Prediction 2022 ladder after 23 rounds

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Blackhawk42

Norm Smith Medallist
Feb 5, 2018
9,016
19,103
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Other Teams
Chicago Blackhawks Melb Renegades
Melbourne
Brisbane
GWS
Western Bulldogs
Richmond
Port Adelaide
Geelong
St.Kilda

Sydney
Essendon
Carlton
Hawthorn
Fremantle
North Melbourne
Gold Coast
Adelaide
West Coast
Collingwood



Rolling ladder prediction. This one shaped by the current predicament the WA teams find themselves in. I believe any potential relocation will impact the Eagles a lot harder with an older group.

Geelong and St.Kilda making up the numbers in the 8. The Saints are a tough one to get a good read on. If they remain fully fit I can see finals in a best best case scenario situation.

Richmond to bolt back up but i'm not yet convinced it will be a long term improvement.

Brisbane the genuine contender to Melbourne after a couple of years of heartache.

Beware of the Dogs. As long as they make it to September they're a chance.

Essendon made finals one year ahead of their ultimate timeline IMO. Will be a decent side but 2023 is the year anything is possible.
 

Rhysswans13

Team Captain
Sep 3, 2012
472
1,103
AFL Club
Sydney
1. Brisbane
2. Sydney
3. GWS
4. Western Bulldogs
5. Melbourne
6. Port Adelaide
7. Fremantle
8. Collingwood

9. Carlton
10. Essendon
11. Hawthorn
12. Gold Coast
13. Richmond
14. North Melbourne
15. Geelong
16. Adelaide
17. St Kilda
18. West Coast

Premiers - Brisbane

Brownlow Medallist - Sam Walsh (Carlton)

Rising Star - Braeden Campbell (Sydney)

Coleman Medallist - Lance Franklin (Sydney)

3 Headline Predictions:

1. Brave Pies swoop on final top 8 spot in early elimination final against old rival

2. Buddy Franklin takes out Coleman Medal and surpasses Doug Wade to move to 4th on all time AFL/VFL goal kicking tally

3. Brisbane to face off against Bulldogs as football’s grandest day finally returns to the home of football
 

Sky

Prince Pretty
Feb 14, 2021
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I wouldn’t be shocked if the Crows rise up quickly. They humiliated us and Melbourne last year. They don’t normally stay down the ladder usually in the mix

Although I’d rather them stay down until Dangerflog retires so they can get over their one sided rivalry
 

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Mr MysteryGuest

Premium Platinum
Apr 4, 2015
5,203
5,265
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Adelaide
Ladder based on gut feel for the season. 6th - 12 the hardest part.

  1. Brisbane (W’s range= 17-19)
  2. Bulldogs. (16-18)
  3. Melbourne. (15-18)
  4. Richmond. (14-16)
  5. Port. (13-15)
  6. St Kilda. (11-15)
  7. Carlton. (9-14)
  8. Fremantle (10-13
  9. GWS. (10-14)
  10. Sydney. (10-13)
  11. Geelong. (10-13)
  12. Essendon. (8-12)
  13. West coast. (6-11)
  14. Adelaide. (7-10)
  15. North Melbourne. (6-9)
  16. Gold coast. (6-11)
  17. Hawthorn. (5-8)
  18. Collingwood. (3-5)

Ladder based on predicting matches
WLD%
1.Melbourne1840120.5%
2.Richmond1840120.4%
3.Brisbane Lions1840119.4%
4.Western Bulldogs1750119.7%
5.Geelong1390105.7%
6.Port Adelaide1390105.3%
7.Fremantle1390105.1%
8.GWS1390103.0%
9.St Kilda12100102.3%
10.Carlton11110101.0%
11.Sydney1012097.8%
12.Essendon913093.4%
13.Adelaide814093.7%
14.West Coast715089.5%
15.Gold Coast715089.4%
16.North Melbourne517084.0%
17.Hawthorn418082.7%
18.Collingwood220080.5%
 
Last edited:

