Prediction 2021 Draft Predictions

[Lore]

For those who aren’t quite in a position to do a full phantom draft, but who would still like to have a go at predicting the draft, please use this thread to post your predictions

The current draft order is available in the pinned thread, here:

Resource - 2021 AFL Draft Order

Every trade as it happens!

www.bigfooty.com

In accordance with board rules, phantom drafts which do not fulfil the requirements of a full first round using the current draft order (at time of posting), and preferably with a bit of explanation and willingness to explain your decisions, may also be merged into this thread.

Following the Trade Period, the current order for the first round of the draft is:

1. North Melbourne
2. GWS Giants
3. Gold Coast Suns
4. Adelaide
5. Hawthorn
6. Fremantle
7. Richmond
8. Fremantle
9. St Kilda
10. West Coast Eagles
11. Essendon
12. Port Adelaide
13. GWS Giants
14. Brisbane Lions
15. Richmond
16. Sydney Swans
17. Melbourne
18. Brisbane Lions

 

[RedmanWasHere]

Just wondering if I can submit another one.

 

[Lore]

Just wondering if I can submit another one.

Just a predictions thread so I don’t see why you cant update it. Official comp will be after the draft order is settled

 

[RedmanWasHere]

Just a predictions thread so I don’t see why you cant update it. Official comp will be after the draft order is settled

Thank you Lore.

 

[theGav56]

Here's my crack - based on no knowledge whatsoever:

1. Matched bid - Collingwood - Nick Daicos
2. North - Jason Horne-Francis
3. Matched Bid - Bulldogs - Sam Darcy
4. GWS - Josh Gibcus
5. Gold Coast - Finn Callahan
6. Adelaide - Ben Hobbs
7. Hawthorn - Josh Ward
8. Traded from Carlton - Fremantle - Neil Erasmus
9. Matched bid - GWS - Joshua Fahey
10. Live Traded from Richmond - West Coast - Jye Amiss
11. Fremantle - Matthew Johnson
12. St Kilda - Josh Goater
13 Live Traded from West Coast - Richmond - Matthew Roberts
14 Essendon - Josh Sinn
15 Sydney - Mac Andrew
16 Brisbane - Jacob Van Rooyen
17 Richmond - Josh Rachele
19 Port - Arlo Draper
20 Traded from Bulldogs to Richmond - then Live Traded - Geelong - Tyler Sonsie
GWS pick used for Josh Fahey points
21 Brisbane - Campbell Chesser
22 Gold Coast - Darcy Wilmot
23 North - Nasaiah Wanganeen
24 - Hawthorn - Judson Clarke
25 - Gold Coast - Jack Williams
26 - Adelaide - Cooper Murley
27 - Hawthorn - Connor MacDonald
28 - Carlton - Tom Brown
29 - Richmond - Rhett Bazzo
30 - Fremantle - Joshua Browne
Pick traded from Richmond to Bulldogs gone in points
31 - West Coast - Kade Dittmar
32 - Live traded from Geelong - Richmond - Sam Butler
33 - Sydney - Zac Taylor
34 - Geelong - Mitch Nevitt
35 - Melbourne - Ned Long
36 - Geelong - Toby Conway
37 - West Coast - Jesse Motlop
Collingwoods pick(s) gone in points
38 - Adelaide - Leek Aleer
39 - Matched Bid - Saint Kilda - Mitch Owens
40 - North - Hugh Jackson

Really interesting. I would be disappointed if Fremantle walk away from this draft with 3 midfielders and no forwards. Maybe next year is the year both Taberner and Lobb get through uninjured?

 

[smurfin]

Really interesting. I would be disappointed if Fremantle walk away from this draft with 3 midfielders and no forwards. Maybe next year is the year both Taberner and Lobb get through uninjured?

I'm assuming that if you get Carlton's pick 6 for Cerra, then you'd go best available with that pick - Erasmus in my draft, then Jye Amiss with pick 8.
I ruined that when I let West Coast live trade to the pick before that and steal him off you.
I'm not sure if Van Rooyen or Jack Williams would be too much of a reach there while there are still highly rated midfielders on the board?
For some reason I'm thinking those key forwards will be taken by Freo, Richmond, Brisbane, Gold Coast or Hawthorn - clubs that have already taken a midfielder first and whose second pick is around the right range.

