AFL 2022 AFL Round 11

[bulletride]

Dusty moved to FF on the final teamsheet.

Papley 3
Dusty 3
Soldo 2
$68 SB boosted

 

[TryAnHit]

Lyod over 25.5 1.92 sportsbet...

with blakely out he should take all the kickins and go back to his cheapie stat game

 

[Selim]

oh question for anyone thats won goal kicker bets on pointsbet are they like SB and pay out straight away?

 

[_ASP3X]

oh question for anyone thats won goal kicker bets on pointsbet are they like SB and pay out straight away?

No, they don't. After the game.

 

[Ohh Ok]

4u - Sydney -3.5 (Second Half) - $1.92 - Dabble
Have to play as an SGM and add in a leg like Sydney -0.5 SH. The Swans have proven to be second half specialists this year covering this line in every game. Definitely going against the money in this one as the line has come in since teams have been announced. I think the Swans have too much in this one against a Richmond side with key outs in Lambert, Balta, and Lynch.

2.5u - Blakey over 21.5 disposals - $1.93 - Betfair
Works out to be $1.88 after commission. FWIW I’d take the $1.77 on PointsBet. Has taken half the kick ins for the swans this year with the other half shared with Jake Lloyd

44

Jake Lloyd

Age

32

Ht

182cm

Wt

81kg

Pos.

D/M

Career

Season

Last 5

D

23.4

5star

K

14.4

5star

HB

9.0

5star

M

4.3

4star

T

1.9

4star

MG

403.9

5star

D

23.4

5star

K

14.4

5star

HB

9.0

4star

M

4.3

4star

T

1.9

3star

MG

403.9

5star

D

23.2

5star

K

13.4

5star

HB

9.8

5star

M

4.2

4star

T

2.2

4star

MG

357.4

5star

. Over the last two weeks though, Blakey has taken 9 and 9 vs Lloyd’s 2 and 1, this shows a potential shift in priority in the role and if stays consistent means Blakey has plenty of extra disposals available to him as he has a current play on rate this season of 100%. Tigers a great match up for him.

2.5u - Lloyd 25+ disposals - $1.98 - Dabble
Scratch the Blakey bet as he’s out, means Lloyd gets his role back.



2.5u - Carlton -1.5 (1st Qtr) - $1.85 - 365
2.5u - Carlton - 3.5 (1st Half) - $1.85 - TAB
Carlton have covered both of these lines in 7/10 games this year. Been a fair chunk of money going the way of Collingwood this week, but not buying it. Carlton the team with the better form line and better wins under their belts this season.

 

[Selim]

No, they don't. After the game.

thats wack especially for the saturday and sunday games where when 1 game ends the other starts

roughly how long after the game does the money usually come in

 

[sneak]

Matthew Roberts Sydney
2u 2+ 8.50
0.5 3+ 34
Pointtsbet
3uSGM
Roberts Ags
Hayward ags
Martin 2+
8.33

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Roberts 20,25+ as a bit of a roughie. He’ll play mid.

Paps train will do me tonight 2,3,4,5+

Small on McIrney 2,3+ and Gulden 2,3,4+

 

[BloodRet]

Added
Heeney 4 @14

Reid 3 Hayward 2 Parker @81

Papley 4 Dusty 4 @50

 

[Ohh Ok]

2.5u - Cotchin under 22.5 disposals - $1.87 - 365
Went under in 5/9 this year, 12/17 last year, 10/17 in 2020 (adjusted to 18 to factor in reduced quarters), 11/14 in 2019 so stacks up as a strong long term play based on historical data. Bet is boosted by the fact that Sydney give up the least disposals in the comp.

 

[GROTTO]

Is this an indigenous game tonight in Sydney?

 

[mac23]

Hayward, Papley, Martin, Soldo all 2+
$56 SB Boost

 

[GROTTO]

BloodRet Logan is on the bench.

 

[GROTTO]

Tailed Papley and McDonald and also Sam Reid 3,4 5

@ 10.5, 41, 181

Last time Reid kicked 4+ or more was in 2019

 

[Atavistic]

Matthew Roberts Sydney
2u 2+ 8.50
0.5 3+ 34
Pointtsbet
3uSGM
Roberts Ags
Hayward ags
Martin 2+
8.33

Yeah, I'm on Roberts too. 1-4. Hope he doesn't have too much midfield time.

 

[_ASP3X]

Parker AGS & Castagna AGS @ $2.90
Parker AGS & Castagna 2+ @ $5.75
Parker 2+ & Castagna AGS @ $5.25
Parker 2+ & Castagna 2+ @ $15.64

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Ralphsmith
20+ $4.25
25+ $18

365

 

[Geead]

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Is this an indigenous game tonight in Sydney?

Yes it is

 

[dontlimitme]

GOOD LUCK LADS

 

[toenail11]

Evening gents

Papley 3
Dusty 2
Buddy 2
11.75 sb

Logan 4 @13

Soldo 2,3 @4,12

Dusty 2
Buddy 2
Riewoldt 2
McDonald
@5.65

 

[Selim]

good luck brothers may the curse end tonight may the cult of degenerate win

 

[GROTTO]

Yes it is

Papley is Indigenous? At least for tonight, lets hope so.

 

[mac23]

Buddy/Papley (BYO SB)
5+ $2.55
6+ $4.30
7+ $7.75
1+ each quarter $5.50

Same prices as Bolton/Riewoldt but seem a bit more likely.

 

[GROTTO]

good luck brothers may the curse end tonight may the cult of degenerate win