AFL 2022 AFL Round 12

[Ohh Ok]

2u - Stewart under 27.5 disposals - $1.87 - PointsBet
Ceiling line for Stewart here. Only gone over in 7 of 116 career games. Is however in career best form with 3/10 overs this year but 3 27 disposal games, but happy to take a number that should be a strong long term play.

2u - Isaac Smith

7

Isaac Smith

Age

36

Ht

188cm

Wt

83kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

21.3

5star

K

13.0

5star

HB

8.4

5star

M

5.5

5star

T

2.9

4star

CL

1.7

4star

D

19.4

4star

K

11.1

4star

HB

8.3

4star

M

3.8

4star

T

2.5

3star

CL

1.3

4star

D

19.2

5star

K

10.6

4star

HB

8.6

5star

M

7.6

5star

T

2.0

4star

CL

0.6

3star

over 20.5 disposals - $1.83 - PointsBet
Probably a disposal or two too low, a very consistent 21-23 disposal player with the 20.5 being quite key with him landing on 21 in 6 games last year and 1 this year. Has a strong record of 7/11 overs this year and 20/24 last season including 30 on the Dogs last year.

4u - Berry 15+ disposals - $1.60 - PointsBet
1u - Berry 20+ disposals - $4.25 - PointsBet
Prefer taking the hit in odds to grab the 15+ which has a strike rate of 6/7 this season. Young player against a side that’s a rabble. Will get great opportunities if crows get out to a lead.

 

[Del125763]

2u - Stewart under 27.5 disposals - $1.87 - PointsBet
Ceiling line for Stewart here. Only gone over in 7 of 116 career games. Is however in career best form with 3/10 overs this year but 3 27 disposal games, but happy to take a number that should be a strong long term play.

2u - Isaac Smith over 20.5 disposals - $1.83 - PointsBet
Probably a disposal or two too low, a very consistent 21-23 disposal player with the 20.5 being quite key with him landing on 21 in 6 games last year and 1 this year. Has a strong record of 7/11 overs this year and 20/24 last season including 30 on the Dogs last year.

4u - Berry 15+ disposals - $1.60 - PointsBet
1u - Berry 20+ disposals - $4.25 - PointsBet
Prefer taking the hit in odds to grab the 15+ which has a strike rate of 6/7 this season. Young player against a side that’s a rabble. Will get great opportunities if crows get out to a lead.

That Sam Berry 15+ and 20+ is into 1.40 and 3 now

 

[Westy Bogan]

Stengel 3 goals @ 4.28 on PB

4/5 covered
6/8 covered

 

[Westy Bogan]

I could see a Pigsy/Naughton mullet goal fest tonight

Im backing them for 5 each and 5+6 each

 

[jikost]

Cameron/Hawkins 5+ @ $1.82 sb - Difficult to see the Dogs backline shutting down both of them and they've hit 5+ together already 9 times this year.

 

[Westy Bogan]

Cameron/Hawkins 5+ @ $1.82 sb - Difficult to see the Dogs backline shutting down both of them and they've hit 5+ together already 9 times this year.

If you think they will get 3+ each you can multi them at $5.81on PB.

Even 2+ each $2.15 on PB

 

[Jonsyd1]

Hawkins 3
Cameron 2
Naughton 2
Bont
English
$15.60 pb

Hawkins 2
Cameron 2
Naughton 2
Bont
B Smith 25+ Dunkley 20+ I Smith 20+
$9 sb bonus back if 1 leg fails

 

[jikost]

Tom Atkins

30

Tom Atkins

Age

29

Ht

180cm

Wt

86kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.5

3star

K

5.0

2star

HB

6.5

4star

M

1.4

2star

T

4.3

5star

CL

1.3

3star

D

6.5

1star

K

3.0

1star

HB

3.5

2star

M

0.8

1star

T

1.5

2star

CL

0.5

3star

D

11.6

3star

K

5.0

2star

HB

6.6

4star

M

2.0

3star

T

4.8

5star

CL

1.2

4star

25+ @ $15 tab. Pure gamble given his move into the midfield last week where he attended 73% of the CB's. Didn't get much of the ball but hoping this week will be different.

 

[BloodRet]

Chucked the curry winnings on Cooper Stephens 2+ @21 pb

10 of his 15 touches last week came in the forward half.