 

[Wrenny]

Theres about 10 in here and a few in the threads of draft watchers

I meant a board one where the draft experts pick a team and it's one by one. Live trading etc included

 

[PMBangers]

I meant a board one where the draft experts pick a team and it's one by one. Live trading etc included

Won't do live trading but there'll be one post trade period

 

[theGav56]

I'm assuming that if you get Carlton's pick 6 for Cerra, then you'd go best available with that pick - Erasmus in my draft, then Jye Amiss with pick 8.
I ruined that when I let West Coast live trade to the pick before that and steal him off you.
I'm not sure if Van Rooyen or Jack Williams would be too much of a reach there while there are still highly rated midfielders on the board?
For some reason I'm thinking those key forwards will be taken by Freo, Richmond, Brisbane, Gold Coast or Hawthorn - clubs that have already taken a midfielder first and whose second pick is around the right range.

Yes I thought the rat-cunning move you had WC do was very shrewd, and not impossible. It is a move I could see them making in the right circumstances. In fact if we aren't sold on Erasmus we could entertain a deal for our first and end up with Amiss (with pick 8/10) and Wanganeen-Millera/Rachele/Johnson (with WC pick) plus some change (Hough).

 

[smurfin]

Yes I thought the rat-cunning move you had WC do was very shrewd, and not impossible. It is a move I could see them making in the right circumstances. In fact if we aren't sold on Erasmus we could entertain a deal for our first and end up with Amiss (with pick 8/10) and Wanganeen-Millera/Rachele/Johnson (with WC pick) plus some change (Hough).

It could be a really interesting draft.
If after the top 5, the next 20-30 are really as even as they say, it gives clubs with the early picks a good opportunity to sell them to clubs desperate to get in early. Drop down 5 or 10 spots to pick a similar player to who you would have anyway while upgrading next year's draft hand.

 

[bird_man]

1. Daicos* - Collingwood match North
2. Horne - North Melbourne
3. Darcy* - WB match GWS
4. Callaghan - GWS Giants (from Collingwood)
5. Gibcus - Gold Coast
6. Ward - Adelaide
7. Hobbs - Hawthorn
8. Rachele - Carlton
9. Erasmus - Richmond
10. Amiss - Fremantle
11. Sonsie - St Kilda
12. Sinn - West Coast
13. Goater - Essendon
14. Andrew - Sydney
15. Draper - GWS Giants
16 - Chesser- Brisbane Lions
17 - Roberts - Richmond (from Geelong)
18. Wanganeen-Milera - Port Adelaide
19. Johnson - Brisbane Lions (from Melbourne)

 

[Big_Newon]

1. Daicos* - Collingwood match North
2. Horne - North Melbourne
3. Darcy* - WB match GWS
4. Callaghan - GWS Giants (from Collingwood)
5. Gibcus - Gold Coast
6. Ward - Adelaide
7. Hobbs - Hawthorn
8. Rachele - Carlton
9. Erasmus - Richmond
10. Amiss - Fremantle
11. Sonsie - St Kilda
12. Sinn - West Coast
13. Goater - Essendon
14. Andrew - Sydney
15. Draper - GWS Giants
16 - Chesser- Brisbane Lions
17 - Roberts - Richmond (from Geelong)
18. Wanganeen-Milera - Port Adelaide
19. Johnson - Brisbane Lions (from Melbourne)

Hawks wouldnt take Hobbs

 

[bird_man]

Hawks wouldnt take Hobbs

Ok

 

[briztoon]

It could be a really interesting draft.
If after the top 5, the next 20-30 are really as even as they say, it gives clubs with the early picks a good opportunity to sell them to clubs desperate to get in early. Drop down 5 or 10 spots to pick a similar player to who you would have anyway while upgrading next year's draft hand.

Honestly don’t believe it’s an even draft between 5 and 30.

We simply haven’t seen enough of the Vic kids. If we had, there would be a better understanding of the draft prospects.

