AFL 2022 AFL Round 2

[md20]

Nah that was the tab. They’ve all come in now. 15+ @ 1.75, 20+ @ 3.00 and 25+ @ 5.

I’m actually getting a 4x cashout return on the 25+ which I’m tempted to take. Think 25 might be a stretch and he’s still a chance to miss.

Yeah thats a tough one. $26 for 25 is also massive and he is definitely capable.
But as you say..it is starting to stretch it.

 

[kicksome]

i dont mind goals for James Rowe again. Kicked 2.1 on the weekend, and rochele might cop some attention this week

2+ $4.30
3+ $14
4+ $51

Also one im going to keep an eye out for that game is Nathan Krueger - if he gets a game. Cox might be in doubt with a rolled ankle, and Kruegs played and kicked 2 in the praccy and got knocked out in the other one. From memory he's a big left footer that couldn't get into geelongs forwardline so they chucked him down back.

chucking in:
Bean Keays, he likes to hit the scoreboard. Owes me from last week after I backed him because he kicked 4 behinds in the praccy game
1+ $2.25
2+ $8 @SB

 

[md20]

Also like J. Jones for West Coast. Kicked 2 last week in a losing side and comes up against North so should have opportunities.
2+ $4.25 @Neds (cant look at other bookies at the moment but I think he may have been $4.45 on SB from memory).

Only thought I have against it is the Ins the Eagles may have. Especially Liam Ryan

31

Liam Ryan

Age

29

Ht

181cm

Wt

76kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.3

3star

K

8.6

3star

HB

2.7

2star

M

3.0

3star

T

2.0

4star

G

1.3

5star

D

9.9

3star

K

8.0

3star

HB

1.9

1star

M

3.3

3star

T

1.6

3star

G

1.3

5star

D

11.4

3star

K

9.0

4star

HB

2.4

3star

M

3.8

4star

T

1.8

4star

G

1.6

5star

who may take a bit of his influence away.

 

[ash_1050]

Signed up to NEDS and got the $250 deposit match.

$150 bonus bet @ 3.19
Bulldogs vs Carlton - Either Team To Win By Less Than 39.5 Points @1.35
Sydney vs Geelong - Either Team To Win By Less Than 39.5 Points @1.22
Port @ 1.24
Melbourne @ 1.24
Richmond vs GWS - Either Team To Win By Less Than 39.5 Points @1.26

$100 bonus bet @ 2.12
Sydney vs Geelong
Either Team To Win By Less Than 39.5 Points
Any Other Result - Fixed Win (Quarter 1/2/3/4 Leader - Wire To Wire)

0.5 units @ 91.19
Sydney vs Geelong Draw @ 51
Port @ 1.24
Melbourne @ 1.24

 

[squeaky1000]

Lot of value floating around in the disposal markets on tab compared to the other bookies at the moment.. a few of my favs:

Sicily $1.95 for 20+, $3.50 for 25+, $13 for 30+ ($1.22 for 20+ on sportsbet, $4.20 for 30) - had 27 touches on the weekend, huge value at those odds

Jiath $1.95 for 20+ had 24 on the weekend - $1.40 on sb

Jordan Clark

6

Jordan Clark

Age

25

Ht

185cm

Wt

83kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

13.7

4star

K

9.4

4star

HB

4.3

3star

M

4.2

4star

T

2.6

4star

MG

172.0

3star

D

12.5

3star

K

8.5

3star

HB

4.0

3star

M

4.0

4star

T

1.5

2star

MG

172.0

3star

D

12.2

3star

K

10.4

4star

HB

1.8

2star

M

3.4

4star

T

2.4

4star

$1.70 for 15+ ($1.57 for 20!! on sb) - got 20 on the weekend

Hugh Greenwood

1

Hugh Greenwood

Age

33

Ht

190cm

Wt

92kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

16.9

4star

K

8.8

3star

HB

8.1

5star

M

2.3

2star

T

6.8

5star

CL

4.6

5star

D

17.4

4star

K

10.4

4star

HB

7.0

4star

M

1.5

2star

T

8.9

5star

CL

5.6

5star

D

16.4

4star

K

8.6

4star

HB

7.8

5star

M

2.2

3star

T

7.6

5star

CL

4.4

5star

$1.60 for 15+ coming off 19

Fair few more over the odds as well if you shop around but that's probably the pick of them

