AFL 2022 AFL Round 16

[balmainforever]

POSTING OF BETS AND RESULTS AFTER THE FACT WILL NOT BE TOLERATED ANYMORE!!
ANYONE WHO DOES IT WILL BE GIVEN A HOLIDAY.

CONSIDER THIS EVERYONE'S FINAL WARNING!!!!!!

 

[balmainforever]

 

[LicoriceAllsorts]

On top of the Bulldogs line last week, my model says Sydney -19.5 ($1.91 @ B365) is a 78% chance of hitting (11/12 this season).

 

[FrankGrimes]

Cats look value

 

[NonPhixion]

Syd,Melb,Rich $1.84 PB

safe as houses

 

[Mazza1234678]

Syd,Melb,Rich $1.84 PB

safe as houses

Yup would be stunned if that got rolled

 

[jikost]

West $101 for 3 on 365. He just kicked 3.3 on the weekend.

 

[EFL Boy]

Connor Rozee

1

Connor Rozee

Age

26

Ht

185cm

Wt

79kg

Pos.

D/M

Career

Season

Last 5

D

14.6

4star

K

7.6

3star

HB

7.0

4star

M

3.3

3star

T

3.6

5star

MG

189.2

3star

D

12.8

3star

K

7.4

3star

HB

5.3

3star

M

2.9

3star

T

2.4

3star

MG

189.2

3star

D

16.4

4star

K

8.0

3star

HB

8.4

5star

M

4.2

4star

T

3.4

5star

AGS $2.15 TAB
Last 4 games: 2.0, 1.0, 1.0, 1.1

James Jordon
AGS $2.15 B365
2+ $6

Last 4 games: 2.1, 1.0, 1.1, 1.1

 

[bulletride]

Brandon Ellis

4

Brandon Ellis

Age

32

Ht

181cm

Wt

81kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

21.7

5star

K

12.6

5star

HB

9.0

5star

M

5.3

5star

T

2.4

4star

CL

1.4

4star

D

18.4

4star

K

12.9

5star

HB

5.6

3star

M

4.7

4star

T

2.3

3star

CL

1.4

4star

D

15.0

4star

K

7.8

3star

HB

7.2

5star

M

3.4

4star

T

2.2

4star

CL

1.0

3star

has kicked 2.0, 0.0, 1.1, 2.0 and 1.0 across his past 5.
AGS $2.65 B365
2+ $11

Ryan Clarke

4

Ryan Clarke

Age

28

Ht

186cm

Wt

83kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

18.8

5star

K

9.1

4star

HB

9.7

5star

M

3.4

3star

T

2.2

4star

G

0.2

2star

D

18.5

4star

K

8.8

4star

HB

9.8

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.5

3star

G

0.3

3star

D

19.6

5star

K

7.0

3star

HB

12.6

5star

M

2.4

3star

T

2.2

4star

G

0.0

1star

kicked 2.0 in a defensive forward role
AGS $2.60 TAB

 

[anabac]

Syd,Melb,Rich $1.84 PB

safe as houses

How did you get $1.84? Even the OP odds multied equal shorter than that, and the odds have only come in since then. Lucky to get around $1.65

Rich $1.19 at Lads 2 hours ago, now into $1.11 which is still probably not bottom dollar

 

[Atavistic]

Jeremy Cameron

5

Jeremy Cameron

Age

33

Ht

196cm

Wt

94kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.5

3star

K

9.0

3star

HB

3.4

3star

M

5.4

5star

T

1.6

4star

G

2.6

5star

D

10.0

3star

K

7.1

3star

HB

2.9

2star

M

4.6

4star

T

2.0

3star

G

1.9

5star

D

8.2

2star

K

5.0

2star

HB

3.2

3star

M

4.6

5star

T

2.4

4star

G

2.0

5star

$1.02 AGS and $1.02 to kick 2+ at TAB.