Mr north man

Club Legend
Mar 12, 2016
2,250
1,640
AFL Club
North Melbourne
1. Brisbane
2. Sydney
3. GWS
4. Western Bulldogs
5. Melbourne
6. Port Adelaide
7. Fremantle
8. Collingwood

9. Carlton
10. Essendon
11. Hawthorn
12. Gold Coast
13. Richmond
14. North Melbourne
15. Geelong
16. Adelaide
17. St Kilda
18. West Coast

Premiers - Brisbane

Brownlow Medallist - Sam Walsh (Carlton)

Rising Star - Braeden Campbell (Sydney)

Coleman Medallist - Lance Franklin (Sydney)

3 Headline Predictions:

1. Brave Pies swoop on final top 8 spot in early elimination final against old rival

2. Buddy Franklin takes out Coleman Medal and surpasses Doug Wade to move to 4th on all time AFL/VFL goal kicking tally

3. Brisbane to face off against Bulldogs as football’s grandest day finally returns to the home of football
Your absolutely right with Prediction 3
The Grand Final will return to the home of football Optus Stadium AGAIN.
 

Progressive Aggresion

Senior List
Jan 30, 2022
160
284
AFL Club
Port Adelaide
My current guess after regulation

1.Melbourne
2.Brisbane
3. Sydney
4. Western Bulldogs
5. GWS
6. Carlton
7. Essendon
8. St Kilda
9. Geelong
10. Richmond
11. Port Adelaide
12. Fremantle
13. Adelaide
14. North Melbourne
15. Gold Coast
16. Hawthorn
17. Collingwood
18. West Coast

5 - 12 is extremely difficult to predict this season, even more so than usual. Although top 4 and bottom 6 are easier for me.

At the very least there shouldn't be any more than 2 teams from the finals last year dropping out this time around.
 

Red_man2008

Club Legend
Jan 2, 2009
1,315
3,102
Penguin
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Carlton
D675B5EE-DF08-4F68-8AC9-63A860DE7401.jpeg
 

Giant Pete

Norm Smith Medallist
Jan 17, 2013
5,769
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AFL Club
GWS
My current guess after regulation

1.Melbourne
2.Brisbane
3. Sydney
4. Western Bulldogs
5. GWS
6. Carlton
7. Essendon
8. St Kilda
9. Geelong
10. Richmond
11. Port Adelaide
12. Fremantle
13. Adelaide
14. North Melbourne
15. Gold Coast
16. Hawthorn
17. Collingwood
18. West Coast

5 - 12 is extremely difficult to predict this season, even more so than usual. Although top 4 and bottom 6 are easier for me.

At the very least there shouldn't be any more than 2 teams from the finals last year dropping out this time around.
Sydney in third after losing Dawson and Hewitt…?
 

Progressive Aggresion

Senior List
Jan 30, 2022
160
284
AFL Club
Port Adelaide
Sydney in third after losing Dawson and Hewitt…?
Yes. I'm still strong on the Swans chances this year. The youth coming through is just as good as Essendon's and Port's draft crops. On top of that though, their key position stocks are still solid. Franklin and Sinclair without injuries as well as Mclean, Hickey, Mcdonald, Reid and now Ladhams in the mix give the team good depth in the tall stacks.
 

Progressive Aggresion

Senior List
Jan 30, 2022
160
284
AFL Club
Port Adelaide
Played around with the ladder predictor and got close to my initial prediction. Like I said though the low-end finals and mid-table teams are all really close.
And of course, coming out and predicting 3 draws (AFC V PAFC, CAR V ESS, and DOGS V GIANTS) are all games which can shuffle the top 8 teams if they are to go one way or the other.

AFL LADDER 2022.png
 

tugga

Moderator
May 9, 2006
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I did a ladder predictor which is always silly, but did it before I even jotted down a ladder.
I think Freo will make the 8 but yet they didn't in this excercise.
Maybe I was too harsh on St Kilda.
Dons that high?
I would have thought the Swans and GWS would have been in the 8 if I had done a ladder without the predictor.
I also don't think Collingwood will finsh 18th.
This is based on both Perth teams playing at home.
Don't take offence, it's just a stupid predictor and will be nowhere near accurate.

