AFL 2022 AFL Round 7

[GROTTO]

Witherden 30+ at 4.50 thanks.

love it, over 23.5 line at topsport for 1.77 also

I posted sum Fun Facts two weeks ago, Tigers were conceding something like ~10+ players over 20+ disposals too.

 

[jikost]

Yep, Barrass is out. One of these two are going to have a field day

 

[Ohh Ok]

3u - Nankervis 11+, Witherden 20+, Shuey 20+ disposals - $1.92 - Dabble
Nankervis has hit this in 21/22 games between 2021 and 2022. Even with shortened quarters in 2020 he went 8/11, should dominate this ruck battle and pick up a few easy disposals. Witherden 100% on the season, taking kick ins, believe he benefits from McGovern back in the side and freed up more offensively. Shuey to continue building into his season, favourable match up, 8/9 for 20+ in his career vs Richmond.

Also don’t mind Rioli +0.5/Total under 2.5 on Ladbrokes. Think it was player double total 4 or something. Looks like Balta might be down back and can’t see Rioli kicking 3

 

[Del125763]

Ok I think the Eagles are a bit light on with their ruckman.

Richmond are coming in with 2 ruckman and may cause this rookie, Strnadica some problems. He is competing against 2 solid campaigners in Soldo and Nankervis. With the Eagles likely now to lose Barrass, chucking one of the ruckman down there may cause a bit of trouble down back.

Lets remember Nic Nat is injured, Bailey Williams is injured. This is probably West Coast 3rd best backup right now. Last week Port Adelaide won the Hit Outs , 47-26 (combined rucks). Strnadica picked up 9 hit outs. To be honest the Eagles ruck stocks are bare, their other 3 players, have all played exactly 1 game each.

Someone on here, I think it was natooo and jikost recommended Soldo for the goals, and Im tailing them on this one.


Ive also decided to take the Big Nank for goals as well just in case they decide to rest him up in the forward line.


Plays for me:

Soldo 2+ Goals @ $10 (TAB), 3+ Goals @ 26, 4+ Goals @ 85 (TopSport)
Nankervis 2+ Goals @ 14, 3+ Goals @ 67, 4+ @ 301 (SB Trick)

 

[Westy Bogan]

Definitely a Willie Rioli

15

Willie Rioli

Age

30

Ht

175cm

Wt

78kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.0

3star

K

8.0

3star

HB

4.1

3star

M

3.3

3star

T

2.8

4star

G

1.2

4star

No current season stats available

D

11.0

3star

K

7.4

3star

HB

3.6

3star

M

3.0

3star

T

1.8

4star

G

0.6

3star

train night....

Get on him for 3,4,5

Thank me later

 

[Del125763]

PointsBet Stat Multiplier spreads for WCE V Richmond (Kicks x Handballs x Goals):

View attachment 1386455


My tips using $1 staking system and some reasoning behind the tips:

Darling OVER 65- can see him kicking at least 2 goals and picking up around 15 disposals or so
Tim Kelly OVER 55- all of the lines for these players are relatively low, but Kelly can get a goal tomorrow and for a midfielder the line of around 70-80 is worth a play if you think they can score a goal.
Cripps OVER 46- your getting a good get for a player that averages 75 or so. Yes that game against Adelaide has bumped his average but who knows he might have a day out tomorrow night.
Willie Rioli OVER 45- alot of these lines for the Eagle and Richmond players have been lowered after losses last week. Rioli was at triple figures going a few weeks back. This is a low get for a player that could spend a bit of time in midfield and can score goals. From the games I have seen of West Coast this year, he has been their best player. Could very well be leading Brownlow for his team and Best and Fairest at the moment.
Ryan NO PLAY
Shuey UNDER 33 - hasnt scored a goal in the last couple of seasons and has lost a bit of his extra speed
Kennedy NO PLAY
Naish NO PLAY
Waterman NO PLAY
Redden OVER 21- ok there is 1 bet each round of the multiplier you get the weird inner vibes. Mills was my man last week for the Swans. Redden could accumulate and kick a goal tomorrow. I have this funny feeling he can get one. At that line its everything to gain, nothing to lose.
Bolton UNDER 119- he cant run all day in the midfield. 10 disposals last week suggests to me he starts like a house on fire but doesnt have the stamina to go the whole game.
Prestia NO PLAY
Tom Lynch OVER 57 - can oblige with his 3 goals.
Graham OVER 42 - scored a goal against the Eagles in Perth last year
Riewoldt NO PLAY
Balta NO PLAY
Edwards OVER 32- has a nice ceiling
Castagna OVER 37 - above table suggets a play
Sydney Stack NO PLAY
Nankervis NO PLAY
Collier Dawkins OVER 18 (could very easily get a couple of goals tomorrow and get a fair disposals)
McIntosh NO PLAY


A high scoring game helps with alot of these bets but even if its a game where 130-145 pts total scored , it sort of keeps those bets alive.

