AFL 2022 AFL Round 23

[Del125763]

Robbie Gray $6.50/$20/$75 for 3/4/5 on B365, much better than the terrible SB odds @ $2.20/$4.25/$9.75

Robbie Grays odds have been truly crunched in

$1.38 for 2+ Goals at Sportsbet as I speak.

 

[TryAnHit]

I was hoping to get some decent odds for Sexton or Burgess who have both been scoring goals in the VFL.

Instead Burgess wasn't even named, and the odds for Sexton are yuck.

Despite only kicking one goal in the AFL this season (from three games), Sexton's odds for 2 / 3 / 4 are

sb: 2, 4.50, 11

pb: 1.70, 3.20, 7.50

Also bet Sexton, With a total of 184.5 tho everyone odds are gonna to be avg

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Dangerfield's odds are back out to $11 for 3, $29 for 4, $81 for 5.

Has pb been given an assurance by the relevant parties that Danger won't be playing forward?

 

[GROTTO]

Dangerfield's odds are back out to $11 for 3, $29 for 4, $81 for 5.

Has pb been given an assurance by the relevant parties that Danger won't be playing forward?

FFS thats so heckin'g dodgy as fcuk. Thats bs.

 

[TheCandyMan]

Hipwood 2+
Fyfe 2+
Taranto 2+
Sexton 2+

@111 ts

On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Del125763]

Hipwood 2+
Fyfe 2+
Taranto 2+
Sexton 2+

@111 ts

On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app

Tailed your bet at TopSport @ 109.23


Also did one swapping Sexton for Ainsworth


Ainsworth 2+, Taranto 2+, Fyfe 2+ and Hipwood 2+ @ 141 (using the TopSport TopUp token)

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Hipwood 2+
Fyfe 2+
Taranto 2+
Sexton 2+

@111 ts

On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app

Tailed. Not confident on Fyfe though but wateva.

 

[GROTTO]

=

Tailed your bet at TopSport @ 109.23


Also did one swapping Sexton for Ainsworth


Ainsworth 2+, Taranto 2+, Fyfe 2+ and Hipwood 2+ @ 141 (using the TopSport TopUp token)

Good degen move of making full good use of your token, usually its a only about 20 to 30 cents, with that multi at least youve added $30 more to those odds.

 

[Del125763]

I had an estimate pre-price for Alex Sexton

6

Alex Sexton

Age

32

Ht

186cm

Wt

82kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.4

3star

K

8.3

3star

HB

4.1

3star

M

3.1

3star

T

2.0

4star

MG

316.2

4star

D

9.6

2star

K

7.3

3star

HB

2.3

2star

M

2.6

3star

T

1.9

3star

D

9.4

3star

K

7.0

3star

HB

2.4

3star

M

3.2

4star

T

2.0

4star

for 2+ Goals @ 9.00 v Roos, so $2.12 for 2+ Goals is very short in my book.

I dont feel confident he can get goals but hey its the last game of the season and TheCandyMan got a nice winner a few weeks back. So happy to throw a bit of loose change at those odds)

 

[TheCandyMan]

Tailed. Not confident on Fyfe though but wateva.

Pretty confident he's majority fwd first game back with no mids out and 3 fwds going out. Taranto the one I'm worried about but his price too good if he actually plays fwd

On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Del125763]

=

Good degen move of making full good use of your token, usually its a only about 20 to 30 cents, with that multi at least youve added $30 more to those odds.

To be fair to TopSport , those odds I got on the accumulator got Boosted from 130.35 to 141. Depends on the way you look on it.

 

[TheCandyMan]

I had an estimate pre-price for Alex Sexton

6

Alex Sexton

Age

32

Ht

186cm

Wt

82kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.4

3star

K

8.3

3star

HB

4.1

3star

M

3.1

3star

T

2.0

4star

MG

316.2

4star

D

9.6

2star

K

7.3

3star

HB

2.3

2star

M

2.6

3star

T

1.9

3star

D

9.4

3star

K

7.0

3star

HB

2.4

3star

M

3.2

4star

T

2.0

4star

for 2+ Goals @ 9.00 v Roos, so $2.12 for 2+ Goals is very short in my book.

I dont feel confident he can get goals but hey its the last game of the season and TheCandyMan got a nice winner a few weeks back. So happy to throw a bit of loose change at those odds)

Agree he's short but he's greedy and he's v norf under the roof

On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[bulletride]

havent seen much of Zach Reid, is he much of a player?

Talented key position player who has played all his AFL games in defence so far. Physically he's still developing so not really ready but the cupboard is pretty bare and it's the final round so there's a good chance we throw him forward. I've taken his odds at B365 in the off chance he can snag a few

AGS $3.40
2+ $21
3+ $176

 

[Nuggetz]

Hipwood 2+
Fyfe 2+
Taranto 2+
Sexton 2+

@111 ts

On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app

Tailed

 

[kicksome]

AGS $3.40
2+ $21
3+ $176

Tailed for a few dollars just for a laugh

 

[demon_fanatic]

?