 

[freo_leo29]

Lot of value floating around in the disposal markets on tab compared to the other bookies at the moment.. a few of my favs:

Sicily $1.95 for 20+, $3.50 for 25+, $13 for 30+ ($1.22 for 20+ on sportsbet, $4.20 for 30) - had 27 touches on the weekend, huge value at those odds

Jiath $1.95 for 20+ had 24 on the weekend - $1.40 on sb

Jordan Clark $1.70 for 15+ ($1.57 for 20!! on sb) - got 20 on the weekend

Hugh Greenwood $1.60 for 15+ coming off 19

Fair few more over the odds as well if you shop around but that's probably the pick of them

I like Foley 15+ @ 2 too had 24 on the weekend and is playing a good half back flankers role

 

[Del125763]

Did anyone have a crack at the Ladbrokes “Any Team v Any Team” promo on the weekend? It lets you choose a team from the round to score more points than another side for the weekend. For example, Melbourne to outscore Haw last week and odds are given accordingly. I made a 5 leg multi on this and missed by 1 leg. Had Richmond (76) to score more than Haw (78) as my only loss.
I think going forward some smart observations to make before backing these sides would be to load up not only the better/high scoring teams, but those playing in favourable conditions -Under the roof at Marvel (Bris this week v Ess) versus a team who is predicted to play in the wet and so on

Was feeling pretty confident after Collingwood and Carlton recorded wins and with reports that Sydney weather would have a role to play.


I admit had no regrets holding the bet before the Sydney v Giants game. I was thinking a derby , between two evenly contested teams. It ended up being a shoot out In the 1st half.

 

[ShaunWDT]

Must admit Im a bit surprised Sydney are favourite, lucky to beat us last year and that was without Danger.

 

[IDIG]

Yeah thats a tough one. $26 for 25 is also massive and he is definitely capable.
But as you say..it is starting to stretch it.

I ended up cashing out on the off chance he doesn’t get up but will let the rest ride which I think is a much more realistic chance of winning.

He’s now into 1.65 for 15+ and 2.60 for 20+. Only other place I can see him available is Neds 15+ at 1.45.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

It is amusing how quickly some markets come in when tips are posted here.

How many dudes are out there just sharking tips and not actually posting any of their own?

 

[iluvparis]

It is amusing how quickly some markets come in when tips are posted here.

How many dudes are out there just sharking tips and not actually posting any of their own?

 

[iluvparis]

I'll tip against Carlton - not sure who they have this week

 

[BuddysBuddy23]

I'll tip against Carlton - not sure who they have this week

Doggies. Personally think Dogs win, would love to see Baggers get up however and keep the train chugging on!

 

[mouncey2franklin]

I like the Simpkin AGS tip, I've gone 5u on that @ $2.90 (TAB)

Based on preseason and rd 1, it appears to be something he is working on, adding goals to his game.

Should be $2 tops in a match against a fellow cellar-dweller under the roof.

Also booking tickets again for the Horne train, the fundamentals are all as good as they were last week.

1u each on 2+ ($3.75), 3+ ($11), 4+ ($41), 5+ ($175) (All sb)

Basically I see it as, if he kicks two, I break even. From there it's a freeroll.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

I'm giving the Durdin train another chance, 1u each 2+ ($3.50), 3+ ($10), 4+ ($36), 5+ ($187)

Kicked 2.1 last week.

I don't rate the Dogs' tall defence, maybe this is the round where Silvagni finally arrives.

0.5u each on 2+ ($4.50), 3+ ($17), 4+ ($51), 5+ ($251)

Note that he has never kicked more than three goals in his 79 matches at AFL level.

