AFL 2022 AFL Round 19

[Man of leisure]

Good luck to Cumberland backers, I'm not buying tickets though for two reasons:

1) His two matches so far were against weak opposition, whereas Freo are top 4 bound.

2) I don't want to sit through another Freo game of disappointment for train backers.

So I'm staying far, far away. Hope for you fellas I live to regret it, Ziebell style

1.The Suns are ok at home.
2.I’m certain that it was in fact Sydney that caused the derailments of the trains against Freo with the chip chip/keepings off gamestyle that they adopted after quarter time in that game. Astute coaching from Longmire but it really Shafted Buddy and co with the slow ball movement.

At the end of the day this is a bloke who has played 1 full game and another where he came on as the sub and had 13 shots on goal in that time, has goal hog tendencies, and is a target for this depleted Richmond forward line atm. He just needs to fine tune the radar a little.

I will thankyou for the well wishes on behalf of Cumberland backers. You are a class act.

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

agreed should be a much tougher time vs the freo backline, odds seem a bit short imo

Have come in from $5.50, $16, $55, $200 for 3,4,5,6.

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

365

 

[BloodRet]

View attachment 1449834

Buddy train?

The disrespect. I’ll be on him 3-6 against the crows

 

[dontlimitme]

View attachment 1450413

The disrespect. I’ll be on him 3-6 against the crows

not in the top 200. lolololol journalism is cooked these days

 

[anabac]

If

not in the top 200. lolololol journalism is cooked these days

Just Kane Cornes being Kane Cornes

 

[Man of leisure]

Ash Johnson 2+@$5.20 SB
3+@$19
4+@$73.50
5+@$251

Played his first game in poor conditions last week and managed to look likely kicking 2.1 playing deep forward.
Sundays game will be played at the G in mostly sunny 18 degree weather so that should help him. Much less value at other books. 2.30,5.50,15,55 for 2,3,4,5 at B365. 67 for 5 at TAB

 

[BloodRet]

Ash Johnson 2+@$5.20 SB
3+@$19
4+@$73.50
5+@$251

Played his first game in poor conditions last week and managed to look likely kicking 2.1 playing deep forward.
Sundays game will be played at the G in mostly sunny 18 degree weather so that should help him. Much less value at other books. 2.30,5.50,15,55 for 2,3,4,5 at B365. 67 for 5 at TAB

Tried to tail but 29 for 4 now lol

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Ash Johnson 2+@$5.20 SB
3+@$19
4+@$73.50
5+@$251

Played his first game in poor conditions last week and managed to look likely kicking 2.1 playing deep forward.
Sundays game will be played at the G in mostly sunny 18 degree weather so that should help him. Much less value at other books. 2.30,5.50,15,55 for 2,3,4,5 at B365. 67 for 5 at TAB

$6.20 for 2 Lads boosted

 

[Man of leisure]

Tried to tail but 29 for 4 now lol

You gotta be quick brother. Sportsbet offering cash out for double the stake now. Probably soiling their britches after we nailed them on Langford

 

[Johanpetro]

Amartey 2 goals on PB at $4.75. Kicked 2 on the weekend as deep forward in about 60% of game time

 

[BloodRet]

pointsbet release their goal markets on Tuesday now? Usually Thursday around 7

 

[bulletride]

pointsbet release their goal markets on Tuesday now? Usually Thursday around 7

Looks like they've started doing them throughout the week but only with a limited selection, they had the Friday game up yesterday and 3/5 of the Saturday games today.

 

[BloodRet]

Coleman Jones 5.5, 17, 67 pb a lot shorter elsewhere, Goldstein took most of the ruck duty. also like Impeys odds on there

 

[Crock Hunter]

I know Lightning doesn’t normally strike twice - but to follow on from my quirky Mitch Lewis (0 goals) win, I may have found one of the bets of the year….