View attachment 1481472

?? have you watched any of eagles games this year and looked at Barass intercept mark stats and goals conceded? its phenomenal given how often the balls going in... he has an argument to be the best defender in game for sure and should be a lock for a back 6 spot.....

 

[Nuggetz]

Talented key position player who has played all his AFL games in defence so far. Physically he's still developing so not really ready but the cupboard is pretty bare and it's the final round so there's a good chance we throw him forward. I've taken his odds at B365 in the off chance he can snag a few

AGS $3.40
2+ $21
3+ $176

Hope this is the final rounds zeibel, carn unknown campaigner

 

[NonPhixion]

$103K available to back Geelong on BetFair at $1.03

Someone must be feeling generous

 

[demon_fanatic]

you can get Robbie Gray

9

Robbie Gray

Age

37

Ht

183cm

Wt

84kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

19.9

5star

K

9.8

4star

HB

10.1

5star

M

3.5

4star

T

3.2

5star

G

1.4

5star

D

13.3

3star

K

6.0

2star

HB

7.3

4star

M

2.4

3star

T

2.6

4star

G

0.6

4star

D

10.4

3star

K

6.6

3star

HB

3.8

3star

M

3.6

4star

T

1.4

4star

G

1.4

5star

9 on the pointsbet spread which seems much better value than the fixed odds.. it is a definite low floor/high ceiling bet... surely he at least snags 1 which is only a $30 loss if he kicks 1.0 ... If he starts getting cheapies and kicks 3/4 it'll be a very tidy profit.. im hedging slightly by taking a $5 per point lower stake on Marshall and Georgides

 

[NonPhixion]

you can get Robbie Gray 9 on the pointsbet spread which seems much better value than the fixed odds.. it is a definite low floor/high ceiling bet... surely he at least snags 1 which is only a $30 loss if he kicks 1.0 ... If he starts getting cheapies and kicks 3/4 it'll be a very tidy profit.. im hedging slightly by taking a $5 per point lower stake on Marshall and Georgides

tailed. Great find. Massive potential

 

[Del125763]

?

?? have you watched any of eagles games this year and looked at Barass intercept mark stats and goals conceded? its phenomenal given how often the balls going in... he has an argument to be the best defender in game for sure and should be a lock for a back 6 spot.....

He went to Hale School. He has a god given right to be in that All-Australian team. Haleians only know how to pay and bribe their way to the top.

 

[Del125763]

you can get Robbie Gray 9 on the pointsbet spread which seems much better value than the fixed odds.. it is a definite low floor/high ceiling bet... surely he at least snags 1 which is only a $30 loss if he kicks 1.0 ... If he starts getting cheapies and kicks 3/4 it'll be a very tidy profit.. im hedging slightly by taking a $5 per point lower stake on Marshall and Georgides

Ive tailed

its much better than the $1.38 for 2+ Goals


The Spread at PointsBet for Gray Points

6-9 pts
(Maximum win, 50 x times your initial stake)

Whats the chances?

Gray Total Points

Under 6 pts = 35%
6-9 pts inclusive = 25%
Over 9 pts= 40%
?

At $1.38 , the bookies reckon are implying a 72.46% chance of Gray scoring at least 2+ goals

 

[TheCandyMan]

He went to Hale School. He has a god given right to be in that All-Australian team. Haleians only know how to pay and bribe their way to the top.

Love your obsession with hating Hale [emoji23] I'm guessing you're Scotch or Christchurch?

On Pixel 6 using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Jcpdragonx]

Missed out on the gray train so giving the pb fantasy markets a crack

2.10/3.50/6.50/13 for 70/80/90/100

Taking out injury games he’s played 13. Hit 70 6/13 but 1/13 for 80. Given the occasion put some on 70/80 and a fraction on the others.

Interestingly his cbas over his past 6 games have been decent, 3/6 games over 40%

 

[mouncey2franklin]

you can get Robbie Gray 9 on the pointsbet spread which seems much better value than the fixed odds.. it is a definite low floor/high ceiling bet... surely he at least snags 1 which is only a $30 loss if he kicks 1.0 ... If he starts getting cheapies and kicks 3/4 it'll be a very tidy profit.. im hedging slightly by taking a $5 per point lower stake on Marshall and Georgides

I love the out of the box thinking on this one.

However I won't be tailing.

Gray hasn't kicked a goal against Adelaide since 2018. His last four matches vs the Crows have been goalless.

In saying that, he did kick 6.0 in 2018, so here's to hoping for you lads that he can do a repeat of that one