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AFL 2022 AFL Round 18

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Small profits on last nights game. Marshall was the villain of the night kicking a behind and then also beating English in the disposal match up.


2.5u - Crisp over 24.5 disposals - $1.87 - 365
Has had a couple quiet weeks but will look to bounce back and have a good run at it, especially with Adams out of the side. Is 9/15 for the season and 14/22 last season so a long term strong play given the situational spot.

3.5u - Berry over 16.5 disposals - $1.85 - TopSport
Coming into form now with 4 of his last 5 games going over. Should benefit from no Crouch and to a lesser extent Hately. Collingwood a cracking match up for inside bulls too.

2u - Hoskin-Elliot over 14.5 disposals - $1.80 - TopSport
Was on the wing last week but ball spent majority of its time stuck in the other wing for him to land on 13. Before that he had gone over in each of his last 4 games which is a result of being given time on the wing rather than playing deep forward all game.


2.5u - McCluggae over 25.5 disposals - $1.87 - PointsBet
Keen on McCluggage again. Will get a full slate of minutes today due to Berry and Zorko missing. Since moving into a more consistent inside midfield role, this has resulted in him clearing in 7/10 games excluding injury, one of those unders coming against Freo when returning from injury and registering 24. Had a small reduction in CBAs last weekend, but with Zorko and Berry out he’ll be required around the ball.

2.5u - Lyons over 23.5 disposals - $1.80 - TopSport
Feel like almost every time I’ve bet Lyons this year he’s gotten an injury mid game. Pretty low line for what he’s capable of. Like McCluggage, he should get stuck in with the weakened line up. Market is looking as though a tag is predicted for Neale meaning there is room for him to step up.


3u - Goldstein 100+ SuperCoach - $1.70 - TAB
1.5u - Goldstein 125+ SuperCoach - $3.75 - TAB
0.5u - Goldstein 150+ SuperCoach - $15 - TAB
When playing without Xerri in the side, Goldy has scores of 125, 142, 103, 120 this season. He’ll be up against Nankervis today who will also be tucking solo but comes in a bit banged up which gives Goldstein the leg up in this battle. 115 last year against the Tigers.


1.5u - Rohan 2+ goals - $3.90 - TopSport
0.5u - Rohan 3+ goals - $13 - TopSport
Flies under the radar as one of the lesser dangerous forwards in the Geelong forward line. Last season he had 2+ in 11/21 and 3+ in 3/21 making these some value selections. Getting back to that form shouldn’t be too far away after having 2.1 on the weekend.



2u - Blakey over 20.5 disposals - $1.87 - PointsBet
Keen to jump on Blakey in this one, is going at 8/15 this season and although very close, seems to be the preferred kick in taker for the Swans. Still seeing defenders consistently posting strong numbers vs Freo.


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Having a little play at Josh Carmichael AGS $2.08 SB.

kicked 0.2 on debut last week and the pies should bounce back here against the crows and I am expecting reasonably high scoring despite the forecast rain.

Over 154.5
Pies H2H
Carmichael AGS
$4. 70 boosted SB
 

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Daniher 2
Hipwood 2
Cameron 2
Hogan
Greene
McCarthy
Mcstay
@19 pb

McCarthy 4 @25 sb
Peatling 2-4

A Johnson 2-4
Elliot 4-5

Mihocek 2
Walker 2
Ginnivan
Thilthorpe
Fog
Elliot
@11 pb
 
Milera 1+2+3+ @2.20, 8.50, 34
Has been floating around the forward half and only a matter of time before he hits with a couple. Why not at those odds
 
5u - Collingwood -8.5 @ $2.00 (TS)
5u - McCreery AGS @ $1.91 (TS)
5u - McCreery more goals than Dawson @ $2.44
2.5u - McCreery 2+ & Collingwood Win @ $7
2u - McCreery 3+ @ $17
1u - McCreery Top GS @ $44
0.5u - McCreery 2+ & McHenry 2+ @ $33
2.5u - Hoskin-Elliot 15+, Sidebottom 20+, D Cameron AGS @ $5

2.5u - McCreery, McHenry, Josh Kelly, Neale AGS @ $18
1u - Neale 2+ & Kelly 2+ @ $56

Dunno why, I feel like McCreery is gonna have a big game today. And I have no idea how the GWS v Bris game goes so taking it easy on that one.
 
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T

What a shame, This match up had good potential for goals. Always something to * a bloke up
Yeah I know, would have been raining goals, all jokes aside.

It feels like a small forward could bob up.

Milera, McMurphy (yes I combined them both),Gin, Elliot, Ash
 
Reckon Lachie Neale has a goal fest day

1,2,3 @2.20, 8.50. 46

Walker
Fogarty
Ginnivan
Mihocek

Cameron
Daniher
Greene
Hogan
McCarthy
All 1 goal
@4.48 2u

Single goals

Fort 1 @2.50

Keays 1 @2.

Sidebottom 1 @2.70
 

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AFL 2022 AFL Round 18

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