AFL 2022 AFL Round 15

[balmainforever]

POSTING OF BETS AND RESULTS AFTER THE FACT WILL NOT BE TOLERATED ANYMORE!!
ANYONE WHO DOES IT WILL BE GIVEN A HOLIDAY.

CONSIDER THIS EVERYONE'S FINAL WARNING!!!!!!

 

[BloodRet]

Now becomes..

BL 1-39
Daniher 3+
Cameron 2+
McCarthy 2 +
Neale 1+
@70.8 Neds

Tailed with Melb 1-39 @188

Pickett 3
Daniher 2
Brown 2
Bedford
Mccarthy
Mcstay
@85 pb

And the same multi with Petracca instead of Bedford @72

 

[BloodRet]

Petracca 2
Mccarthy 2
Pickett 2
Daniher 2
@60 topsport

Petracca 3 Brown 3 @41
Petracca 4 @48

 

[Pacman82]

Now becomes..

BL 1-39
Daniher 3+
Cameron 2+
McCarthy 2 +
Neale 1+
@70.8 Neds

Got this with BL 40+ instead as well @121

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Multi of Bedford AGS into Tunstil AGS, $3.60 on pb.

Bedford has kicked at least one goal in his last three matches, Tunstil is a regular goalkicker at VFL level.

 

[Its not the coach]

Fritsch 3+
Cameron 2+
McCarthy ATG
Hipwood ATG
Harmes ATG @16.75 SB

And some hail Mary's with bonus bets
Fritsch 4+
Pickett 2+
McCarthy 2+
Hipwood 2+ @101 SB

Cameron 4+
Brown 4+
Petracca ATG
McCarthy ATG @141 SB

Pickett 3+
McCarthy 3+
Harmes ATG
Hipwood ATG @121 SB

Fritsch 4+
Daniher 4+
Cameron 2+
Pickett 2+ @121 SB

Harmes 2+
Pickett 2+
Hipwood 2+
McCarthy 2+
Petracca ATG
Neal-Bullen ATG @276 SB

 

[bato]

I think the money is with Mitch Robinson

5

Mitch Robinson

Age

36

Ht

184cm

Wt

89kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

19.9

5star

K

11.2

4star

HB

8.7

5star

M

4.1

4star

T

4.7

5star

CL

3.2

5star

D

15.8

4star

K

11.3

4star

HB

4.5

3star

M

3.9

4star

T

1.9

3star

CL

1.8

4star

D

13.2

4star

K

8.0

3star

HB

5.2

4star

M

4.0

4star

T

3.6

5star

this week. Should play more of an inside role.

Bookies undecided how to price him. Some have him 2.20ish and others have him at 3.10+

I’ve taken him at 3.25 for 20 touches.

 

[demon_fanatic]

I've been trying to target guys fantasy scores who have a low floor and high upside and taking their spreads.. guys around the 70 to 80 mark that bookies haven't fully adjusted to their recent scores... tonight I am looking at Cam Rayner without Zorko and Zac Bailey

33

Zac Bailey

Age

26

Ht

181cm

Wt

84kg

Pos.

M/F

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.7

3star

K

6.9

3star

HB

5.9

4star

M

3.0

3star

T

2.2

4star

CL

0.9

3star

D

12.9

3star

K

7.3

3star

HB

5.6

3star

M

3.9

4star

T

2.4

3star

CL

0.7

3star

D

13.4

4star

K

6.6

3star

HB

6.8

5star

M

3.2

4star

T

2.8

5star

CL

0.6

3star

he could get a bit more ball and potential shots at goal.. he is at 66.6 or a spread of 69, past 4 weeks read 81, 66, 79 and 75, the 81 though last week was helped by an outlier with 8 tackles.. I don't know if he spent more time inside mid last week? or it was just that type of high intensity game vs Saints that he wound up with 8 tackles??

