T20I 2021 T20 World Cup - Australia v Sri Lanka 29 October 2021 1am AEDT

[LukeParkerno1]

Unchanged lineup.

Damn it wish Pie Man was out

 

[kozi]

You need to bowl first in these conditions

Yeah not necessarily. We really should be winning either way

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Omg Dale Steyn and his hairdo lol

Maxy might only have the second worst!

 

[samFFC]

Yeah not necessarily. We really should be winning either way

Agreed. But odds are much better if bowling first.
We went from $1.35 to 1.25 post-toss.

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Yeah not necessarily. We really should be winning either way

The dew is a HUGE factor in the UAE it just is I hate it but it is.

 

[corbies]

How drunk was the person at the ICC that came up with concept of 2 uneven pools.

If Bangladesh had beaten Scotland they wouldn't look so uneven on paper. What would you have done? Manipulated it so as to deny Scotland the place they earned by beating Bangladesh and topping their group?

The other group has 3 of the top 4 as well as 4 of the top 7 sides in the rankings.

 

[kozi]

Agreed. But odds are much better if bowling first.
We went from $1.35 to 1.25 post-toss.

Discounting the 10% vig factored into the odds

$1.35 implies a 74% chance of winning
$1.25 implies an 80% chance of winning

With the stink being made about bowling first you’d think it’s a 60% swing in terms of win rate rather than the far smaller actuality according to bookmakers

 

[Whiskers]

How drunk was the person at the ICC that came up with concept of 2 uneven pools.

It’s about qualifying. Bangladesh finishing 2nd by losing to Scotland just makes it look uneven.
If they beat them and Sri Lanka had an upset loss, things are reversed and we get Scotland and Namibia.

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Discounting the 10% vig factored into the odds

$1.35 implies a 74% chance of winning
$1.25 implies an 80% chance of winning

With the stink being made about bowling first you’d think it’s a 60% swing in terms of win rate rather than the 6% actuality according to bookmakers

You can’t swing that much from $1.30! You’ll find ever team bowls first this World Cup

 

[NYRB]

Sri Lanka (Playing XI): Kusal Perera(w), Pathum Nissanka, Charith Asalanka, Avishka Fernando, Wanindu Hasaranga, Bhanuka Rajapaksa, Dasun Shanaka(c), Chamika Karunaratne, Dushmantha Chameera, Lahiru Kumara, Maheesh Theekshana

Australia (Playing XI): David Warner, Aaron Finch(c), Mitchell Marsh, Steven Smith, Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, Matthew Wade(w), Pat Cummins, Mitchell Starc, Adam Zampa, Josh Hazlewood

 

[kozi]

You can’t swing that much from $1.30! You’ll find ever team bowls first this World Cup

It can swing as much as needed at any odds to fall in line with the predicted chances

Bowling first is an advantage no doubt but the 6% swing shows you’re overblowing it just a tad. If it was pick em odds @ $1.90 it would go no further than $1.70 based on the toss

 

[LukeParkerno1]

It can swing as much as needed at any odds to fall in line with the predicted chances

Bowling first is an advantage no doubt but the 6% swing shows you’re overblowing it just a tad. If it was pick em odds @ $1.90 it would go no further than $1.70 based on the toss

You still don’t want what is an ordinary side which we are batting first trust me.

 

[Art Vandelay_]

SL anthem really has a carnival/fair vibe to it.

 

[LukeParkerno1]

SL anthem gas a real carnival/fair vibe to it.

Still love the South African anthem our one sucks lol

 

[Ekomaira]

damn those kids can really sing

 

[samFFC]

Discounting the 10% vig factored into the odds

$1.35 implies a 74% chance of winning
$1.25 implies an 80% chance of winning

With the stink being made about bowling first you’d think it’s a 60% swing in terms of win rate rather than the far smaller actuality according to bookmakers

Still a decent swing though. Underdogs like Namibia and Pakistan getting early upset wins.

 

[Art Vandelay_]

Still love the South African anthem our one sucks lol

Flogs changed it

 

[Ekomaira]

Still love the South African anthem our one sucks lol

I like the Indian anthem. JAYA HEYYYYY

 

[WeMissYouMarkCoughlan]

SL anthem really has a carnival/fair vibe to it.

Absolute marathon

 

[LukeParkerno1]

I like the Indian anthem. JAYA HEYYYYY

Yeah don’t mind it. Like the NZ one too

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Oh damn Pie Man is on

This could go anywhere

 

[samFFC]

Still love the South African anthem our one sucks lol

So good

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Flogs changed it

The SA one needs to be sung by the SA crowd no comment

 

[Art Vandelay_]

Have learned the Mauri part too lol. Brilliant.

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Nick one you muppet