When you're playing with house money, you can afford to be a little bit more out of the box with your thinking.

 

[Atavistic]

I'll tip against Carlton - not sure who they have this week

Put "100U" instead of "I'll tip" and that's a Raz post for sure.

 

[Atavistic]

I'm giving the Durdin train another chance, 1u each 2+ ($3.50), 3+ ($10), 4+ ($36), 5+ ($187)

Kicked 2.1 last week.

I don't rate the Dogs' tall defence, maybe this is the round where Silvagni finally arrives.

0.5u each on 2+ ($4.50), 3+ ($17), 4+ ($51), 5+ ($251)

Note that he has never kicked more than three goals in his 79 matches at AFL level.

When you're playing with house money, you can afford to be a little bit more out of the box with your thinking.

Are you backing in Horned Francis as well?

 

[GROTTO]

Are you backing in Horned Francis as well?

Out of respect for mouncey2franklin please refer to JHF as Sir Horn.

 

[GROTTO]

I'm giving the Durdin train another chance,

There is no train until I see a train posted by you.

Your photoshop efforts adds value to my bets and enjoyment of punting. lol.

 

[BuddysBuddy23]

Lot of value floating around in the disposal markets on tab compared to the other bookies at the moment.. a few of my favs:

Sicily $1.95 for 20+, $3.50 for 25+, $13 for 30+ ($1.22 for 20+ on sportsbet, $4.20 for 30) - had 27 touches on the weekend, huge value at those odds

Jiath $1.95 for 20+ had 24 on the weekend - $1.40 on sb

Jordan Clark $1.70 for 15+ ($1.57 for 20!! on sb) - got 20 on the weekend

Hugh Greenwood $1.60 for 15+ coming off 19

Fair few more over the odds as well if you shop around but that's probably the pick of them

Sicily & CJ in to $1.30 & $1.50 for 20+. Odds disappearing quickly!

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Luke Jackson

9

Luke Jackson

Age

24

Ht

199cm

Wt

102kg

Pos.

F/R

Career

Season

Last 5

D

8.3

2star

K

3.3

1star

HB

5.0

4star

M

1.5

2star

T

1.0

3star

G

0.3

3star

D

8.3

2star

K

3.3

1star

HB

5.0

3star

M

1.5

2star

T

1.0

2star

G

0.3

3star

D

8.3

3star

K

3.3

2star

HB

5.0

4star

M

1.5

2star

T

1.0

3star

G

0.3

3star

AGS $2 (TAB).

Kicked 1.1 last week.

Kicked 4.0 against the Suns last season at the Gold Coast stadium.

2u AGS, 1u 4+ ($63 sb), 1u 5+ ($226 sb)

If he kicks one goal, the rest is a freeroll.

 

[GROTTO]

I'll tip against Carlton - not sure who they have this week

Your Kiss of Death Predictions on this forum is legendary, Melbourne wont win the flag and no Coleman for McKay all year.

Even while drunk during the grand final, I thought of you as Fristch was kicking goals out of his arse.

Dont worry, I still believe Crows won the flag in 2017, however my betting account tells me differently.

My kiss of Death is Carlton will make the 8 and if they get the right permutation in September they could easily land in a Prelim.

 

[maskmcgee]

Signed up to NEDS and got the $250 deposit match.

How? Automatically? What's this "Neds code" box, is there somthing I should enter there?

 

[GROTTO]

How? Automatically? What's this "Neds code" box, is there somthing I should enter there?

You can do dumpster diving and ring up customer service, IIRC I actually did that with a couple of books back in the day.

Try to sound ignorant and clueless, its the kind of customers that they love and happy to oblige.

For me it came naturally.

 

[ash_1050]

How? Automatically? What's this "Neds code" box, is there somthing I should enter there?

Was the next screen after that where it prompted me to make a deposit, and then offered the bonuses depending on the amount input. May vary from state to state.