Other one is Jarrod Berry

7

Jarrod Berry

Age

27

Ht

193cm

Wt

89kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

17.4

4star

K

8.5

3star

HB

8.9

5star

M

3.9

4star

T

4.2

5star

CL

2.7

4star

D

17.0

4star

K

9.4

4star

HB

7.6

4star

M

3.6

4star

T

5.1

5star

CL

2.9

4star

D

10.6

3star

K

4.4

2star

HB

6.2

4star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.8

5star

CL

0.8

3star

at 77.5 or 80 spread... with all the focus on Neale/Lyons he should continue to roam around to good effect, scores of 111, 71 and 133 the past three. seems to be thriving as a bit of a link man/marker with 6,8, 10 marks the past 3 weeks and that's always a good way to rack up cheap points.. dees set up well behind the ball so the lions will maybe often have to find that link before bombing long.. so it could be a similar story tonight

On the dees side I like Jordan 79.5 or spread 82.. hes averaged 100 past 3 weeks obviously aided by a huge 135 vs pies but he had 93 and 97 the other two weeks, Langdon seems to be the more defensive hard running winger of the pair and Jordan is really thriving as he's adapted to the wing with Brayshaw playing half back with Salem.... Viney 94.5 looks good as well.. he's really quietly put together a solid patch of form and is always a chance to rack up 10 tackles too for nice points... had 157 last week and other three weeks were 118, 88 and 99... with Petracca not at full form Viney has really been winning a lot of ball and I expect him to put in a huge performance tonight to try turn the tide for the dees.. I looked at Brayshaw 96.5 but May's return and intercepts may slightly hinder his scoring

 

[the norwood official]

First time posting, long time reader. I want to thank you all for the great tips I’ve received. It’s time to give back!!

McCarthy anytime
Charlie Cameron

23

Charlie Cameron

Age

31

Ht

180cm

Wt

76kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.1

3star

K

8.4

3star

HB

3.7

3star

M

3.0

3star

T

3.2

5star

G

1.5

5star

D

9.6

2star

K

7.9

3star

HB

1.7

1star

M

3.6

4star

T

1.7

3star

G

1.9

5star

D

9.6

3star

K

5.4

2star

HB

4.2

4star

M

1.4

2star

T

3.4

5star

G

1.2

4star

2+
And a sneaky Neal-Bullen anytime

Paying 8.12 on PB

Go you redlegs!

 

[bulletride]

Anyone know anything about this tunstill bloke from Brisbane?

He is $3.75 ATG at lads as short as $1.70 elsewhere

Multi of Bedford AGS into Tunstil AGS, $3.60 on pb.

Bedford has kicked at least one goal in his last three matches, Tunstil is a regular goalkicker at VFL level.

Like the Tunstill calls. Has kicked 9.2 from his 10 games in the VFL including games of 3.0 and 2.0 and could be coming in to fill Bailey's role. Can still get him for $2.90 AGS at B365 along with $15 and $101 for multiples.

 

[demon_fanatic]

First time posting, long time reader. I want to thank you all for the great tips I’ve received. It’s time to give back!!

McCarthy anytime
Charlie Cameron 2+
And a sneaky Neal-Bullen anytime

Paying 8.12 on PB

Go you redlegs!

yeh i like this... it was 8.23 when I just did boosted it to 9.05.. very gettable

 

[pendlebury_10]

Anyone know anything about this tunstill bloke from Brisbane?

He is $3.75 ATG at lads as short as $1.70 elsewhere

He's kicked 9 goals from 10 games in the VFL playing predominantly as a mid, but I suspect with no Bailey or Zorko, it will be Rayner that fills the void which might open up a juicy half forward spot for Tunstill. I'm on at B365.

AGS $2.90
2+ $15
3+ $101
4+ $750 (for the measly 50 cents they would accept)

 

[pendlebury_10]

Like the Tunstill calls. Has kicked 9.2 from his 10 games in the VFL including games of 3.0 and 2.0 and could be coming in to fill Bailey's role. Can still get him for $2.90 AGS at B365 along with $15 and $101 for multiples.

Touche

 

[bulletride]

He's kicked 9 goals from 10 games in the VFL playing predominantly as a mid, but I suspect with no Bailey or Zorko, it will be Rayner that fills the void which might open up a juicy half forward spot for Tunstill. I'm on at B365.

