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AFL 2022 AFL Round 3

Line Winners?

  • Total voters
    22
  • Poll closed .

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ippxss said:
Sickening. Bet on Daniher 4+, gets 3.1. Bet on Cameron 3+,4+,5+,6+, kicks 2.6. Bet on Rayner 2+, 3+, 4+, kicks 0.3. Made some back on Linc 3+ (Wish i added 4+ and 5+) but wow, frustrating.
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Ouch! We all have those days chin up mate
 
mouncey2franklin said:
My bets Bris vs North

McCluggage 1u each 2+, 3+, 4+ ($4.50, $14, $51, all pb)

Neale 0.5u each 2+, 3+ ($6, $21, pb), 4+ 5+ ($88, $650, sb)

Ford 2u AGS, 1u 2+, 1u 3+ ($2.50, $11, $41, pb), 1u 4+, 1u 5+ ($141, $1801, sb)

Mahony 0.5u each 2+, 3+ ($11, $41, pb)

Stephenson 0.5u each 2+ 3+ ($6, $21, pb)

Cockatoo 0.5u each 3+ 4+ ($12, $41, pb)

McCarthy 1u 3+, 0.5u each 4+ 5+ ($6, $14, $41, all pb)

Total outlay: 16u
Click to expand...

+17u for the match. Thank **** for McCarthy.
 
NYRB said:
Stats Multiplier (Kicks x Handballs x Goals) for Brisbane v North Melbourne, spreads from PointsBet:

View attachment 1361476
View attachment 1361477


Tips using the $1 stake system on PointsBet for Brisbane v North:

Neale- NO PLAY
Bailey- UNDER 106
Zorko- UNDER 96
McCluggage- OVER 109
Daniher- NO PLAY
Lyons- OVER 89
Charlie Cameron- NO PLAY
McCarthy - OVER 58
Jarrod Berry- NO PLAY
McStay- NO PLAY
Rayner- OVER 38
Big O- NO PLAY
Robinson- NO PLAY
Rich - OVER 29
Fort- NO PLAY
Cockatoo- NO PLAY
Ah Chee- NO PLAY
Starcevich- NO PLAY
Andrews- NO PLAY
Answerth- OVER 4
Marcus Adams- OVER 4
Gardiner- NO PLAY
Simpkin- NO PLAY
Horne-Francis- NO PLAY
Larkey- OVER 52
Greenwood- OVER 51
Stephenson- OVER 42
Zurhaar- OVER 38
Goldstein- NO PLAY
Polec- NO PLAY
Aaron Hall- OVER 27
Tom Powell- NO PLAY
Curtis Taylor - NO PLAY
Kayne Turner- NO PLAY
Ziebell- NO PLAY
Bailey Scott- OVER 17
Mahony- OVER 17
Xerri - OVER 14
Josh Walker- OVER 7
McDonald- UNDER 7
Lachie Young- OVER 3
Ben McKay- NO PLAY


I fancy a defender or two to snag a goal .
Click to expand...
Result of my stat Multiplier tips :

Neale- NO PLAY
Bailey- UNDER 106=-$104
Zorko- UNDER 96 =+$96
McCluggage- OVER 109=-$109
Daniher- NO PLAY
Lyons- OVER 89=+$103
Charlie Cameron- NO PLAY
McCarthy - OVER 58=+$122
Jarrod Berry- NO PLAY
McStay- NO PLAY
Rayner- OVER 38=-$38
Big O- NO PLAY
Robinson- NO PLAY
Rich - OVER 29=-$29
Fort- NO PLAY
Cockatoo- NO PLAY
Ah Chee- NO PLAY
Starcevich- NO PLAY
Andrews- NO PLAY
Answerth- OVER 4=-$4
Marcus Adams- OVER 4=-$4
Gardiner- NO PLAY
Simpkin- NO PLAY
Horne-Francis- NO PLAY
Larkey- OVER 52=-$32
Greenwood- OVER 51=-$51
Stephenson- OVER 42=-$42
Zurhaar- OVER 38=-$38
Goldstein- NO PLAY
Polec- NO PLAY
Aaron Hall- OVER 27=+$87
Tom Powell- NO PLAY
Curtis Taylor - NO PLAY
Kayne Turner- NO PLAY
Ziebell- NO PLAY
Bailey Scott- OVER 17=-$17
Mahony- OVER 17=-$17
Xerri - OVER 14=-$14
Josh Walker- OVER 7=-$7
McDonald- UNDER 7=+$7
Lachie Young- OVER 3=-$3
Ben McKay- NO PLAY


Net Result= -$181
 

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I overestimated the quality of the Roos forwards.