Ben Mckay

32

Ben Mckay

Age

27

Ht

202cm

Wt

104kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

7.5

2star

K

3.7

1star

HB

3.8

3star

M

2.7

3star

T

1.7

4star

MG

77.2

1star

D

7.5

2star

K

4.5

2star

HB

3.0

2star

M

2.5

3star

T

1.5

2star

MG

88.5

2star

D

7.0

2star

K

3.4

2star

HB

3.6

3star

M

2.4

3star

T

2.0

4star

MG

67.8

1star

this season:

• has missed or been injured in 8 games
• played forward in 2 games
• has played key defence in 7 games
• when playing forward he had totals of just 4 and 0 for marks
• when playing defence he has gone: 4, 5, 7, 9, 8(and injured), 10 and 6. This equates to an average of 7 marks a game when playing a full match in his normal role down back. He has covered 6 marks in 5/7 of these efforts while covering 8 marks in 3/7. Also keep in mind that his two misses were at the start of the year coming back from injury….

SO: we are talking about how guy who averages 7 marks (outliers removes) and we get $3.8 for 6+ and $12 for 8+…..
And what’s more? He comes up against the Hawks who let Barrass take 18 BLOODY MARKS as well as Shannon Hurn

25

Shannon Hurn

Age

38

Ht

187cm

Wt

95kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

20.9

5star

K

15.7

5star

HB

5.2

4star

M

7.0

5star

T

1.6

4star

MG

389.5

5star

D

16.1

4star

K

12.1

5star

HB

4.0

3star

M

5.3

5star

T

1.0

2star

MG

271.6

4star

D

19.0

5star

K

11.6

4star

HB

7.4

5star

M

6.8

5star

T

1.6

4star

9. Mckay is one of the best interceptors in the league - this is absolutely a must bet.

Sorry for the long write up - get on with me again and hopefully we can repeat the dose

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

I know Lightning doesn’t normally strike twice - but to follow on from my quirky Mitch Lewis (0 goals) win, I may have found one of the bets of the year….

Ben Mckay this season:

• has missed or been injured in 8 games
• played forward in 2 games
• has played key defence in 7 games
• when playing forward he had totals of just 4 and 0 for marks
• when playing defence he has gone: 4, 5, 7, 9, 8(and injured), 10 and 6. This equates to an average of 7 marks a game when playing a full match in his normal role down back. He has covered 6 marks in 5/7 of these efforts while covering 8 marks in 3/7. Also keep in mind that his two misses were at the start of the year coming back from injury….

SO: we are talking about how guy who averages 7 marks (outliers removes) and we get $3.8 for 6+ and $12 for 8+…..
And what’s more? He comes up against the Hawks who let Barrass take 18 BLOODY MARKS as well as Shannon Hurn 9. Mckay is one of the best interceptors in the league - this is absolutely a must bet.

Sorry for the long write up - get on with me again and hopefully we can repeat the dose

Which book?

 

[Crock Hunter]

Which book?

Sorry - Pointsbet

 

[mozz23]

I know Lightning doesn’t normally strike twice - but to follow on from my quirky Mitch Lewis (0 goals) win, I may have found one of the bets of the year….

Ben Mckay this season:

• has missed or been injured in 8 games
• played forward in 2 games
• has played key defence in 7 games
• when playing forward he had totals of just 4 and 0 for marks
• when playing defence he has gone: 4, 5, 7, 9, 8(and injured), 10 and 6. This equates to an average of 7 marks a game when playing a full match in his normal role down back. He has covered 6 marks in 5/7 of these efforts while covering 8 marks in 3/7. Also keep in mind that his two misses were at the start of the year coming back from injury….

SO: we are talking about how guy who averages 7 marks (outliers removes) and we get $3.8 for 6+ and $12 for 8+…..
And what’s more? He comes up against the Hawks who let Barrass take 18 BLOODY MARKS as well as Shannon Hurn 9. Mckay is one of the best interceptors in the league - this is absolutely a must bet.