 

[NonPhixion]

How did you get $1.84? Even the OP odds multied equal shorter than that, and the odds have only come in since then. Lucky to get around $1.65

Rich $1.19 at Lads 2 hours ago, now into $1.11 which is still probably not bottom dollar

 

[benji21]

Carlton -8.5
On fire lately against a saints side that's looked ordinary past few weeks.
Swans -19.5
Essendon are not good.
GC -3.5
A very different team up there in the dewy conditions.

These all seem like great bets

 

[jikost]

Rhylee West

14

Rhylee West

Age

25

Ht

183cm

Wt

82kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.3

3star

K

5.7

2star

HB

6.7

4star

M

2.5

3star

T

1.5

3star

G

0.5

3star

D

12.0

3star

K

6.0

2star

HB

6.0

3star

M

2.7

3star

T

2.0

3star

G

0.3

3star

D

13.0

4star

K

5.6

3star

HB

7.4

5star

M

2.2

3star

T

1.4

4star

G

0.6

3star

still $2.05 AGS on 365... $1.46 on sb. Had 10 disposals inside the Dogs forward 50 on the weekend.



Schache 3+ @ $24 sb
Schache 4+ @ $111

Playing against his former team... Stationed forward and kicked 2.1 on the weekend.

 

[GROTTO]

Cats look value

There was a game back at Geelong a few years ago cant recall the opposition, Cats were meant to win comfortably by 60-70+ points, IIRC they were down at 3/4 time and just got over and won by about 4-5 goals in the end.

Ive always felt that games down there are rigged.

 

[anabac]

Ok so you boosted the price. Didn't mention that earlier
All good

 

[BloodRet]

Spargo 4, 5 @84, 301 sb should roll the Crows by a lot of goals, happy to only hope spargo can contribute. Half of his touches against bris were in the 50 and kicked 1.1

Butler 4, 5 @84, 476. Three of his five touches in fwd 50, kicked 1.1 out of the saints 4 goals. Been playing a lot more small forward last couple weeks

 

[Mazza1234678]

Carlton -8.5
On fire lately against a saints side that's looked ordinary past few weeks.
Swans -19.5
Essendon are not good.
GC -3.5
A very different team up there in the dewy conditions.

These all seem like great bets

Agreed on GC being a good side up there but I don’t know I’d be betting against a Pies side on the road

Been the best traveling team in the comp last 10 years and GC had a brutal game against port.

 

[bulletride]

All over a Logan McDonald train this week. Has played the MCG much better (3.2 and 2.2 from his 2 appearances) compared to his fairly awful SCG record and up against our putrid backline which has leaked goals to talls all year.

All TAB
3+ $7
4+ $21
5+ $81

 

[targett]

Dangerfield in Doubt , Cats may be resting him

 

[mouncey2franklin]

All over a Logan McDonald train this week. Has played the MCG much better (3.2 and 2.2 from his 2 appearances) compared to his fairly awful SCG record and up against our putrid backline which has leaked goals to talls all year.

All TAB
3+ $7
4+ $21
5+ $81

Tailed (but the odds have come in, I got $17 for 4+ and $61 for 5+, still value imo)

 

[jefffff34]

Is it just me or is Port going to be value in a low scoring game against Freo?

 

[Its not the coach]

Adelaide +35.5
Spargo 2+
Fogarty 2+ @20 Powered SB

 

[BloodRet]

Hipwood naughton Cameron
Curnow 2
McDonald Papley stringer swans
Pickett rachele dees
Stengle 2
@18.5 boosted lads

 

[BloodRet]

Miers 5 @121
Close 5 @91

One can get off the chain against North. Both 1.1 each 75% forward time against tigers.
Smalls who have kicked bags against North this year Weightman and McCarthy with 5 and Rioli with 4. Never know. Usually against north it’s a half dozen people who kick 2 and 3’s with about 10 seperate goal kickers.
Hawkins 4 Cameron 3 Stengle 2 Rohan 2 Close 2 Miers @40