Prediction 2022 ladder after 23 rounds

Remove this Banner Ad

WCE_phil

Brownlow Medallist
Nov 14, 2009
10,504
10,528
perth
AFL Club
West Coast
Played full time mid, arguably the best player that year and finished one vote off the Brownlow despite missing 4 games. Kicked really well that year.

Speaking honestly, he could absolutely dominate forward, even with his accuracy he could nudge 50 goals if he spent a good 70% of time up forward.

For fyfe to kick 50 goals in a season he would need more than 100 shots on goal.
 
Apr 19, 2006
77,090
161,370
The local Satanist Cabal
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Other Teams
Storm, Spurs, Socceroos
Essendon, GWS and Sydney will finish above Carlton. There should be zero doubt about this.
Richmond, West Coast and Saints were meant to finish above the Demons this time last year and as late as Round 1 their premiership odds were half that of the Demons.

There is always doubt.
 

Log in to remove this ad.

pulpdriver

Brownlow Medallist
Aug 17, 2009
17,514
25,834
Melbourne
AFL Club
Brisbane Lions
Improvement isn’t linear .... a tougher draw or an unfortunate injury could leave them a loss or two behind 2021 ....

It's certainly not but by the same token you need a reason to assume they won't progress. Significant injures is generally an anomaly. By and large it's reasonable to assume that a young team will improve and while Zerrett, Parish and Stringer are important players I don't think their success depends on them, though Stringer would be tough to replace.

Draw is a meme. Crows, Giants, Cats, Dogs and Saints played Dees twice this year. Do you reckon any of them were complaining about that match up before the season started? Saints could end up top 4 next year and suddenly everyone matched up with them twice has a difficult draw despite it being projected to be easy.
 

Orange crush

All Australian
Aug 12, 2017
893
1,414
AFL Club
GWS
It's certainly not but by the same token you need a reason to assume they won't progress. Significant injures is generally an anomaly. By and large it's reasonable to assume that a young team will improve and while Zerrett, Parish and Stringer are important players I don't think their success depends on them, though Stringer would be tough to replace.

Draw is a meme. Crows, Giants, Cats, Dogs and Saints played Dees twice this year. Do you reckon any of them were complaining about that match up before the season started? Saints could end up top 4 next year and suddenly everyone matched up with them twice has a difficult draw despite it being projected to be easy.
I’m not convinced a young team can be relied on to improve each year and it is not unusual for young layers to take a step backwards .... thus it would be no surprise for them to miss the 8 next year .... especially as saints, freo, tigers, Carlton ( lol) would all consider themselves a chance at the 8
 

pulpdriver

Brownlow Medallist
Aug 17, 2009
17,514
25,834
Melbourne
AFL Club
Brisbane Lions
I’m not convinced a young team can be relied on to improve each year and it is not unusual for young layers to take a step backwards .... thus it would be no surprise for them to miss the 8 next year .... especially as saints, freo, tigers, Carlton ( lol) would all consider themselves a chance at the 8

I'll agree it won't surprise if they don't make the 8. Virtually every year there's two new additions to the 8 and one new top 4, but I just don't seen any logical reason to assume Essendon don't improve on last year other than anomalies like injury.
 

(Log in to remove this ad.)

aussierulesrules

Hall of Famer
Jan 7, 2011
31,146
60,327
Heaven. I mean Victoria.
AFL Club
St Kilda
Essendon defeated 1 top 8 team for the year.

7 of their 11 wins were against the bottom 6.

They have a harder draw in 2022.
They also got to play each of the bottom two teams twice. Plus Hawthorn twice, inside the first 14 rounds (when they were bottom 2). It doesn’t get much better than that.

Have what has been ranked as the 7th hardest draw for next year tho, so it’s almost certainly going to be significantly harder than their extremely easy one this year.

If it is, they could be just as “good” as they were this year and win just 9 games.

The odds of 11 wins getting you in the 8 again are very slim, and some years you need 13, so if they do indeed have the significantly harder draw they look like having, Essendon may need to be a 3, or even 4 win better quality side than they were this year, just to scrape into 8th place.
 