Melbourne 20-2
Western Bulldogs 18-4
Essendon 17-5
Geelong 14-8
Brisbane 14-8
Port Adelaide 13-9
Richmond 13-9
Carlton 12-10

Sydney 11-11
Fremantle 11-11
GWS 11-11
North Melbourne 9-13
St Kilda 8-14
West Coast 6-16
Adelaide 6-16
Hawthorn 6-16
Gold Coast 5-17
Collingwood 4-18
 
Last edited:

TheUnicorn

All Australian
Nov 1, 2021
829
957
AFL Club
Essendon
Melbourne
Port Adelaide
Western Bulldogs
Brisbane Lions

Sydney
Essendon
GWS
Carlton
--------------------
Geelong
Richmond
West Coast
Fremantle
Gold Coast
Hawthorn
Adelaide
North Melbourne

St Kilda
Collingwood
 

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VinnieB

Club Legend
Oct 28, 2021
1,615
2,093
AFL Club
Collingwood
Ladder based on gut feel for the season. 6th - 12 the hardest part.

  1. Brisbane (W’s range= 17-19)
  2. Bulldogs. (16-18)
  3. Melbourne. (15-18)
  4. Richmond. (14-16)
  5. Port. (13-15)
  6. St Kilda. (11-15)
  7. Carlton. (9-14)
  8. Fremantle (10-13
  9. GWS. (10-14)
  10. Sydney. (10-13)
  11. Geelong. (10-13)
  12. Essendon. (8-12)
  13. West coast. (6-11)
  14. Adelaide. (7-10)
  15. North Melbourne. (6-9)
  16. Gold coast. (6-11)
  17. Hawthorn. (5-8)
  18. Collingwood. (3-5)

Ladder based on predicting matches
WLD%
1.Melbourne1840120.5%
2.Richmond1840120.4%
3.Brisbane Lions1840119.4%
4.Western Bulldogs1750119.7%
5.Geelong1390105.7%
6.Port Adelaide1390105.3%
7.Fremantle1390105.1%
8.GWS1390103.0%
9.St Kilda12100102.3%
10.Carlton11110101.0%
11.Sydney1012097.8%
12.Essendon913093.4%
13.Adelaide814093.7%
14.West Coast715089.5%
15.Gold Coast715089.4%
16.North Melbourne517084.0%
17.Hawthorn418082.7%
18.Collingwood220080.5%
2 wins for the Pies? We should get a priority pick.
 

JPetro83

Premiership Player
Sep 25, 2014
4,515
3,065
Adelaide
AFL Club
Adelaide
Other Teams
Sturt, Adel United & Leeds United
Ladder based on gut feel for the season. 6th - 12 the hardest part.
  1. Brisbane (W’s range= 17-19)
  2. Bulldogs. (16-18)
  3. Melbourne. (15-18)
  4. Richmond. (14-16)
  5. Port. (13-15)
  6. St Kilda. (11-15)
  7. Carlton. (9-14)
  8. Fremantle (10-13
  9. GWS. (10-14)
  10. Sydney. (10-13)
  11. Geelong. (10-13)
  12. Essendon. (8-12)
  13. West coast. (6-11)
  14. Adelaide. (7-10)
  15. North Melbourne. (6-9)
  16. Gold coast. (6-11)
  17. Hawthorn. (5-8)
  18. Collingwood. (3-5)
Ladder based on predicting matches
WLD%
1.Melbourne1840120.5%
2.Richmond1840120.4%
3.Brisbane Lions1840119.4%
4.Western Bulldogs1750119.7%
5.Geelong1390105.7%
6.Port Adelaide1390105.3%
7.Fremantle1390105.1%
8.GWS1390103.0%
9.St Kilda12100102.3%
10.Carlton11110101.0%
11.Sydney1012097.8%
12.Essendon913093.4%
13.Adelaide814093.7%
14.West Coast715089.5%
15.Gold Coast715089.4%
16.North Melbourne517084.0%
17.Hawthorn418082.7%
18.Collingwood220080.5%
 