 

[Blackhawk42]

Here's my crack - based on no knowledge whatsoever:

1. Matched bid - Collingwood - Nick Daicos
2. North - Jason Horne-Francis
3. Matched Bid - Bulldogs - Sam Darcy
4. GWS - Josh Gibcus
5. Gold Coast - Finn Callahan
6. Adelaide - Ben Hobbs
7. Hawthorn - Josh Ward
8. Traded from Carlton - Fremantle - Neil Erasmus
9. Matched bid - GWS - Joshua Fahey
10. Live Traded from Richmond - West Coast - Jye Amiss
11. Fremantle - Matthew Johnson
12. St Kilda - Josh Goater
13 Live Traded from West Coast - Richmond - Matthew Roberts
14 Essendon - Josh Sinn
15 Sydney - Mac Andrew
16 Brisbane - Jacob Van Rooyen
17 Richmond - Josh Rachele
19 Port - Arlo Draper
20 Traded from Bulldogs to Richmond - then Live Traded - Geelong - Tyler Sonsie
GWS pick used for Josh Fahey points
21 Brisbane - Campbell Chesser
22 Gold Coast - Darcy Wilmot
23 North - Nasaiah Wanganeen
24 - Hawthorn - Judson Clarke
25 - Gold Coast - Jack Williams
26 - Adelaide - Cooper Murley
27 - Hawthorn - Connor MacDonald
28 - Carlton - Tom Brown
29 - Richmond - Rhett Bazzo
30 - Fremantle - Joshua Browne
Pick traded from Richmond to Bulldogs gone in points
31 - West Coast - Kade Dittmar
32 - Live traded from Geelong - Richmond - Sam Butler
33 - Sydney - Zac Taylor
34 - Geelong - Mitch Nevitt
35 - Melbourne - Ned Long
36 - Geelong - Toby Conway
37 - West Coast - Jesse Motlop
Collingwoods pick(s) gone in points
38 - Adelaide - Leek Aleer
39 - Matched Bid - Saint Kilda - Mitch Owens
40 - North - Hugh Jackson

Would love this haul. I'm all in on Ward and Clarke in particular.

 

[TylerDurden]

Hawks wouldnt take Hobbs

If he's best talent available, we shall.

 

[ArdentEagle]

Honestly don’t believe it’s an even draft between 5 and 30.

We simply haven’t seen enough of the Vic kids. If we had, there would be a better understanding of the draft prospects.

A poster on our board who is linked with our club in this department said it was very difficult of that exact reason...I asked their opinion of the quality/depth of this draft.


"Really hard to determine. Comparing boys in WA playing PSA v those playing Colts v those playing league v those playing country footy in Vic or Tas v those who are metro Melb and have hardly played in 2 years. And these last 2 years are probably the most important in terms of footy development in the teenage years.

So projections are really difficult.

But in answer to your question - 2 or 3 above a list of 10-12 then another group of 20.
Talls not as dominant as in past but still some reasonable quality. Mids lack real top end quality in large numbers but those considered above average are quite numerous."

 

[big freo]

With what I know about other teams needs (next to nothing) here's my prediction

1. Collingwood - Nick Daicos* matched bid
2. North Melbourne - Jason Horne-Francis
3. Western Bulldogs - Sam Darcy* matched bid
4. GWS - Josh Gibcus
5. Gold Coast - Finn Callaghan
6. Adelaide - Neil Erasmus
7. Hawthorn - Ben Hobbs
8. Freo (from Carlton) - Josh Rachele
9. Richmond - Josh Ward
10. Freo - Jacob van Rooyen
11. St. Kilda - Mac Andrew
12. West Coast - Matthew Johnson
13. Essendon - Arlo Draper
14. Sydney - Josh Sinn
15. GWS - Jye Amiss
16. Brisbane - Josh Goater
17. Richmond - Sam Butler

Multiple players found. Use birthday to differentiate. eg [PLAYERCARD="23/11/1962"]Joe Smith[/PLAYERCARD]

18 Port Adelaide - Matthew Roberts
19. Brisbane - Toby Conway

 

[GWS Goose]

With what I know about other teams needs (next to nothing) here's my prediction

1. Collingwood - Nick Daicos* matched bid
2. North Melbourne - Jason Horne-Francis
3. Western Bulldogs - Sam Darcy* matched bid
4. GWS - Josh Gibcus
5. Gold Coast - Finn Callaghan
6. Adelaide - Neil Erasmus
7. Hawthorn - Ben Hobbs
8. Freo (from Carlton) - Josh Rachele
9. Richmond - Josh Ward
10. Freo - Jacob van Rooyen
11. St. Kilda - Mac Andrew
12. West Coast - Matthew Johnson
13. Essendon - Arlo Draper
14. Sydney - Josh Sinn
15. GWS - Jye Amiss
16. Brisbane - Josh Goater
17. Richmond - Sam Butler
18 Port Adelaide - Matthew Roberts
19. Brisbane - Toby Conway

Id be happy with that.

