NFL 2021 NFL - Week 2

[AmericanCrow]

I’ll save Crow the busy work. The issue most people intuitively have (incorrectly) is that they view getting to OT as the goal. But you lose half the time when you get there. The goal should be to win. And what gives you your best chance of winning is going for 2.

Except that is not accurate is it? Team possessing football first in OT has better chance to win.

I mean if we are going to be believers in the algorithms why ignore that?

I have a 50/50 shot to win the flip and get the greater odds to win game.

Winning the flip is better odds than making a 2 is it not?

 

[AmericanAFL]

Except that is not accurate is it? Team possessing football first in OT has better chance to win.

I mean if we are going to be believers in the algorithms why ignore that?

I have a 50/50 shot to win the flip and get the greater odds to win game.

Winning the flip is better odds than making a 2 is it not?

Dude. Please delete this for your own good.

 

[AmericanCrow]

Dude. Please delete this for your own good.

Why? You saying a coin flip is worse odds than 48% chance of success?

 

[AmericanAFL]

I found this visual which should help. It uses a 50% success rate for success on 2pt tries. If it’s a bit lower, it’s probably obviated by the fact that extra point kicks aren’t 100% either.

 

[AmericanAFL]

Why? You saying a coin flip is worse odds than 48% chance of success?

Just start deleting man

 

[AmericanCrow]

It isn’t a 50% success rate

 

[AmericanCrow]

Just start deleting man

Whatever

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Cam Newton to sign with Miami I reckon if Tua injury puts him on IR

 

[AmericanAFL]

It isn’t a 50% success rate

Vegas is calling you

 

[Exe Gesis]

Cam Newton to sign with Miami I reckon if Tua injury puts him on IR

Would be wise Brissett is crap

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Would be wise Brissett is crap

Talking bout it with Danny on sleeper, makes too much sense, behind that s**t oline, need a big guy who can take some hits, its lambs to the slaughter, one year deal, move on from him next year with a better oline hopefully.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Rookie QBs making me vommit all over myself today. Panthers and Broncos justified perhaps

Zach, horrible already documented
Trev 14/33 for 130 yards, * me
Fields green and horrible

Mac Jones gets a pass as all he had to do was game manage.

 

[Exe Gesis]

Talking bout it with Danny on sleeper, makes too much sense, behind that sh*t oline, need a big guy who can take some hits, its lambs to the slaughter, one year deal, move on from him next year with a better oline hopefully.

Also, Tua sucks. So does Brissett, so does Simmett

 

[AmericanAFL]

Rookie QBs making me vommit all over myself today. Panthers and Broncos justified perhaps

Zach, horrible already documented
Trev 14/33 for 130 yards, fu** me
Fields green and horrible

Mac Jones gets a pass as all he had to do was game manage.

Curious how many of these games have you watched mate.

 

[AmericanAFL]

Also, Tua sucks. So does Brissett, so does Simmett

Yea I’ve never been a believer in Tua.

 

[Exe Gesis]

Im saying it tho....send the Rama a third for Perkins hes a stud, and sign Newton. Perkins backs up Newton. Gotta adapt and change anyway, cos if no Tua, the other guys cant run that offense well at all, and Miami HAS TO not throw away season at 1-1 on Brissett if Tua IRd for long time

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Curious how many of these games have you watched mate.

Had Jags on in the background this morning on TV, watched Panthers on desktop

Watched Zach this arvo, seen Fields highlight package, all the throws /plays he made

 

[Exe Gesis]

Lawrence will be fine, so will Fields. Maybe some worry with Wilson after today but he'll be fine. Jones wont lose games, manager at the moment.

 

[AmericanAFL]

Had Jags on in the background this morning on TV, watched Panthers on desktop

Watched Zach this arvo, seen Fields highlight package, all the throws he made

It’s impressive. I’ve only seen half of the eagles game (effing youth soccer jacking up my day), about 20% of cowboys/chargers and about half of the chiefs/Ravens.

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

It’s impressive. I’ve only seen half of the eagles game (effing youth soccer jacking up my day), about 20% of cowboys/chargers and about half of the chiefs/Ravens.

Its not that hard really when youre watching two games at the same time this morning for one.

Fields plays and throws is like a 5 min video

Condensed version of Pats and Jets

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

CEH bust

 

[LittleG]

I found this visual which should help. It uses a 50% success rate for success on 2pt tries. If it’s a bit lower, it’s probably obviated by the fact that extra point kicks aren’t 100% either.



View attachment 1241074

Use the actual 48.2% (2-point conversion) & the 95% extra point; to get to the ~58%.

 

[AmericanAFL]

Use the actual 48.2% (2-point conversion) & the 95% extra point; to get to the ~58%.

Thanks mate, appreciate you doing the work for me- I’m really lazy.

Hate to point out the obvious here, but 58 is higher than 50, correct?

 

[LittleG]

Thanks mate, appreciate you doing the work for me- I’m really lazy.

Hate to point out the obvious here, but 58 is higher than 50, correct?

 

[A11dAtP0w3R]

Just had a look at the box score in the Panthers saints game, Kamara 8 carries for 5 yards. Holy s**t. I knew we played him well but didn't realise it was that good.