Wolfgang West

Norm Smith Medallist
Jun 22, 2009
6,237
8,643
melbourne
AFL Club
Sydney
A massive admirer of what Richmond achieved and possibly the best team I have seen with those 4 years of dominance but if people think they are going to waltz back into the top 4 and premiership contention they need their head read. They could make the 8 but will earn it along the way that is for sure.
 

HairyO

Brownlow Medallist
Jul 13, 2015
29,427
31,760
AFL Club
Hawthorn
A massive admirer of what Richmond achieved and possibly the best team I have seen with those 4 years of dominance but if people think they are going to waltz back into the top 4 and premiership contention they need their head read. They could make the 8 but will earn it along the way that is for sure.

They have had a lot of good draft picks so I agree they should get back to the 8 fairly quickly. Whether they get to top 4 or even win another flag who knows.
 

Jen2310

Spec Moderator
Aug 21, 2018
22,005
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Melbourne
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Collingwood
They have had a lot of good draft picks so I agree they should get back to the 8 fairly quickly. Whether they get to top 4 or even win another flag who knows.
2022 might be their last shot. They have 8 players 30 or older which is the 2nd most (Lambert, Grimes, Martin, Riewoldt, cotchin, edwards + tarrant, Pickett) and not just any player, important ones, first 6 anyway. Which is older than eagles (5 30+ players) just behind Geelong (11)
 

terrybull

All Australian
Feb 1, 2004
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A massive admirer of what Richmond achieved and possibly the best team I have seen with those 4 years of dominance but if people think they are going to waltz back into the top 4 and premiership contention they need their head read. They could make the 8 but will earn it along the way that is for sure.
Richmond’s next Premiership is in 2024. And then six years later in 2030 with a new coach. Opponents probably Collingwood.

Then the den will set it self on fire and will rise again in 30-40 years…
 

terrybull

All Australian
Feb 1, 2004
875
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Richmond’s next Premiership is in 2024. And then six years later in 2030 with a new coach. Opponents probably Collingwood.

Then the den will set it self on fire and will rise again in 30-40 years…
and here’s the explanation,

Richmond win five Premierships in three decades followed by a lengthy drought.

They won 5 Premierships in the 20’s, 30’s and 40’s then followed by a 24 drought. They rose up again with 5 Premierships in the 60’s, 70’s and 80’s then followed by 37 year drought. They currently are in their 3rd reign with 3 Premierships in 10’s and 20’ so there two to go with the last one finishing in the 30’s. Then the drought (which gets longer each time) will last 40-45 years. End of each reign is a loss in a Grand Final.

So being a Richmond supporter it’s important which generation to be born.
 

VinnieB

Club Legend
Oct 28, 2021
1,615
2,093
AFL Club
Collingwood
Melbourne
Port Adelaide
Western Bulldogs
Brisbane Lions

Sydney
Essendon
GWS
Carlton
--------------------
Geelong
Richmond
West Coast
Fremantle
Gold Coast
Hawthorn
Adelaide
North Melbourne

St Kilda
Collingwood
We have our very own colour.
Special…
 

Occidental

Club Legend
Oct 2, 2016
1,740
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Melbourne
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Sydney
Essendon
GWS
Carlton
--------------------
Geelong
Richmond
West Coast
Fremantle
Gold Coast
Hawthorn
Adelaide
North Melbourne

St Kilda
Collingwood
Round One. Saints v Pies.
Battle for the Spoon
The Game to Decide Pick One.
The Ben King Cup.
Game of the Season on March 18.
 

Billy ray

Brownlow Medallist
Nov 10, 2013
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Hell no
ive changed my mind, if Ben King has done his knee, we will finish last
 

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