Prediction 2021 Draft Predictions

Remove this Banner Ad

Lore

Moderator ❀
Dec 14, 2015
27,811
39,099
AFL Club
Essendon
For those who aren’t quite in a position to do a full phantom draft, but who would still like to have a go at predicting the draft, please use this thread to post your predictions :)

The current draft order is available in the pinned thread, here:

In accordance with board rules, phantom drafts which do not fulfil the requirements of a full first round using the current draft order (at time of posting), and preferably with a bit of explanation and willingness to explain your decisions, may also be merged into this thread.

Following the Trade Period, the current order for the first round of the draft is:

  1. North Melbourne
  2. GWS Giants
  3. Gold Coast Suns
  4. Adelaide
  5. Hawthorn
  6. Fremantle
  7. Richmond
  8. Fremantle
  9. St Kilda
  10. West Coast Eagles
  11. Essendon
  12. Port Adelaide
  13. GWS Giants
  14. Brisbane Lions
  15. Richmond
  16. Sydney Swans
  17. Melbourne
  18. Brisbane Lions
 
Last edited:

Log in to remove this ad.

theGav56

Brownlow Medallist
Oct 11, 2004
24,750
21,881
Bali
AFL Club
Fremantle
Other Teams
Fremantle
Here's my crack - based on no knowledge whatsoever:

1. Matched bid - Collingwood - Nick Daicos
2. North - Jason Horne-Francis
3. Matched Bid - Bulldogs - Sam Darcy
4. GWS - Josh Gibcus
5. Gold Coast - Finn Callahan
6. Adelaide - Ben Hobbs
7. Hawthorn - Josh Ward
8. Traded from Carlton - Fremantle - Neil Erasmus
9. Matched bid - GWS - Joshua Fahey
10. Live Traded from Richmond - West Coast - Jye Amiss
11. Fremantle - Matthew Johnson
12. St Kilda - Josh Goater
13 Live Traded from West Coast - Richmond - Matthew Roberts
14 Essendon - Josh Sinn
15 Sydney - Mac Andrew
16 Brisbane - Jacob Van Rooyen
17 Richmond - Josh Rachele
19 Port - Arlo Draper
20 Traded from Bulldogs to Richmond - then Live Traded - Geelong - Tyler Sonsie
GWS pick used for Josh Fahey points
21 Brisbane - Campbell Chesser
22 Gold Coast - Darcy Wilmot
23 North - Nasaiah Wanganeen
24 - Hawthorn - Judson Clarke
25 - Gold Coast - Jack Williams
26 - Adelaide - Cooper Murley
27 - Hawthorn - Connor MacDonald
28 - Carlton - Tom Brown
29 - Richmond - Rhett Bazzo
30 - Fremantle - Joshua Browne
Pick traded from Richmond to Bulldogs gone in points
31 - West Coast - Kade Dittmar
32 - Live traded from Geelong - Richmond - Sam Butler
33 - Sydney - Zac Taylor
34 - Geelong - Mitch Nevitt
35 - Melbourne - Ned Long
36 - Geelong - Toby Conway
37 - West Coast - Jesse Motlop
Collingwoods pick(s) gone in points
38 - Adelaide - Leek Aleer
39 - Matched Bid - Saint Kilda - Mitch Owens
40 - North - Hugh Jackson
Really interesting. I would be disappointed if Fremantle walk away from this draft with 3 midfielders and no forwards. Maybe next year is the year both Taberner and Lobb get through uninjured?
 

smurfin

Club Legend
Apr 1, 2016
2,350
6,651
Central Victoria
AFL Club
Richmond
Really interesting. I would be disappointed if Fremantle walk away from this draft with 3 midfielders and no forwards. Maybe next year is the year both Taberner and Lobb get through uninjured?
I'm assuming that if you get Carlton's pick 6 for Cerra, then you'd go best available with that pick - Erasmus in my draft, then Jye Amiss with pick 8.
I ruined that when I let West Coast live trade to the pick before that and steal him off you.
I'm not sure if Van Rooyen or Jack Williams would be too much of a reach there while there are still highly rated midfielders on the board?
For some reason I'm thinking those key forwards will be taken by Freo, Richmond, Brisbane, Gold Coast or Hawthorn - clubs that have already taken a midfielder first and whose second pick is around the right range.
 