Last edited:

Dominic03

Club Legend
Oct 28, 2020
1,968
1,460
AFL Club
Hawthorn
They also got to play each of the bottom two teams twice. Plus Hawthorn twice, inside the first 14 rounds (when they were bottom 2). It doesn’t get much better than that.

Have what has been ranked as the 7th hardest draw for next year tho, so it’s almost certainly going to be significantly harder than their extremely easy one this year.

If it is, they could be just as “good” as they were this year and win just 9 games.

The odds of 11 wins getting you in the 8 again are very slim, and some years you need 13, so if they do indeed have the significantly harder draw they look like having, Essendon may need to be a 3, or even 4 win better quality side than they were this year, just to scrape into 8th place.
Funny about Hawthorn, since it really doesn't matter. We beat them Round 1 and almost the 2nd time. It was to be expected
 

Fadge

Norm Smith Medallist
Mar 4, 2007
8,400
6,877
Melbourne
AFL Club
Collingwood
Reckon 11 wins and a good percentage or 12 wins will get you into the 8 this year.

Will be the most even season in history - all the lower sides from last season would expect to improve, as would the likes of Richmond, West Coast, Freo and St. Kilda, who all missed the top 8.
 

00Stinger

Dual Group 1 winner
May 8, 2007
30,704
37,077
@ HOME
AFL Club
Melbourne
Other Teams
Liverpool & San Francisco 49ers
Nah, I really like the way your young team played this year. Lot of upside on the list. Why would you regress?
Young teams development and progress isn't always linear

But there is a lot of reason to be optimistic with them

Sent from my SM-G981B using Tapatalk
 

00Stinger

Dual Group 1 winner
May 8, 2007
30,704
37,077
@ HOME
AFL Club
Melbourne
Other Teams
Liverpool & San Francisco 49ers
Reckon 11 wins and a good percentage or 12 wins will get you into the 8 this year.

Will be the most even season in history - all the lower sides from last season would expect to improve, as would the likes of Richmond, West Coast, Freo and St. Kilda, who all missed the top 8.
Can't see West Coast improving tbh

Sent from my SM-G981B using Tapatalk
 

BuddysBuddy23

Club Legend
Mar 28, 2012
1,869
2,929
3rd spooky castle on left
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Other Teams
Pittsburgh Steelers Perth Scorchers
Have done this up (quickly mind you) for my predicted ladder after H & A season.
 

Attachments

  • 57004488-5AD8-4616-B1B7-3D22228A15D5.jpeg
    57004488-5AD8-4616-B1B7-3D22228A15D5.jpeg
    1.8 MB · Views: 224

jdeezy

Club Legend
Jul 6, 2013
2,871
7,297
AFL Club
Port Adelaide
Honestly just throwing darts at a wall
WLD%
1.Melbourne1750135.8%
2.Western Bulldogs1750129.6%
3.Sydney1750129.2%
4.Essendon1750128.7%
5.Brisbane Lions1750125.6%
6.Port Adelaide1660121.1%
7.Geelong1390107.3%
8.Fremantle12100107.6%
9.GWS12100104.8%
10.St Kilda1012098.5%
11.Richmond814087.6%
12.Gold Coast814086.5%
13.Carlton715089.2%
14.Adelaide616079.2%
15.North Melbourne616078.1%
16.West Coast616077.5%
17.Collingwood517079.4%
18.Hawthorn418073.9%
 

00Stinger

Dual Group 1 winner
May 8, 2007
30,704
37,077
@ HOME
AFL Club
Melbourne
Other Teams
Liverpool & San Francisco 49ers
Have you seen their draw? Their double-ups are a dream from memory.

How much they play in Perth will obviously make a big difference.
Nah can't say I have taken much of a look at the draw

Maybe they won't regress but I can't see them climbing up the ladder either
 

sante

Premium Platinum
Oct 8, 2003
46,959
41,462
RFC
AFL Club
Richmond
Other Teams
Portland Trailblazers
I think we’ll see some weird results this year. No way teams have their best team on the park with covid floating around.
 

Remove this Banner Ad

Remove this Banner Ad