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AFL 2022 AFL Round 2

Line Winners?

  • Total voters
    30
  • Poll closed .

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mouncey2franklin said:
I'm giving the Durdin train another chance, 1u each 2+ ($3.50), 3+ ($10), 4+ ($36), 5+ ($187)

Kicked 2.1 last week.

I don't rate the Dogs' tall defence, maybe this is the round where Silvagni finally arrives.

0.5u each on 2+ ($4.50), 3+ ($17), 4+ ($51), 5+ ($251)

Note that he has never kicked more than three goals in his 79 matches at AFL level.

When you're playing with house money, you can afford to be a little bit more out of the box with your thinking.

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I might be a bit of a jinx at the moment but tailed you on Durdin 2+ and Horne-Francis 2+ Goals.

I didnt watch Horne-Francis play last week , so just going to go with instinct.

Sportsbet multi pays 14.73 (boosted from 13.50)
 
GROTTO said:
Your Kiss of Death Predictions on this forum is legendary, Melbourne wont win the flag and no Coleman for McKay all year.

Even while drunk during the grand final, I thought of you as Fristch was kicking goals out of his arse.

Dont worry, I still believe Crows won the flag in 2017, however my betting account tells me differently. :(

My kiss of Death is Carlton will make the 8 and if they get the right permutation in September they could easily land in a Prelim. :oops:
Click to expand...

The right permutation would be the entire oppo getting Covid 2 days before each of their finals.
 
Multi on

Alex Keath 15+ Disposals
Horne-Francis 2+ Goals

Odds: 21.60 @ BetRight

Alex Keath managed this number against Carlton last time out at the very same game ground.
 

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Last time dogs and Carlton played Owies kicked 2.2, so I will have a go at him, he only kicked 2 behinds last week so he might want to get around it this week.
2+ $4.50
3+ $15

Also last 2 times these teams have played Eddie Betts has done a number on them, so I might jump on the small forward train. Durdin is the man!
2+ $3.60
3+ $10
4+ $36
 
mouncey2franklin said:
I'm giving the Durdin train another chance, 1u each 2+ ($3.50), 3+ ($10), 4+ ($36), 5+ ($187)

Kicked 2.1 last week.

I don't rate the Dogs' tall defence, maybe this is the round where Silvagni finally arrives.

0.5u each on 2+ ($4.50), 3+ ($17), 4+ ($51), 5+ ($251)

Note that he has never kicked more than three goals in his 79 matches at AFL level.

When you're playing with house money, you can afford to be a little bit more out of the box with your thinking.

200.gif
Click to expand...
The West Australian, the number 1 source of news for AFL, is reporting that Jack Darling is likely to play for The Eagles this weekend.

I'd be interested in the combo of Kennedy, Darling and whatever that 3rd forward (probably Liam Ryan) is for 1+ goal combined every quarter.


Multi 1:
2+ Goals Bobby Hill GWS v Richmond
2+ Goals James Rowe v Collingwood
2+ Goals Devon Smith v Brisbane
2+ Goals Silvagni v Bulldogs
Odds: 281.88 @ Sportsbet

Multi 2:
Goldstein 1+ Goal
O'Brien 1+ Goal
Oscar McInerney 1+ Goal
Tim English 1+ Goal
Odds: 39.37 @ BetRight .


Multi 2 is paying: 17.69 at Sportsbet and 18 at Lads. BetRight offering decent odds on 'AnyTime Goalscorer' odds if anyone is keen on those sort of bets.
 
O'Brien was wasteful in front of goal last weekend with 0.2, but he has a nack of snagging a goal
NYRB said:
The West Australian, the number 1 source of news for AFL, is reporting that Jack Darling is likely to play for The Eagles this weekend.

I'd be interested in the combo of Kennedy, Darling and whatever that 3rd forward (probably Liam Ryan) is for 1+ goal combined every quarter.


Multi 1:
2+ Goals Bobby Hill GWS v Richmond
2+ Goals James Rowe v Collingwood
2+ Goals Devon Smith v Brisbane
2+ Goals Silvagni v Bulldogs
Odds: 281.88 @ Sportsbet

Multi 2:
Goldstein 1+ Goal
O'Brien 1+ Goal
Oscar McInerney 1+ Goal
Tim English 1+ Goal
Odds: 39.37 @ BetRight .


Multi 2 is paying: 17.69 at Sportsbet and 18 at Lads. BetRight offering decent odds on 'AnyTime Goalscorer' odds if anyone is keen on those sort of bets.
Click to expand...
Also at Betright , swapping O'Brien for Tom Green.

Tom Green scored a goal last weekend against the Swans.