 

[GROTTO]

Chucked the curry winnings on Cooper Stephens 2+ @21 pb

10 of his 15 touches last week came in the forward half.

A casual punter would use those winnings to buy a meal.

A true degenerate likes to roll the winnings into another bet.








Tailed.


I do like AGS at 3.50

 

[GROTTO]

Cooper has never scored a goal at AFL level.

So it means he is due.

 

[FadingTheFave]

N. Anderson
30+ $4.10 (SB)
35+ $11
40+ $51 (others TAB)

Had a few down weeks but comes up against North who consistently leak disposals. Had 35 and 3 Brownlow votes against them last year.

T. Mitchell
35+ $4.25
40+ $14 (all 365)

Hopefully back to his ball winning best, had 36 couple weeks back and plays the Pies who also give up huge disposal numbers. 44 touches last year vs Collingwood.

 

[Selim]

alright nervous about tonight but got

Rohan 2,3,4 @2.70, 7, 21

Buku 2,3,4 @2.90, 8, 26

Naughton 2+
Hawkins 2+
Cameron 2+
Weightman 1
Bont 1
Buku 1
Stengle 1
Rohan 1
Close 1
@20.50

more to come

 

[Westy Bogan]

Cooper has never scored a goal at AFL level.

So it means he is due.

Get on him for a bag

 

[Westy Bogan]

Hawkins 3
Cameron 2
Naughton 2
Bont
English
$15.60 pb

Hawkins 2
Cameron 2
Naughton 2
Bont
B Smith 25+ Dunkley 20+ I Smith 20+
$9 sb bonus back if 1 leg fails

Like the first one - Added Stengel ATG to get it up to 20-1

 

[Del125763]

Times are tough for BetDeluxe.

This promo has now been reduced from $100 to $50 for winnings on their 4+ SGM.

 

[Del125763]

Anyway I decided to have a nibble on their promo

MacRae 35+ Disposals
Liberatore 25+ Disposals
Under 166.5 pts
Bulldogs to win by 1-39 pts

Odds: $13


Same bet at Sportsbet pays $16.50 and at Ladbrokes pays $18.04

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Cooper hasn't even hit the scoreboard in three games so far, and was not a noted goalkicker in his junior days.

We are stuck in the rough parts of Struggletown if this is what we've become, betting on this dude for goals.

Last time I made a comment like this, criticising a goal bet, Ziebell kicked five.

Let's hope for you lads something similar happens today

 

[FadingTheFave]

J. Koschitzke

2+ $2.80
3+ $8
4+ $19
5+ $67 (all PB)

Should get more opportunity to score now he isn't #1 ruck. Conditions don't look great but who knows with BOM. Pies look a bit stretched in defence with Gunston back and Moore likely on Lewis.

 

[freo_leo29]

I'm all over the Cats talls and I've gone stanley 2+3+ AGS, Conway is in so surely Stanley goes forward?

EDIT: My Stanley call looks stupid now, looks like the AFL app and site are wrong and Conway isn't actually in the team?

 

[Selim]

I'm all over the Cats talls and I've gone stanley 2+3+ AGS, Conway is in so surely Stanley goes forward?

EDIT: My Stanley call looks stupid now, looks like the AFL app and site are wrong and Conway isn't actually in the team?

yea i also have gone Stanley aswell usually plays weirdly well against us aswell i remember he kicked 5 once against us and we are only playing 1 ruckmen so yea feeling Stanley @15, 67

 

[freo_leo29]

yea i also have gone Stanley aswell usually plays weirdly well against us aswell i remember he kicked 5 once against us and we are only playing 1 ruckmen so yea feeling Stanley @15, 67

hopefully can drift forward because Conway is playing VFL

 

[Selim]

Tailed Stephens 2 @21

Treloar 2,3 @4.50, 21 PB

Bont 3+ @8.47 PB

Stanley 2,3 @15, 67

all bets are legit 0.5u lol

 

[Del125763]

These 2 teams are ranked #2 and #3 for AFL Fantasy scoring .


Im interested in having a bet on Fantasy tonight, but my theory of Higher fantasy scores v team scoring is showing a bit of an interesting relationship.

 

[Pacman82]

Liba 3+ @51

WB talls'll get shut down