balmainforever
Dibs
- Sep 4, 2003
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LIVE: Geelong v Western Bulldogs - 7:30PM Thu
Squiggle tips Cats at 56% chance -- What's your tip? -- Injury Lists »
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LIVE: Geelong v Western Bulldogs - 7:30PM Thu
Squiggle tips Cats at 56% chance -- What's your tip? -- Injury Lists »
AFL 2023 - AFL Round 12
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
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- Oct 6, 2011
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Ive topped up a bit more and its something that I have backed with a bit of loose change but Ive topped up a bit more on Adams for 30+ Disposals at $23 as a straight up bet.
Gathering possibly of rain in Perth last night might make the pitch a bit damp , which suits his style of play.
Gathering possibly of rain in Perth last night might make the pitch a bit damp , which suits his style of play.
de goey 2/3 2.80/7.25
n daicos 2 3.75
j daicos 2 3.80
5/10 de goey has had 2 or more shots in a game this year
3/11 for nick 4/11 for josh. plus its west coast
tippa 2/3 3.90/12.50
stephenson 2/3 2.35/5.50
tippa is a regular multiple scoring shots vs north 3/6 this year and 6/8 vs north career.
6/11 stephenson has had 2 or more shots in a game this year
n daicos 2 3.75
j daicos 2 3.80
5/10 de goey has had 2 or more shots in a game this year
3/11 for nick 4/11 for josh. plus its west coast
tippa 2/3 3.90/12.50
stephenson 2/3 2.35/5.50
tippa is a regular multiple scoring shots vs north 3/6 this year and 6/8 vs north career.
6/11 stephenson has had 2 or more shots in a game this year
- May 20, 2016
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**** it, tailed
- May 20, 2016
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dons you ****ing cucks how you not gonna unleash two metrah petrah on norf
FadingTheFave
Senior List
- Jun 25, 2016
- 284
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Was all excited to hit Joel Smith for goals but the bookies who have listed him have done their research :-(
I've run out of relatives and don't have an account, but he opened a crazy price on you know where...
- May 20, 2016
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FadingTheFave
Senior List
- Jun 25, 2016
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I was too late then. I thought their odds makers had done their research hahah
- May 20, 2016
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not having a 365 account and looking at prices on thurs nights is worse than scouring the socials of ex girlfriends
You wouldn't believe how many 365 accounts I've churned through this year.... Looking at their prices on a Thursday night is an unbreakable habit at this point.not having a 365 account and looking at prices on thurs nights is worse than scouring the socials of ex girlfriends
Surely the Dogs are a good thing this week??? Geelong's midfield looks ****ing atrocious.
- May 20, 2016
- 10,076
- 14,965
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You wouldn't believe how many 365 accounts I've churned through this year.... Looking at their prices on a Thursday night is an unbreakable habit at this point.
Surely the Dogs are a good thing this week??? Geelong's midfield looks ******* atrocious.
yeah geelong look cooked
- Aug 16, 2009
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Been smashed everywhere but can still get Joel Smith @ $7.50/$26/$81 for 2/3/4 on topsport
Tom Sparrow 6+ tackles @ $3.25 tab - Last 3 weeks, 6,5,7 tackles... No Harmes tomorrow should only boost his inside role.
8+ @ $8.50
10+ @ $26
8+ @ $8.50
10+ @ $26
- Jun 16, 2018
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Into $12 and $44 but still good value for a guy who has been kicking VFL goals, I bought my tickets.
ferrisb
Brownlow Medallist
Some minor value options.
Cripps paying $2.20 for 6+ tackles on TAB. Has hit this 7/11 matches this year.
Jesse Motlop paying $1.27 for 2+ tackles on TAB. Has hit this 9/10 times this year.
Blake Acres paying $1.50 for 2+ tackles on TAB. Has hit this 8/10 times this year.
Sam Docherty 20+ paying $1.15 on TAB. Has hit this 8/9 this year (one miss was 19) and hit it 22/22 last year.
Cripps paying $2.20 for 6+ tackles on TAB. Has hit this 7/11 matches this year.
Jesse Motlop paying $1.27 for 2+ tackles on TAB. Has hit this 9/10 times this year.
Blake Acres paying $1.50 for 2+ tackles on TAB. Has hit this 8/10 times this year.
Sam Docherty 20+ paying $1.15 on TAB. Has hit this 8/9 this year (one miss was 19) and hit it 22/22 last year.
