balmainforever
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AFL 2023 - AFL Round 14
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
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$50 free bet. split to do pepper 3+ @ 8 and rioli 3+ @ 7
rioli has kicked 12 of his 14 goals at home
rioli has kicked 12 of his 14 goals at home
ferrisb
Brownlow Medallist
I have ~$600 in bonus bets this week.
GROTTO
TheBrownDog
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Then wait for Voss to be sacked in a few weeks and load up on Carlton.
ferrisb
Brownlow Medallist
Call me Silly but love the 30.5 for north against a dog side that's just plodding, North nearly beat Essendon (that form stacks up) and yes the dogs normally do handle their business as the kings of flat track bullying but I don't think they are really travelling well enough to touch North up who are able to score better now and finding confidence to take game on.. Thomas is getting better each week and they regain 3 mids in LDU,SIMPKIN AND GREENWOOD and Greenwood was finding form again back to his old inside role under Ratten. I feel this line will start around 26.5 not 30.5 once teams are named
Also eagles unlikely to win 2 games and North zero on run home so tanking for pick 1 is unlikely
Also eagles unlikely to win 2 games and North zero on run home so tanking for pick 1 is unlikely
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Also why are gcoast 2.15 lol off a bye n teams poor record my only concern..ballard may break the intercept mark record
X_box_X
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Apparently it's because Carlton are more united this week than they have been since round two.
Hawkins & JC 3-6 SB
One gets Aliir, one gets McKenzie.
Midfield of Danger/Holmes/Duncan with Smith, Atkins and Blicavs is a lot different to Knevitt/Bruhn/Parfitt with Smith/Atkins/Blicavs that they’ve been running with.
Even if Port win Geelong should kick 12-13 goals which allows for a bag from one of 3-4 from each
One gets Aliir, one gets McKenzie.
Midfield of Danger/Holmes/Duncan with Smith, Atkins and Blicavs is a lot different to Knevitt/Bruhn/Parfitt with Smith/Atkins/Blicavs that they’ve been running with.
Even if Port win Geelong should kick 12-13 goals which allows for a bag from one of 3-4 from each
ferrisb
Brownlow Medallist
Darcy Byrne-Jones. THE VALUE BET OF THE ROUND!!!***
Named in the backline. With Dixon, Marshall and Finlayson all named in the fwd line.
TAB 20+ / 25+ paying $4.50 and $17.
Last year when there was none of this fwd line shenanigans.... he hit 20+ in 14/21 matches and 25+ in 6/21
Also, marks...
4/6/8 on TAB paying $2.25 / $6 / $21
He hit these in 16 / 9 / 4 out of 21 matches last year. The year before he hit 13 / 7 / 4 times.
He is being priced like his recent forwardline experiment. *** IF he's played in the backline, then these are amazing prices.
Named in the backline. With Dixon, Marshall and Finlayson all named in the fwd line.
TAB 20+ / 25+ paying $4.50 and $17.
Last year when there was none of this fwd line shenanigans.... he hit 20+ in 14/21 matches and 25+ in 6/21
Also, marks...
4/6/8 on TAB paying $2.25 / $6 / $21
He hit these in 16 / 9 / 4 out of 21 matches last year. The year before he hit 13 / 7 / 4 times.
He is being priced like his recent forwardline experiment. *** IF he's played in the backline, then these are amazing prices.
Hmmmm could go back with bonner out and jones.. Burton goes forward?? Multi of 20 disp 6 marks only pays 13.00 for things thAt are 4.50 n 6.00 seperate damn
ferrisb
Brownlow Medallist
Did the 20/6 combo 8 times last year and 6 times in 2021
cody weightman style
GROTTO
TheBrownDog
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Its a must win game for the Blues which is why they will win, as was their game against Lions, Dogs, Pies, Swans, Dees and Dons. lol.
Fizza
All Australian
Yeah like that, got him 20+ @ $7.50 on 365. Also like Isaac Smith 20+ @ $1.48 on 365. It's decent odds and a good multi leg for someone whose hit 20+ 9/12 this season, with the other games 19,19,18 disposals respectively.
Was named backline last week and still played forward, I got sucked in last week
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DBJ been amazing up forward surely they will stick with it
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Port are undefeated since DBJ went forward, I can't see any reason they would be looking to change things up now.
Personally I'm looking at his tackle market for a bit of value. He's been a bit all or nothing but in the past month he's gone 10, 0, 1 & 12 tackles. The 10 and 12 came in games against the Dogs and Melbourne while the 0 and 1 came against Hawthorn and Richmond. This suggests to me he relishes the high pressure contest against quality opposition which tonight's game should be. Taking $8/$21 for 8+/10+ tackles at TAB.
Personally I'm looking at his tackle market for a bit of value. He's been a bit all or nothing but in the past month he's gone 10, 0, 1 & 12 tackles. The 10 and 12 came in games against the Dogs and Melbourne while the 0 and 1 came against Hawthorn and Richmond. This suggests to me he relishes the high pressure contest against quality opposition which tonight's game should be. Taking $8/$21 for 8+/10+ tackles at TAB.
LukeParkerno1
Post-Human
Why do we have to play Friday...it's like they want me to have a hangover on Saturday
Yeh I guess its a good hedge to take tackles if he plays the fwd pressure role instead of backline