I reckon Id be more happy with Callaghan and Amiss, but either way,

 

[briztoon]

With what I know about other teams needs (next to nothing) here's my prediction

1. Collingwood - Nick Daicos* matched bid
2. North Melbourne - Jason Horne-Francis
3. Western Bulldogs - Sam Darcy* matched bid
4. GWS - Josh Gibcus
5. Gold Coast - Finn Callaghan
6. Adelaide - Neil Erasmus
7. Hawthorn - Ben Hobbs
8. Freo (from Carlton) - Josh Rachele
9. Richmond - Josh Ward
10. Freo - Jacob van Rooyen
11. St. Kilda - Mac Andrew
12. West Coast - Matthew Johnson
13. Essendon - Arlo Draper
14. Sydney - Josh Sinn
15. GWS - Jye Amiss
16. Brisbane - Josh Goater
17. Richmond - Sam Butler
18 Port Adelaide - Matthew Roberts
19. Brisbane - Toby Conway

Love Brisbane’s first pick. Conway isn’t a need for Brisbane (a cheap, mature, stop gap ruck forward might be).

Personally I would have selected Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera at our second pick.

Goater and NWM would be a very popular combination on the Lions board.

 

[RedmanWasHere]

Love Brisbane’s first pick. Conway isn’t a need for Brisbane (a cheap, mature, stop gap ruck forward might be).

Personally I would have selected Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera at our second pick.

Goater and NWM would be a very popular combination on the Lions board.

Wouldn't you have Conway as a replacement for Archie?

 

[PMBangers]

Wouldn't you have Conway as a replacement for Archie?

They've got Lane and Smith already further along than Conway for that

 

[RedmanWasHere]

They've got Lane and Smith already further along than Conway for that

Forgot about Kalin Lane.

 

[Swiggy]

With what I know about other teams needs (next to nothing) here's my prediction

1. Collingwood - Nick Daicos* matched bid
2. North Melbourne - Jason Horne-Francis
3. Western Bulldogs - Sam Darcy* matched bid
4. GWS - Josh Gibcus
5. Gold Coast - Finn Callaghan
6. Adelaide - Neil Erasmus
7. Hawthorn - Ben Hobbs
8. Freo (from Carlton) - Josh Rachele
9. Richmond - Josh Ward
10. Freo - Jacob van Rooyen
11. St. Kilda - Mac Andrew
12. West Coast - Matthew Johnson
13. Essendon - Arlo Draper
14. Sydney - Josh Sinn
15. GWS - Jye Amiss
16. Brisbane - Josh Goater
17. Richmond - Sam Butler
18 Port Adelaide - Matthew Roberts
19. Brisbane - Toby Conway

don’t think freo would take JVR that early.

 

[Giant Strides]

don’t think freo would take JVR that early.

Jye Amiss?

 

[Blackhawk42]

With what I know about other teams needs (next to nothing) here's my prediction

1. Collingwood - Nick Daicos* matched bid
2. North Melbourne - Jason Horne-Francis
3. Western Bulldogs - Sam Darcy* matched bid
4. GWS - Josh Gibcus
5. Gold Coast - Finn Callaghan
6. Adelaide - Neil Erasmus
7. Hawthorn - Ben Hobbs
8. Freo (from Carlton) - Josh Rachele
9. Richmond - Josh Ward
10. Freo - Jacob van Rooyen
11. St. Kilda - Mac Andrew
12. West Coast - Matthew Johnson
13. Essendon - Arlo Draper
14. Sydney - Josh Sinn
15. GWS - Jye Amiss
16. Brisbane - Josh Goater
17. Richmond - Sam Butler
18 Port Adelaide - Matthew Roberts
19. Brisbane - Toby Conway

Unless we lose Tom Mitchell, I think most Hawks fans are hoping we read out Wards name before Hobbs.