AFL 2022 AFL Round 14

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POSTING OF BETS AND RESULTS AFTER THE FACT WILL NOT BE TOLERATED ANYMORE!!
ANYONE WHO DOES IT WILL BE GIVEN A HOLIDAY.

CONSIDER THIS EVERYONE'S FINAL WARNING!!!!!!

 

[pendlebury_10]

Dan butler looked to be playing a more attacking style upon return last week instead of playing as a defensive fwd like he has done the last ~12months.
1.1 last week and 2 goal assists (after kicking 5 in the vfl), he's good value v essendon 2+ @ 3.20, 3+ @ 8.75 and terrific trainworthy value @ 101 for 5+

Has only kicked 4 goals once in nearly 100 games. $101 is probably unders without SGM trick working here.

 

[The_Steadier]

Has only kicked 4 goals once in nearly 100 games. $101 is probably unders without SGM trick working here.

Different strokes for different folks.

He's the only permanent forward listed at $101.

Kicked 5 in the vfl 2 weeks ago, bombers have looked vfl level at times this year- 3rd worst team this year for goals against.

 

[BloodRet]

Nasiah wang-mil is a certain in for us.

Fresh and against an ordinary bombers should get plenty of space and ball.
15+ 1.94, 20+ 5.40 both great value.

Hunter clark another certain in- will probably get sinclairs loose HB spot (sincs into the middle)- easy to rack up possies there- 20+ 1.91, 25+ 4.70 = value.

Dan butler looked to be playing a more attacking style upon return last week instead of playing as a defensive fwd like he has done the last ~12months.
1.1 last week and 2 goal assists (after kicking 5 in the vfl), he's good value v essendon 2+ @ 3.20, 3+ @ 8.75 and terrific trainworthy value @ 101 for 5+

Shoutout to SB paying a whopping $5 for max king to kick 5+

I like your Dan Butler bet. Averaged 1.5 goals a game in the shortened covid quarters in 2020 where he was the main small forward. If he’s going back to that attacking role against the bombers under a roof I’m all over it. I’ve tailed for 5 so far, maybe more on gameday

 

[burge13]

Eagles v Cats.
Weather looks atrocious in Perth all weekend, hammering the unders.

View attachment 1424562

Both SB
U153.5 $1.88
&
U140.5/Cats $3.10

If the BOM are predicting that dont be surprised if its 24 and sunny with a 85:155 scoreline

 

[Selim]

probs might be the only trains i do for tomoz night cause **** MCG night games atm

Jack Martin

19

Jack Martin

Age

30

Ht

186cm

Wt

82kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

16.2

4star

K

10.0

4star

HB

6.3

4star

M

4.9

5star

T

3.7

5star

G

0.9

4star

D

14.9

4star

K

7.9

3star

HB

7.0

4star

M

4.3

4star

T

3.6

4star

G

1.1

5star

D

8.2

2star

K

4.6

2star

HB

3.6

3star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.0

4star

G

0.6

3star

2,3,4 @5.10, 20.25, 90

Durdin 2,3,4 @5.30, 20.25, 84

all 0.5u

 

[Pacman82]

Reiwoldt 4
Lynch 4
Bolton 3
@118 SB Pwd

 

[LicoriceAllsorts]

O/U for Shai Bolton

10

Shai Bolton

Age

27

Ht

176cm

Wt

77kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.3

3star

K

6.9

3star

HB

5.4

4star

M

2.8

3star

T

2.9

4star

CL

1.4

4star

D

12.7

3star

K

9.2

4star

HB

3.5

2star

M

3.0

3star

T

2.7

4star

CL

1.8

4star

D

9.2

3star

K

4.6

2star

HB

4.6

4star

M

2.0

3star

T

2.6

4star

CL

0.0

1star

behinds from the goal square?

 

[X_box_X]

O/U for Shai Bolton behinds from the goal square?

Shame Freo don't play this week otherwise I'd be interested in o/u for Griffin Logue 'Joe the Goose' assists.

 

[demon_fanatic]

Unless the eagles had a good training block/come out with a refreshed attitude off the break.. the cats at the line could be a great bet.. no doubt they'd be eyeing off melbourne/brisbane/freo who have percentages of 128 to 134 and looking at theirs at 127 and be going for a huge percentage boost here...I don't think theyll do the old chip around here instead I expect an attacking geelong performance.. but that could also involve scoring only 90 and holding Wc to 30 lol so a line bet is probably better given the concerns on the weather


-43.5 is available pointsbet... its up at -46.5 bluebet and neds

 

[demon_fanatic]

tommorow I'm going to target Jack Graham

17

Jack Graham

Age

27

Ht

181cm

Wt

85kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

14.7

4star

K

8.0

3star

HB

6.8

4star

M

2.1

2star

T

6.3

5star

CL

1.8

4star

D

11.8

3star

K

5.3

2star

HB

6.5

4star

M

2.8

3star

T

4.2

5star

CL

1.2

4star

D

14.0

4star

K

6.0

3star

HB

8.0

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

7.0

5star

CL

3.2

5star

again at 80.5 fantasy a rise of only 2 on last week... the tackles are really helping his scores .. no dusty won't hurt at all and he now has scores (9 and 10 tackles past two weeks) for scores of 97 and 96 with scope for improvement on disposal totals (17 and 18) if he can push into the low 20's and keep the tackles similar or at least above 6.. this should clear nicely..

might seem silly but I'll take Bolton in a big game at a probably season low of 68.5.. he got 54 last week whilst missing 5 shots so if he cleans that area up I can see him scoring well and he was scoring big without Dusty in team.