Ive decided to include a new play for this one. Ive taken Nankervis on the OVER 27 here, I could potentially see him beating his previous multiplier score over the last season and a bit tonight.

Averages 7 kicks and roughly 9 handballs a game in 2021-22. Possession wise he could snag a goal and pick up the ball a bit more tonight.

 

[Selim]

Yep, Barrass is out. One of these two are going to have a field day

View attachment 1387053

YEA im already on lynch im also going Riewoldt for 4,5 @7.50, 19

 

[BloodRet]

Yep, Barrass is out. One of these two are going to have a field day

View attachment 1387053

Agree. gone Lynch 4-6

 

[Ohh Ok]

Be careful when doing it, but there is a risk free middle available.
WCE +15.5 @ $2 on Ladbrokes
Richmond -13.5 @ $2 on TopSport (Max $200)

 

[GROTTO]

YEA im already on lynch im also going Riewoldt for 4,5 @7.50, 19

Agree. gone Lynch 4-6

Leaning more Lynch than Jack, who has gone past 2g this year. Got 3+ twice in about the last 10games. (one bag of 6)

Lynch 3 out of 10 scored 3+

 

[freo_leo29]

Begg 2+ @ 10 TAB

 

[BloodRet]

Castagna 2
Close 2
Tom Green

12

Tom Green

Age

24

Ht

192cm

Wt

92kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

4star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

3star

CL

2.8

4star

D

11.5

3star

K

4.3

2star

HB

7.3

5star

M

1.8

2star

T

2.3

4star

CL

2.8

5star

2
Petracca 2
Zurhaar 2
@300

Lynch 2
Walters
Close
Franklin 2
Ah Chee
C Cameron 2
@40

Willie Rioli

15

Willie Rioli

Age

30

Ht

175cm

Wt

78kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.0

3star

K

8.0

3star

HB

4.1

3star

M

3.3

3star

T

2.8

4star

G

1.2

4star

No current season stats available

D

11.0

3star

K

7.4

3star

HB

3.6

3star

M

3.0

3star

T

1.8

4star

G

0.6

3star

2 Darling 2 Lynch 2 Waterman Castagna @33

Stack 2 Ryan 2 @12 pb

Stack 2 Cripps 2 @22 pb

Lynch 4-6

 

[Westy Bogan]

Come on boys - you need to be a bit more bullish on Tigers spearheads

Lynch 5 into Jack 5 250/1
Lynch 6 into Jack 4 for 300/1
Lynch 4 into Jack 6 for 300/1

 

[tangolikelama]

Tiges H2H
Witherden 25+
Redden 20+
Bolton 15+
Stack AGS
Lambert AGS
Riewoldt 2+

50 @ 19.50 because I have a problem

 

[dontlimitme]

Castagna 2
Close 2
Tom Green 2
Petracca 2
Zurhaar 2
@300

tailed for 457 on neds boosted <3

 

[Westy Bogan]

I have all my bets in

 

[freo_leo29]

Callow 2+ into Begg 2+ @ 50

Begg 2+ into Baldwin 2+ @ 100

Callow 2+ into Baldwin 2+ @50

those 3 combined @ 500

All at Tab, did the same with AGS for way less odds too

 

[BloodRet]

Alright which Eagles punter left a note for Lynch. Watch him kick 1.4

 

[dontlimitme]

View attachment 1387098

Alright which Eagles punter left a note for Lynch. Watch him kick 1.4

holy shit lol

 

[Geead]

Which one of you lads passed this on to Lynchy

 

[Geead]

View attachment 1387098

Alright which Eagles punter left a note for Lynch. Watch him kick 1.4

Lol literally just posted the same thing

 

[BloodRet]

I tailed that multi for @8.5 LOL lets see how rigged the AFL is

 

[_ASP3X]

Prestia 2+ @ $21
Lambert 2+, Stack 2+, Castagna 2+ @ $121

 

[Geead]

Begg 2+ @ 10 TAB

$3.50 on SB, great find

 

[Del125763]

I tailed that multi for @8.5 LOL lets see how rigged the AFL is

Yep Ive decided to Tail it for a bit of a giggle as well.