They plain simply struggled tonight despite their midfield doing OK. Larkey aside, they are pretty average and that includes Zurhaar. Greenwood missed a dolly mark inside the 50. Guys like: Mahony, Powell, Polec, Bailey Scott , Xerri , Curtis Taylor aren't AFL standard- they wouldnt get a gig in a side in the Top 14 teams in the comp....yep you heard it right.
 
NYRB said:
I overestimated the quality of the Roos forwards.


They plain simply struggled tonight despite their midfield doing OK. Larkey aside, they are pretty average and that includes Zurhaar. Greenwood missed a dolly mark inside the 50. Guys like: Mahony, Powell, Polec, Bailey Scott , Xerri , Curtis Taylor aren't AFL standard- they wouldnt get a gig in a side in the Top 14 teams in the comp....yep you heard it right.
Click to expand...
im honestly tempted to put a bet on Larkey for the coleman cause he is going to be the only player kicking multiple goals for them every week i could legit see him kicking more then half of there goals this year
 
NYRB said:
I overestimated the quality of the Roos forwards.


They plain simply struggled tonight despite their midfield doing OK. Larkey aside, they are pretty average and that includes Zurhaar. Greenwood missed a dolly mark inside the 50. Guys like: Mahony, Powell, Polec, Bailey Scott , Xerri , Curtis Taylor aren't AFL standard- they wouldnt get a gig in a side in the Top 14 teams in the comp....yep you heard it right.
Click to expand...

Mahony is young, playing as a small forward in a shit team is tough. Don't write him off yet.

Greenwood has been a good pickup so far. Especially considering he was free.

Zurhaar has struggled for a couple of season now. May have peaked already.

Xerri would definitely get a gig in a lot of teams. Including St Kilda who reportedly tried to poach him.

Powell, Scott, Taylor, the jury is still out.
 
Thoughts on higgins and bolton for goals tomorrow?

TS odds:
2+ bolton 2.14, higgins 2.26
3+ bolton 4.40, higgins 4.80

I'm going bolton & higgins 2+ @4.83
 
Liam Ryan $1.50 AGS at B365.
 
Nuggetz said:
Thoughts on higgins and bolton for goals tomorrow?

TS odds:
2+ bolton 2.14, higgins 2.26
3+ bolton 4.40, higgins 4.80

I'm going bolton & higgins 2+ @4.83
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again i like bolton alot. ever dangerous. he reminds me of when A.Mcleod use to play.
im on.
3u bolton 2g+ @2
2u bolton 3g+ @4.33
1u bolton 4g+ @10
0.5u bolton 5g+ @31 all sb
 
Carlton vs Hawthorn

Moore 1u each 2+ 3+ ($4, $11, pb), 0.5u 4+ ($41, sb)

Cerra each 0.5u 2+, 3+ ($12, 51, pb)

Total outlay: 3.5u


St Kilda vs Richmond

Bolton 1u each 3+, 4+, 0.5u 5+ ($4.40, $11, $31, ts)

Hayes 1u each 2+, 3+, 0.5u each 4+, 5+ ($4.20, $13, $51, $201)

Total outlay: 5.5u


West Coast vs Freo

Erasmus 1u each AGS, 2+, 3+, 0.5u 4+ ($2.83, $7.50, $26, $101, ts)

Total outlay: 3u
 

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Cross Sport multi:

Brooklyn Nets to beat Atlanta by 11+ Points
St.Kilda v Richmond to go over 164.5 pts

Odds: $8
 
and another Cross sport accumulator involving: NBA, NCAA and AFL

Kyrie Irving 4+ Threes
North Carolina to beat Duke
St.K v Richmond Over 164.5 pts

Odds: $13.01 (Boosted from $11.83)
 