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- Aug 16, 2009
- 1,499
- 3,070
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- Essendon
I managed to get a mate's account on at $401 for 4+ with the TAB sgm trick but the odds got wound in before we could get on the 2 and 3. The 4 is probably a stretch but I think the 2 and 3 is pretty achievable, he's been consistent since going forward.
Can still get $41 for first goal or $11 for first, second or third on TAB which is decent value.
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- Jul 11, 2012
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Surly that potato McKey is due..
What did he do last week 0.3 and 1 on the full…
What did he do last week 0.3 and 1 on the full…
- Oct 6, 2011
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Few tips using a mix of $0.75 and $1 stakes for Melbourne v Carlton Stat Multiplier (Goals x Kicks x Handballs). A few reasoning behind the tips.
$1 stakes
OVER 90 Cripps- Play based on averages and I do realise this line is one of the lower lines for the season for him. Feel like with no Oliver, it may allow him to win the hard ball a bit more tonight.
OVER 40 Silvagni- Hope that getting dropped may have fired him up in the belly this week. A goal will probably see one break even on this line.
OVER 35 Langdon- its a play based on averages and has covered above 35, 23 out of 58 games.
OVER 51 Cerra- Maybe playing against a few former teammates will fire him up in the belly tonight (Langdon). If he gets a goal he could go very big. Has covered the OVER 51 line, 11 from 47 games. A goal from him could very well cover the whole of the other players combined.
$0.75 Stakes
OVER 58 Chandler- I can see him obliging with a goal but I am less confident on this one. What appeals to me most is his maximum multiplier is 312 from a limited amount of games this season.
Was thinking of adding Grundy and Gawn but I feel like Carltons two talls (Young and Weitering) at the back are pretty good defenders. Melbourne smalls could cause the damage, but with a plethora of good small forwards , find it hard to pick which can dominate tonight. Another reason I think Gawn or Grundy could go well tonight, is losing Pittonet hurts the Blues. I think Gawn has the better ceiling to have a better game tonight.
$1 stakes
OVER 90 Cripps- Play based on averages and I do realise this line is one of the lower lines for the season for him. Feel like with no Oliver, it may allow him to win the hard ball a bit more tonight.
OVER 40 Silvagni- Hope that getting dropped may have fired him up in the belly this week. A goal will probably see one break even on this line.
OVER 35 Langdon- its a play based on averages and has covered above 35, 23 out of 58 games.
OVER 51 Cerra- Maybe playing against a few former teammates will fire him up in the belly tonight (Langdon). If he gets a goal he could go very big. Has covered the OVER 51 line, 11 from 47 games. A goal from him could very well cover the whole of the other players combined.
$0.75 Stakes
OVER 58 Chandler- I can see him obliging with a goal but I am less confident on this one. What appeals to me most is his maximum multiplier is 312 from a limited amount of games this season.
Was thinking of adding Grundy and Gawn but I feel like Carltons two talls (Young and Weitering) at the back are pretty good defenders. Melbourne smalls could cause the damage, but with a plethora of good small forwards , find it hard to pick which can dominate tonight. Another reason I think Gawn or Grundy could go well tonight, is losing Pittonet hurts the Blues. I think Gawn has the better ceiling to have a better game tonight.
love your work mate,
im on the grundy overs, reckon that forward line will be seeing plenty of ball coming in
- Oct 6, 2011
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Think Young and Weitering are pretty good defenders. I also feel like there can be goals each way.
They take on one of Gawn or Grundy. Can see Grundy and Gawn having spells in the forward line , whilst the other does ruck. Feel Tom De Koning has his work cut out tonight and do feel as the game goes on, the more experienced Gawn and Grundy can expose maybe TDK fitness. I dont think Carlton have a proper backup ruck, and I dont include Silvagni in that.
Ive decided to add $0.50 stakes on big Gawn and Grundy. Dont think Carlton has anyone that can match Gawn for his height.
$0.50 stakes
OVER 73 Gawn
OVER 66 Grundy
ferrisb
Brownlow Medallist
Kade Chandler (Melb) paying $17 for 8+ marks.
He's done that twice this season so far.
Might be be even better odds via SGM trick, but I just submitted a few and now not giving me a boost from multis.
He's done that twice this season so far.
Might be be even better odds via SGM trick, but I just submitted a few and now not giving me a boost from multis.