AGS $2.90
2+ $15
3+ $101
4+ $750 (for the measly 50 cents they would accept)

Tom Berry could be worth a shot for that role too, similar VFL numbers kicking 8.8 from 8 games this year plus had 3 scoring shots for 1.2 from his one game as the sub this year at AFL level.

AGS $2.80 SB
2+ $12.50 SB
3+ $71 B365
4+ $600 B365

 

[X_box_X]

I'm not sure if taking $1.50 is huge, huge value, but including Jackson for 15+ disposals w TAB in your multis could be an option. Those same outcomes are paying $1.25 and $1.24 w Sportsbet and Neds respectively.

Only averaging 14.8 disposals for the season, but obviously with Gawn out and Jackson assuming the mantle as the number one ruckman, you can probably add one more disposal per quarter onto that.

If that doesn't inspire you, perhaps you can take some comfort knowing he has cleared that total in four of his past five matches with Gawn in the side.

 

[Nuggetz]

Tunstil/Edwards/Warner ags/Coniglio 30+ @36 neds

 

[kicksome]

ok im on tunstil tom berry trains. luck be my lady tonight

 

[Johanpetro]

ok im on tunstil tom berry trains. luck be my lady tonight

I just know Terry and Tunstil are the golden ticket tonight I just don’t know which one and if its goals or disposals

 

[demon_fanatic]

Jason dunstall.. James Tunstill, sounds similar surely he snags a few !!

 

[Gavin Excell]

Why are Essendon favourites v Eagles?

 

[Ohh Ok]

This one is for GROTTO

2.75u - Cameron 2+ goals - $1.92 - TopSport
1.25u - Cameron 3+ goals - $3.80 - TopSport
0.75u - Cameron 4+ goals - $9.25 - TopSport
0.25u - Cameron 5+ goals - $26 - TopSport
Had 2.0 and 5.1 against the Dees last year. A bit of additional responsibility with Bailey out of the side who is averaging 2 goals a game. Should be at his crumbing best with Daniher, McStay and Hipwood all able to bring the ball to ground now. Although opponent is factored in to the pricing of this bet, from a pure numbers standpoint this is an outstanding price for Charlie. Melbourne have shown a touch of vulnerability to the small/med forwards at time so given this price I’m happy to have a crack.

 

[burge13]

Why are Essendon favourites v Eagles?

I think there's value on eagles, especially at home and looked improved last week. Odds probably should be 1.90?

 

[Gavin Excell]

I think there's value on eagles, especially at home and looked improved last week. Odds probably should be 1.90?

Bizarre Essendon is favourite
Perhaps I'm missing something here

 

[md20]

Bizarre Essendon is favourite
Perhaps I'm missing something here

Eagles have been belted all season and Essendon comfortably beat the Saints last week?

On SM-S906E using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[catpremier 07]

Eagles have been belted all season and Essendon comfortably beat the Saints last week?

On SM-S906E using BigFooty.com mobile app

Yep other then last week they have been witches hats so not surprising.

 

[Fizza]

Hail mary berry
Thomas Berry

16

Thomas Berry

Age

25

Ht

185cm

Wt

80kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

7.8

2star

K

3.2

1star

HB

4.6

3star

M

2.0

2star

T

2.2

4star

G

0.0

1star

D

7.8

2star

K

3.2

1star

HB

4.6

3star

M

2.0

2star

T

2.2

3star

G

0.0

1star

D

7.8

2star

K

3.2

2star

HB

4.6

4star

M

2.0

3star

T

2.2

4star

G

0.0

1star

2+
Jarrod Berry

7

Jarrod Berry

Age

27

Ht

193cm

Wt

89kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

17.4

4star

K

8.5

3star

HB

8.9

5star

M

3.9

4star

T

4.2

5star

CL

2.7

4star

D

17.0

4star

K

9.4

4star

HB

7.6

4star

M

3.6

4star

T

5.1

5star

CL

2.9

4star

D

10.6

3star

K

4.4

2star

HB

6.2

4star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.8

5star

CL

0.8

3star

25+
Sam Berry 25+
@363.14 SB (boosted)