Goldstein 1+ Goal
Tom Green 1+ Goal
Oscar McInerney 1+ Goal
Tim English 1+ Goal
Odds: 32.92 @ BetRight
 
hey team - one to be quick on.
Jason Horne-Francis @$2.5 for 15+ on Sunday. Is $1.4 at other books - won’t last. He had 13 on debut and north were awful. Suspect he gets even more time in the guts this week given how shit we are. Had 6 in the first qtr when up forward for 70% of time
 
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NYRB said:
O'Brien was wasteful in front of goal last weekend with 0.2, but he has a nack of snagging a goal
Click to expand...
I take back my comment. O'Brien doesnt have a nack of scoring goals. 5 goals from 57 matches.

Dont know why but maybe my memory is short, but just watching him play, i maybe getting him confused with other rucks and their prowess to snag a goal.
 
Crock Hunter said:
hey team - one to be quick on.
Jason Horne-Francis @$2.5 for 15+ on Sunday. Is $1.4 at other books - won’t last. He had 13 on debut and north were awful. Suspect he gets even more time in the guts this week given how sh*t we are. Had 6 in the first qtr when up forward for 70% of time
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kicksome said:
I took:

Owies 1+
Kennedy 1+
Durdin 2+
$10.50 @SB
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Ive tailed both of your boys bets in my one as well.

Durdin 2+ Goals
Horne-Francis 15+ Disposals

At TAB odds: 9.45 (Boosted from 8.75)


Horne-Francis is 2.88 at Sportsbet for 20+ disposals, so i have to kind of agree with your views there Crock Hunter
 

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Crock Hunter said:
hey team - one to be quick on.
Jason Horne-Francis @$2.5 for 15+ on Sunday. Is $1.4 at other books - won’t last. He had 13 on debut and north were awful. Suspect he gets even more time in the guts this week given how sh*t we are. Had 6 in the first qtr when up forward for 70% of time
Click to expand...

I like this bet however it is worth pointing out that he only had 16 in the Sydney practice match as well.

In other words, averaging below 15 across AAMI / Rd 1.
 
Daniher 15+ @ 2.60

I still get flashbacks from his return match when he tore us a new one and had 25, 8 marks and a couple of goals.

He hasn’t really lit it up since but I think we’re vulnerable this week and don’t really have a great match up for him (Kelly/Stewart/Laverde).

2.10 at Sportsbet.


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Archie Perkins AGS $2.05 tab much shorter elsewhere. Hopefully the bombers decide to show up this week and he gets a better crack at it.

The lizard 15+ disposals $1.55 tab. He’s around that quote to get 20 at other bookies, hopefully takes a few kick ins on a wet night hopefully a few rushed behinds to assist. Absolutely killing his new role in defence.

Also took Horne Francis 15+ $2.50 but just seen another member post above.

Tailed Jordan Clarke 15+ $1.60 should cover comfortably.

Rowan Marshall AGS $2.25 tab, just got a hunch and he kicked two against the dockers last time they met.

Chapman 15+ $2.05 tab feel like his line should be around 16.5
 

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TopSport if your reading this thread, please give us better margins for 'Exact Goals' on your players especially the star ones.

Anyway if they use margins of around 22% or so for star players, these are my odds for the Bud goals in Rd 2 v Geelong.


Franklin Goals.png
Think in a home game and being favourites, he is unlikely to kick 0. 2 goals, 3 goals and 4 goals exactly come in/shorten this week because he is more likelier to land on there due to the conditions. 5+ Goals on Sportsbet is paying 8 and I tend to agree with that.

Mind you having said that, last year the Bud kicked a bag in the rain against Freo (6 from memory). Anyway this Cats defence is a bit more pluckier than Freo and the conditions will be more heavier than in Perth last year.

I have a sneaky feeling the Bud will land on Exactly 1 or 2 goals this week.
 
4u - May 15+ disposals - $1.80 - TAB
Going back to the well with this one. Lost on this last week after he landed on 14 after only 1 disposal in the last quarter. Bit of an overreaction on the basis of one game. Dogs only kicking 5 behinds is what hurt this one big time. Expect the Suns to spray a few more and him to get those kick ins easier. Hurn and McGovern were able to get 24 and 19 on the Suns last week in similar roles to what we see from May. Would be priced around $1.30 had he have made it to 15 last week. Have to go heavy at this price. Would bet down to $1.60.

2.5u - Chapman 15+ disposals - $2.05 - TAB
Another reactionary price, also landed one disposal short of his line. Had 23 in their preseason hit out vs West Coast. Was getting amongst the kick to kick build up in that hit out and was getting amongst the intercept possessions. Against the Saints all Collingwood defenders were able to go above 15 disposals.
 
Ladbrokes offering $1.02 on the Bud to kick 1+ Goal, and TAB $1.30 on the Bud to kick 2+ Goals

I would love to be laying those prices.

Its a 'trap bet' for me and ill be staying away from that.

Will keep an eye out on TopSport at what odds they release Exact Goals on Swans v Geelong.
 
Josh Kennedy an OUT as reported by the West , the number 1 source of West Coast Eagles news.


But Willie Rioli cleared from suspension. Darling in , probably cancels out Kennedy going out?
 

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