 

[Pacman82]

Peatling 2.70, 6.80 & 19 for multiples NEDS & TAB

 

[the_big_sav]

port any chance over sydney?

 

[Robo87]

port any chance over sydney?

Sunny weather Saturday & good conditions, but who really knows?!
It is ports home game, however buddys back also.
Its just hard to trust port at the moment, very up and down & they still struggle VS top 8 teams.

 

[demon_fanatic]

Sunny weather Saturday & good conditions, but who really knows?!
It is ports home game, however buddys back also.
Its just hard to trust port at the moment, very up and down & they still struggle VS top 8 teams.

I like Sydneys scoring power over Port.. think their new style is very grindish.. might not work if Sydney open them up for a quarter

 

[FadingTheFave]

Riewoldt 5+ $18 SB
6+ $41 TAB

Carlton backline is depleted and perhaps more focus on Lynch atm.
Would not be surprised to see junktime Jack kick a bag. Good wet weather player as well

Tailed. Will probably play on Durdin who hasn't played AFL in 2 years.

Also having another go at Gibcus who was again switched forward in Q4 and kicked a goal. Maybe Hardwick has finally taken a hint having read this article Hardwick’s magnetic appeal

“Gibcus goes forward and kicks a pretty important goal and looked really damaging up there as well".

“The pleasing thing for me is Noah didn’t have his best game but his last quarter, I thought, was very important when he went back.”

1+ $3.50
2+ $15
3+ $26
4+ $51 - TAB
5+ $175 - B365

 

[BloodRet]

Reiwoldt 4 @7.5

Reiwoldt 2 Cripps Bolton Curnow Mckay Lynch @4.57 powered pb

 

[demon_fanatic]

weather looks like it will clear late arvo but scoring is definately trending down as teams really figuring each other out and the fast pace of early season isn't quite there. I still feel 154.5 (neds) is quite achievable given the good scoring history between these teams (it's normally the round 1 game though thats fast paced and good scoring)

 

[Ohh Ok]

2.5u - Nick Vlaustin 20+ disposals - $1.80 - TopSport
Numbers play this one is 6/7 this year with one game on 19.

3.5u - Cotchin under 23.5 disposals - $1.90 - TopSport
Has gone over this total in each of his last three games, prior to that he’d gone under in 20/26 since the start of 2021. Blues are giving up the second least disposals this year and probably more important the least contested disposals in the comp. Not good for Cotchin who’s winning 45% of his disposals the hard way.

4u - Cripps over 27.5 disposals - $1.83 - PointsBet
Loving Cripps here. Excluding injury he’s 7/10 this year. His 3 games where he went under this total not only coincide with a couple tough match ups, but also with the three games that Harry Mckay

10

Harry Mckay

Age

27

Ht

200cm

Wt

106kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

9.9

3star

K

7.5

3star

HB

2.4

2star

M

5.5

5star

T

1.6

4star

G

1.4

5star

D

6.6

1star

K

4.6

2star

HB

2.0

1star

M

3.6

4star

T

1.4

2star

G

1.4

5star

D

8.8

3star

K

6.8

3star

HB

2.0

2star

M

4.4

4star

T

0.8

3star

G

2.0

5star

missed due to injury. During this stretch he was used more frequently in the forward line. Wont have a tag and absolutely loves playing the Tigers. Averages 31.6 in his last 5 against them.

 

[demon_fanatic]

b365 still has the eagles/geelong game at 149.5.. its down to 144.5 tab and the forecast I can't see getting better really don't see it being one of those games where it suddenly clears and is dry by game time... good middle chance as I feel it may even drop to around 142.5

 

[ShaunWDT]

Geelong are a good wet weather side; lower that line gets the more likely I take the overs to be honest

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Someone want to tell me how on Earth the Tigers are favourites tonight?

 

[NonPhixion]

Someone want to tell me how on Earth the Tigers are favourites tonight?

im pretty keen on Carlton tonight, considering the razzle dazzle park the truck with units.

 

[LukeParkerno1]

im pretty keen on Carlton tonight, considering the razzle dazzle park the truck with units.

All over Cripps too, he could tear them a new one. They have no one to match him as Dusty is out.

 

[Pacman82]

Speaking of Cripps, I'm having a tiny go at Today's Special - Cripps/Short 60+ @4.25

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Speaking of Cripps, I'm having a tiny go at Today's Special - Cripps/Short 60+ @4.25

I like it, anything with Cripps and its chippies in