Dylan Moore first Hawthorn goalscorer 1u at $10 (pb) - kicked the first for Hawthorn last week courtesy of a 50m penalty. Named forward pocket, will take this bet every week at those odds

Dylan Moore to kick Hawks 1st, 2nd, or 3rd goal, 1u @3.90 (TS). Good backup bet for the above, especially if wet
 
The PointsBet Stats Multiplier for Saints v Richmond (Kicks x Handballs x Goals) spreads:

Saints v Richmond AFL Rd 3.png

My tips using the $1 stake:

Steele- NO PLAY
Gresham- UNDER 112
Jack Higgins- UNDER 100
Membrey- OVER 76
Max King- OVER 64
Brad Crouch- OVER 60
Marshall- NO PLAY
Mason Wood- NO PLAY
Dan Butler- OVER 37
Brad Hill- UNDER 25
Sebastian Ross- OVER 29
Bolton- UNDER 176
Baker- UNDER 101
Tom Lynch- OVER 84
Balta- NO PLAY
Edwards- NO PLAY
Graham- NO PLAY
Pickett- UNDER 36
Ralphsmith- NO PLAY
Castagna- OVER 29
Matthew Parker- OVER 23


Richmond traditionally arent a heavy disposal side, so i may just tread my water carefully in this one. Value plays for me are the Butler and Sebastian Ross one for me.
 
5u - Cotchin 20+ disposals - $1.85 - 365
2u - Cotchin under 21.5 disposals - $1.90 - TopSport
Time for the skipper to really stand up. Is yet to reach 20 this year but has plenty of reasons to get there. No Dusty or Prestia means he needs to put in and win some ball for his side. Good spot opened up for a two disposal middle.

2.5u - Sinclair 25+ disposals - $2.80 - PointsBet
They have taken down his line for some reason but it keeps getting set the same as if he was playing across half back last year. Playing midfield now so the Saints can utilise his explosiveness. 2/2 this season. Role seems set. Great match up for going over.
 
Carlton vs hawks

Jack silvagni:
2+,3+,4+ - $4.20, $13, $51

Matt Owies:
2+, 3+ - $3.75, $11

Dylan Moore:
2+,3+,4+ - $4, $11, $34


Also done a goal scorer SGM:
Silvagni
Cripps
Gunston
Moore
Bruest
McKay 2+

$7.25 @SB
 

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Like Balta for goals today. He takes Jack's spot, so he is a prime forward target with Lynch. Kicked 4 last week.

Cross game multi - Balta and Mckay, 2 goals each - $3.14 (TS) - 0.5u

SGM - Carlton H2H, Walsh and Cripps 25+ disposals each, McKay ags - $2.45 (TS).- 1u

•You could juice that up with another multi for half a unit and add Walsh and Cripps for 30+ (both cleared last week), and McKay 2 goals, along with Carlton H2H.
 
Ohh Ok said:
5u - Cotchin 20+ disposals - $1.85 - 365
2u - Cotchin under 21.5 disposals - $1.90 - TopSport
Time for the skipper to really stand up. Is yet to reach 20 this year but has plenty of reasons to get there. No Dusty or Prestia means he needs to put in and win some ball for his side. Good spot opened up for a two disposal middle.

2.5u - Sinclair 25+ disposals - $2.80 - PointsBet
They have taken down his line for some reason but it keeps getting set the same as if he was playing across half back last year. Playing midfield now so the Saints can utilise his explosiveness. 2/2 this season. Role seems set. Great match up for going over.
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I’m going to back Sinclair to get a goal and get a heap of the ball. So OVER 28 on the Sinclair in the multiplier for me. (As I forget to post about him)
 
Taking Hale School boy, Neil Erasmus to get 24+ Disposals in his 1st game in the Western Derby. Even though I dont recommend the school for academia or sport, I have to take that price on. (note to Basil Zempilas, Christian Porter, Andrew Forrest, Georgiades, Michael Gardiner, Ben-Roberts Smith, Geoff Marsh, Marcus Stoinis and co). The common theme with this school is its full of $hit blokes. (and I make no apologies to any Haleians reading this thread)

Taken him on at $7 to get 24+ Disposals
 

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