theGav56

Brownlow Medallist
Oct 11, 2004
24,750
21,881
Bali
AFL Club
Fremantle
Other Teams
Fremantle
I'm assuming that if you get Carlton's pick 6 for Cerra, then you'd go best available with that pick - Erasmus in my draft, then Jye Amiss with pick 8.
I ruined that when I let West Coast live trade to the pick before that and steal him off you.
I'm not sure if Van Rooyen or Jack Williams would be too much of a reach there while there are still highly rated midfielders on the board?
For some reason I'm thinking those key forwards will be taken by Freo, Richmond, Brisbane, Gold Coast or Hawthorn - clubs that have already taken a midfielder first and whose second pick is around the right range.
Yes I thought the rat-cunning move you had WC do was very shrewd, and not impossible. It is a move I could see them making in the right circumstances. In fact if we aren't sold on Erasmus we could entertain a deal for our first and end up with Amiss (with pick 8/10) and Wanganeen-Millera/Rachele/Johnson (with WC pick) plus some change (Hough).
 

smurfin

Club Legend
Apr 1, 2016
2,350
6,651
Central Victoria
AFL Club
Richmond
Yes I thought the rat-cunning move you had WC do was very shrewd, and not impossible. It is a move I could see them making in the right circumstances. In fact if we aren't sold on Erasmus we could entertain a deal for our first and end up with Amiss (with pick 8/10) and Wanganeen-Millera/Rachele/Johnson (with WC pick) plus some change (Hough).
It could be a really interesting draft.
If after the top 5, the next 20-30 are really as even as they say, it gives clubs with the early picks a good opportunity to sell them to clubs desperate to get in early. Drop down 5 or 10 spots to pick a similar player to who you would have anyway while upgrading next year's draft hand.
 

bird_man

Brownlow Medallist
Jan 14, 2012
28,556
64,516
The River Murray
AFL Club
St Kilda
1. Daicos* - Collingwood match North
2. Horne - North Melbourne
3. Darcy* - WB match GWS
4. Callaghan - GWS Giants (from Collingwood)
5. Gibcus - Gold Coast
6. Ward - Adelaide
7. Hobbs - Hawthorn
8. Rachele - Carlton
9. Erasmus - Richmond
10. Amiss - Fremantle
11. Sonsie - St Kilda
12. Sinn - West Coast
13. Goater - Essendon
14. Andrew - Sydney
15. Draper - GWS Giants
16 - Chesser- Brisbane Lions
17 - Roberts - Richmond (from Geelong)
18. Wanganeen-Milera - Port Adelaide
19. Johnson - Brisbane Lions (from Melbourne)
 

Big_Newon

Debutant
Jul 12, 2021
77
58
AFL Club
Richmond
1. Daicos* - Collingwood match North
2. Horne - North Melbourne
3. Darcy* - WB match GWS
4. Callaghan - GWS Giants (from Collingwood)
5. Gibcus - Gold Coast
6. Ward - Adelaide
7. Hobbs - Hawthorn
8. Rachele - Carlton
9. Erasmus - Richmond
10. Amiss - Fremantle
11. Sonsie - St Kilda
12. Sinn - West Coast
13. Goater - Essendon
14. Andrew - Sydney
15. Draper - GWS Giants
16 - Chesser- Brisbane Lions
17 - Roberts - Richmond (from Geelong)
18. Wanganeen-Milera - Port Adelaide
19. Johnson - Brisbane Lions (from Melbourne)
Hawks wouldnt take Hobbs
 

briztoon

Wannabe Draft Nuffie
Nov 28, 2015
16,614
17,021
Brisbane
AFL Club
Brisbane Lions
Other Teams
NUFC, Philadelphia 76'ers
It could be a really interesting draft.
If after the top 5, the next 20-30 are really as even as they say, it gives clubs with the early picks a good opportunity to sell them to clubs desperate to get in early. Drop down 5 or 10 spots to pick a similar player to who you would have anyway while upgrading next year's draft hand.
Honestly don’t believe it’s an even draft between 5 and 30.

We simply haven’t seen enough of the Vic kids. If we had, there would be a better understanding of the draft prospects.
 

(Log in to remove this ad.)

