players odds have not changed from when I placed the bet and my $45 bet has continued to offer a $4.50 cashout option ever since. So maybe it is market dependent.
Actually, now I've just remembered...
I bet a UFC parlay that was offering 10 times or so what I put down on it going into the final leg, but that is the only time I have ever seen the cashout move favourably for me, and the bet had gone in-play so not really applicable to bets where the immediately deciding event on the outcome is still a period away from happening.
Also sholl most Adelaide votes @$67 I will cash that out too.My Ziebel most Roos votes @$26 at the start of the season is now cashing out for 400% ROI
Which I am happy to take
Lesson for next year, take some of the high odds in team votes as they often shorten
Walker most Adelaide votes @$17 is paying out $9 odds... tempting to just take that and run too
- May 20, 2016
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My Ziebel most Roos votes @$26 at the start of the season is now cashing out for 400% ROI
Which I am happy to take
* i wouldn't be cashing this out yet, ziebs looking the goods
- Mar 27, 2018
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I like to put on 2 bets for the same bet -often more than what I actually want to stake so that I can ride one out and cash the other so I get a free roll or even a small profit
- Sep 17, 2014
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Can't see him drifting out more than 5s
Lynch
Bolton
Baker
Cotchin
Houli
best 5 on the park
Bolton
Baker
Cotchin
Houli
best 5 on the park
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