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AFL 2022 AFL Round 12

Line Winners?


  • Total voters
    11
  • Poll closed .

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Got Naughton for one, he'll be lucky to get it. Stengle stinking it up but at least I'm not on BSmith, useless little c#nt he is!
 
Got Naughton for one, he'll be lucky to get it. Stengle stinking it up but at least I'm not on BSmith, useless little c#nt he is!
Stengle can kick cheap over the top goals from the goal square.

Naughton is the tricky one. I need 2+ from him and another Tomahawk goal.
 
Yes there is a positive moderate relationship for a team like the Bulldogs with higher AFL Fantasy scores v Them scoring higher. Came up with moderate positive linear relationship in the Bulldogs case for AFL Fantasy and their Individual Team score. Genuinely speaking, looking at that model, if the Bulldogs score around 80-110 points, as a team their AFL Fantasy aggregates are a bit lower than normal. I might do other teams AFL Fantasy scores against team individual scores as a bit of a sidekick during the year.


View attachment 1415804

I always had this conception that Higher AFL Fantasy scores meant teams played a Lower scoring / slower brand of footy. So I admit For the Bulldogs case I was totally wrong.

Maybe it be worth multing the unders total pts, with the unders in AFL Fantasy? I have a weird feeling throughout this week, this might be a low scoring game.

Im having a nibble on:

MacRae Under 110.5 AFL Fantasy
Bailey Smith Under 109.5 AFL Fantasy
Under 167.5 Total Match Points

Odds: $6.57


HT update on my multi:


2nd Half
Need MacRae to score Under 48.5 AFL Fantasy in 2nd Half
Under 83.5 pts
Keep Bailey Smith Under 79.5 AFL fantasy (looks pretty safe)

Betting on this blindly just need Geelong to play a bit of keep your possessions off with their lead and to slow down the game with their lead.

Total Match Points is the same as pre-game line.
 
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