Blackhawk42

Norm Smith Medallist
Feb 5, 2018
7,335
14,994
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Other Teams
Chicago Blackhawks Melb Renegades
Here's my crack - based on no knowledge whatsoever:

1. Matched bid - Collingwood - Nick Daicos
2. North - Jason Horne-Francis
3. Matched Bid - Bulldogs - Sam Darcy
4. GWS - Josh Gibcus
5. Gold Coast - Finn Callahan
6. Adelaide - Ben Hobbs
7. Hawthorn - Josh Ward
8. Traded from Carlton - Fremantle - Neil Erasmus
9. Matched bid - GWS - Joshua Fahey
10. Live Traded from Richmond - West Coast - Jye Amiss
11. Fremantle - Matthew Johnson
12. St Kilda - Josh Goater
13 Live Traded from West Coast - Richmond - Matthew Roberts
14 Essendon - Josh Sinn
15 Sydney - Mac Andrew
16 Brisbane - Jacob Van Rooyen
17 Richmond - Josh Rachele
19 Port - Arlo Draper
20 Traded from Bulldogs to Richmond - then Live Traded - Geelong - Tyler Sonsie
GWS pick used for Josh Fahey points
21 Brisbane - Campbell Chesser
22 Gold Coast - Darcy Wilmot
23 North - Nasaiah Wanganeen
24 - Hawthorn - Judson Clarke
25 - Gold Coast - Jack Williams
26 - Adelaide - Cooper Murley
27 - Hawthorn - Connor MacDonald
28 - Carlton - Tom Brown
29 - Richmond - Rhett Bazzo
30 - Fremantle - Joshua Browne
Pick traded from Richmond to Bulldogs gone in points
31 - West Coast - Kade Dittmar
32 - Live traded from Geelong - Richmond - Sam Butler
33 - Sydney - Zac Taylor
34 - Geelong - Mitch Nevitt
35 - Melbourne - Ned Long
36 - Geelong - Toby Conway
37 - West Coast - Jesse Motlop
Collingwoods pick(s) gone in points
38 - Adelaide - Leek Aleer
39 - Matched Bid - Saint Kilda - Mitch Owens
40 - North - Hugh Jackson
Would love this haul. I'm all in on Ward and Clarke in particular.
 

ArdentEagle

Old enough to know better, too drunk to try.
Feb 12, 2008
6,581
11,446
Minor Infraction
AFL Club
West Coast
Honestly don’t believe it’s an even draft between 5 and 30.

We simply haven’t seen enough of the Vic kids. If we had, there would be a better understanding of the draft prospects.
A poster on our board who is linked with our club in this department said it was very difficult of that exact reason...I asked their opinion of the quality/depth of this draft.


"Really hard to determine. Comparing boys in WA playing PSA v those playing Colts v those playing league v those playing country footy in Vic or Tas v those who are metro Melb and have hardly played in 2 years. And these last 2 years are probably the most important in terms of footy development in the teenage years.

So projections are really difficult.

But in answer to your question - 2 or 3 above a list of 10-12 then another group of 20.
Talls not as dominant as in past but still some reasonable quality. Mids lack real top end quality in large numbers but those considered above average are quite numerous."
 

big freo

Nathan O'Driscoll
Aug 31, 2021
58
106
AFL Club
Fremantle
With what I know about other teams needs (next to nothing) here's my prediction

1. Collingwood - Nick Daicos* matched bid
2. North Melbourne - Jason Horne-Francis
3. Western Bulldogs - Sam Darcy* matched bid
4. GWS - Josh Gibcus
5. Gold Coast - Finn Callaghan
6. Adelaide - Neil Erasmus
7. Hawthorn - Ben Hobbs
8. Freo (from Carlton) - Josh Rachele
9. Richmond - Josh Ward
10. Freo - Jacob van Rooyen
11. St. Kilda - Mac Andrew
12. West Coast - Matthew Johnson
13. Essendon - Arlo Draper
14. Sydney - Josh Sinn
15. GWS - Jye Amiss
16. Brisbane - Josh Goater
17. Richmond - Sam Butler
18 Port Adelaide - Matthew Roberts
19. Brisbane - Toby Conway
 

GWS Goose

Norm Smith Medallist
Nov 14, 2011
8,103
13,882
Emu Plains
AFL Club
GWS
With what I know about other teams needs (next to nothing) here's my prediction

1. Collingwood - Nick Daicos* matched bid
2. North Melbourne - Jason Horne-Francis
3. Western Bulldogs - Sam Darcy* matched bid
4. GWS - Josh Gibcus
5. Gold Coast - Finn Callaghan
6. Adelaide - Neil Erasmus
7. Hawthorn - Ben Hobbs
8. Freo (from Carlton) - Josh Rachele
9. Richmond - Josh Ward
10. Freo - Jacob van Rooyen
11. St. Kilda - Mac Andrew
12. West Coast - Matthew Johnson
13. Essendon - Arlo Draper
14. Sydney - Josh Sinn
15. GWS - Jye Amiss
16. Brisbane - Josh Goater
17. Richmond - Sam Butler
18 Port Adelaide - Matthew Roberts
19. Brisbane - Toby Conway
Id be happy with that.

