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AFL 2022 AFL Round 11

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oh question for anyone thats won goal kicker bets on pointsbet are they like SB and pay out straight away?
 

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4u - Sydney -3.5 (Second Half) - $1.92 - Dabble
Have to play as an SGM and add in a leg like Sydney -0.5 SH. The Swans have proven to be second half specialists this year covering this line in every game. Definitely going against the money in this one as the line has come in since teams have been announced. I think the Swans have too much in this one against a Richmond side with key outs in Lambert, Balta, and Lynch.

2.5u - Blakey over 21.5 disposals - $1.93 - Betfair
Works out to be $1.88 after commission. FWIW I’d take the $1.77 on PointsBet. Has taken half the kick ins for the swans this year with the other half shared with Jake Lloyd. Over the last two weeks though, Blakey has taken 9 and 9 vs Lloyd’s 2 and 1, this shows a potential shift in priority in the role and if stays consistent means Blakey has plenty of extra disposals available to him as he has a current play on rate this season of 100%. Tigers a great match up for him.

2.5u - Lloyd 25+ disposals - $1.98 - Dabble
Scratch the Blakey bet as he’s out, means Lloyd gets his role back.



2.5u - Carlton -1.5 (1st Qtr) - $1.85 - 365
2.5u - Carlton - 3.5 (1st Half) - $1.85 - TAB
Carlton have covered both of these lines in 7/10 games this year. Been a fair chunk of money going the way of Collingwood this week, but not buying it. Carlton the team with the better form line and better wins under their belts this season.
 
2.5u - Cotchin under 22.5 disposals - $1.87 - 365
Went under in 5/9 this year, 12/17 last year, 10/17 in 2020 (adjusted to 18 to factor in reduced quarters), 11/14 in 2019 so stacks up as a strong long term play based on historical data. Bet is boosted by the fact that Sydney give up the least disposals in the comp.
 

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Parker AGS & Castagna AGS @ $2.90
Parker AGS & Castagna 2+ @ $5.75
Parker 2+ & Castagna AGS @ $5.25
Parker 2+ & Castagna 2+ @ $15.64
 

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good luck brothers may the curse end tonight may the cult of degenerate win

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Buddy/Papley (BYO SB)
5+ $2.55
6+ $4.30
7+ $7.75
1+ each quarter $5.50

Same prices as Bolton/Riewoldt but seem a bit more likely.
 
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