Sorry for the long write up - get on with me again and hopefully we can repeat the dose

Like it mate! Cheers for the post

Tailed at $2.65 / $6

 

[jikost]

Freo board seem convinced Griffin Logue

19

Griffin Logue

Age

27

Ht

193cm

Wt

100kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

9.8

2star

K

4.4

2star

HB

5.4

4star

M

2.4

3star

T

1.0

3star

MG

115.4

2star

D

9.8

2star

K

4.4

2star

HB

5.4

3star

M

2.4

3star

T

1.0

2star

MG

115.4

2star

D

9.8

3star

K

4.4

2star

HB

5.4

4star

M

2.4

3star

T

1.0

3star

MG

115.4

2star

will play forward Friday night with Alex Pearce

25

Alex Pearce

Age

30

Ht

201cm

Wt

98kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

10.6

3star

K

5.2

2star

HB

5.4

4star

M

3.4

3star

T

1.8

4star

MG

106.3

2star

No current season stats available

D

11.0

3star

K

5.0

2star

HB

6.0

4star

M

4.4

4star

T

0.8

3star

MG

103.2

2star

returning. I'll take the gamble....

2+ @ $7 365
3+ @ $29
4+ @ $200

 

[Del125763]

I know Lightning doesn’t normally strike twice - but to follow on from my quirky Mitch Lewis (0 goals) win, I may have found one of the bets of the year….

Ben Mckay this season:

• has missed or been injured in 8 games
• played forward in 2 games
• has played key defence in 7 games
• when playing forward he had totals of just 4 and 0 for marks
• when playing defence he has gone: 4, 5, 7, 9, 8(and injured), 10 and 6. This equates to an average of 7 marks a game when playing a full match in his normal role down back. He has covered 6 marks in 5/7 of these efforts while covering 8 marks in 3/7. Also keep in mind that his two misses were at the start of the year coming back from injury….

SO: we are talking about how guy who averages 7 marks (outliers removes) and we get $3.8 for 6+ and $12 for 8+…..
And what’s more? He comes up against the Hawks who let Barrass take 18 BLOODY MARKS as well as Shannon Hurn 9. Mckay is one of the best interceptors in the league - this is absolutely a must bet.

Sorry for the long write up - get on with me again and hopefully we can repeat the dose

Someone got on , prices been crunched in .

 

[GROTTO]

View attachment 1450413

The disrespect. I’ll be on him 3-6 against the crows

not in the top 200. lolololol journalism is cooked these days

Its the way Kane Cornes rolls, his father Graham former Crows coach and was in the media as well, would always take one opposing line of argument and his colleague the other, apparently it made for "intriguing commentary".

Kane often comes out with these pearls. Credit to him, while despised by most and even Port supporters, he stays relevant in the AFL media.

Food for thought here regarding Buddy, he said the Crows side was the worst he had ever seen on the field in all his years of following the AFL, they then proceeded to beat the Demons infamously last year at AO.

 

[Johanpetro]

Someone got on , prices been crunched in .

View attachment 1450940

Doesn’t take much to move these markets! I remember literally looking the moment he posted those odds and they had already come in from $12 to $8. Would honestly only take 1 bet for them to move the odds

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Doesn’t take much to move these markets!

bro come on do you really think this board has that much influence?

there's just no way

i know this because there was a dude on this board a couple months ago saying so

 

[targett]

bro come on do you really think this board has that much influence? there's just no way.

i know this because there was a dude on this board a couple months ago saying so

Absolutely. With these types of markets a couple of small bets can move the odds considerably. Even topsport is known for it let alone the rest of the bottom feeder bookies

 

[teamlenny]

bro come on do you really think this board has that much influence?

there's just no way

i know this because there was a dude on this board a couple months ago saying so

these are novelty markets out well before teams are out, I think you will be surprised how little it takes to move a market like this, would stand out when multiple accounts are backing at the same time that likely happens from here, even if those aren't winning bettors.

$3.8 to $2.65 is not a big move here either