I reckon Id be more happy with Callaghan and Amiss, but either way,
 

briztoon

Wannabe Draft Nuffie
Nov 28, 2015
16,614
17,021
Brisbane
AFL Club
Brisbane Lions
Other Teams
NUFC, Philadelphia 76'ers
With what I know about other teams needs (next to nothing) here's my prediction

1. Collingwood - Nick Daicos* matched bid
2. North Melbourne - Jason Horne-Francis
3. Western Bulldogs - Sam Darcy* matched bid
4. GWS - Josh Gibcus
5. Gold Coast - Finn Callaghan
6. Adelaide - Neil Erasmus
7. Hawthorn - Ben Hobbs
8. Freo (from Carlton) - Josh Rachele
9. Richmond - Josh Ward
10. Freo - Jacob van Rooyen
11. St. Kilda - Mac Andrew
12. West Coast - Matthew Johnson
13. Essendon - Arlo Draper
14. Sydney - Josh Sinn
15. GWS - Jye Amiss
16. Brisbane - Josh Goater
17. Richmond - Sam Butler
18 Port Adelaide - Matthew Roberts
19. Brisbane - Toby Conway
Love Brisbane’s first pick. Conway isn’t a need for Brisbane (a cheap, mature, stop gap ruck forward might be).

Personally I would have selected Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera at our second pick.

Goater and NWM would be a very popular combination on the Lions board.
 

RedmanWasHere

Rarely in kitchens at parties.
Aug 23, 2010
19,836
16,871
Information Superhighway
AFL Club
Essendon
Other Teams
Exers, Gryffindor, Rich & Ess AFLW,
Love Brisbane’s first pick. Conway isn’t a need for Brisbane (a cheap, mature, stop gap ruck forward might be).

Personally I would have selected Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera at our second pick.

Goater and NWM would be a very popular combination on the Lions board.

Wouldn't you have Conway as a replacement for Archie?
 

Swiggy

All Australian
Oct 9, 2014
928
1,042
AFL Club
Fremantle
With what I know about other teams needs (next to nothing) here's my prediction

1. Collingwood - Nick Daicos* matched bid
2. North Melbourne - Jason Horne-Francis
3. Western Bulldogs - Sam Darcy* matched bid
4. GWS - Josh Gibcus
5. Gold Coast - Finn Callaghan
6. Adelaide - Neil Erasmus
7. Hawthorn - Ben Hobbs
8. Freo (from Carlton) - Josh Rachele
9. Richmond - Josh Ward
10. Freo - Jacob van Rooyen
11. St. Kilda - Mac Andrew
12. West Coast - Matthew Johnson
13. Essendon - Arlo Draper
14. Sydney - Josh Sinn
15. GWS - Jye Amiss
16. Brisbane - Josh Goater
17. Richmond - Sam Butler
18 Port Adelaide - Matthew Roberts
19. Brisbane - Toby Conway
don’t think freo would take JVR that early.
 

Blackhawk42

Norm Smith Medallist
Feb 5, 2018
7,335
14,994
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Other Teams
Chicago Blackhawks Melb Renegades
With what I know about other teams needs (next to nothing) here's my prediction

1. Collingwood - Nick Daicos* matched bid
2. North Melbourne - Jason Horne-Francis
3. Western Bulldogs - Sam Darcy* matched bid
4. GWS - Josh Gibcus
5. Gold Coast - Finn Callaghan
6. Adelaide - Neil Erasmus
7. Hawthorn - Ben Hobbs
8. Freo (from Carlton) - Josh Rachele
9. Richmond - Josh Ward
10. Freo - Jacob van Rooyen
11. St. Kilda - Mac Andrew
12. West Coast - Matthew Johnson
13. Essendon - Arlo Draper
14. Sydney - Josh Sinn
15. GWS - Jye Amiss
16. Brisbane - Josh Goater
17. Richmond - Sam Butler
18 Port Adelaide - Matthew Roberts
19. Brisbane - Toby Conway
Unless we lose Tom Mitchell, I think most Hawks fans are hoping we read out Wards name before Hobbs.
 

Remove this Banner Ad

Remove this Banner Ad