balmainforever
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AFL 2023 - AFL Round 24
- Thread starter balmainforever
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Long Shot Louie
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- Aug 23, 2022
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It’s interesting, this Geelong situation.
Do we actually have any confirmation that all these Cats are going to be rested? Could it be based part in truth and part a result of talk from Geelong identities who are reacting to them not making the finals?(a rare occurrence).
I would have thought some of those names would have liked to farewell the retiring players with a win at home.
The Dogs also haven’t won in Geelong for 20 years, lost to an undermanned Cats side earlier in the year and lost to West Coast last week.
I love a load-up as much as anyone, but will watch and see what plays out here. A definite no-bet from me until further light is shed on some of the weirdness around this game.
Do we actually have any confirmation that all these Cats are going to be rested? Could it be based part in truth and part a result of talk from Geelong identities who are reacting to them not making the finals?(a rare occurrence).
I would have thought some of those names would have liked to farewell the retiring players with a win at home.
The Dogs also haven’t won in Geelong for 20 years, lost to an undermanned Cats side earlier in the year and lost to West Coast last week.
I love a load-up as much as anyone, but will watch and see what plays out here. A definite no-bet from me until further light is shed on some of the weirdness around this game.
oh ok yeh forgot about percentage now but b4 gws game they werent a slim chance to make it to be honest.. as bad as they are/were... hmmm geelong into 4.5 hcap now pbet and 2.5 tab 1.5 b365.. Libba back is huge he's their pulse.. is JJ back? i feel they gain spunk and dash with him in
they will be by kick off
a week ago Freo started at the same price in an Eagles home game and flogged them.
If Crows don't rest players they will do the same and price starts way shorter.
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fpm84
Premium Gold
At bare minimum we will be missing the players who were absent last week or got injured during the game: C Guthrie, Blicavs, Stanley, Rohan, Close, J Henry and Ratugolea. There's six premiership players there. All reports are that Cameron and Hawkins will also miss, which would mean fifth gamer Shannon Neale and Ollie Henry leading our forward line, and likely a debutant ruck in Conway up against English.
If Cats had any incentive to win this could be a good contest but we are clearly rolling over with an eye to 2024 (and the best possible draft pick this year), and I am all for it.
Duncan also suspended
fpm84
Premium Gold
Yep forgot about him. So really it’s already a half strength team even without additional players missing let alone our two leading goal kickers.
not the worst thing but to give Stengle/Henry more responsibility they have the class to take it on... think the games still a line ball... Danger will probably go forward to gives them a mobile unpredictable setup and Miers may be a shade closer to goal... midfielders like Bruhn should relish the extra responsibility too and no pressure on them like the dogs.. dogs have some soft suspect characters who I feel wilt under pressure (mcrae, weightman, JUH most games)
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There was some talk on the dogs board after the Eagles loss that some of the players appeared to be putting in less than their best efforts.
A few posters even speculated that the players want Bevo gone and if the club won't act, the players will take matters into their own hands.
Could just be the ranting of angry passionate fans after a disastrous loss, but is it possible there's something to this?
A few posters even speculated that the players want Bevo gone and if the club won't act, the players will take matters into their own hands.
Could just be the ranting of angry passionate fans after a disastrous loss, but is it possible there's something to this?
Clever head. Tailed & CO already 45% up on stake per goal market with Cameron/Hawk declared unlikely today.
fpm84
Premium Gold
Hawkins, Cameron, Close all officially ruled out per Cats injury report just now.
Into $63 ya dirty degens…
Also like this - correlating results motivating teams further into the multi
Pies, Suns, Lions, Dogs, Power, Swans, Giants
$25 SB
Suns, Lions, Dogs, Swans, Giants all 1-39
$95 SB
Think by the time the final two legs play it’ll be a dead rubber for the Dees, the Giants will need to win to knock out the Dogs and the Blues won’t care as long as their percentage doesn’t get smashed below Sydney’s
Does Shannon Neale go forward? Do they have a replacement ruckman? Was awful in the ruck last weekend.
fpm84
Premium Gold
Neale is not a ruck - he’s a forward. Was only played there last week out of pure desperation.
I’d suggest Neale will play forward and Conway will debut in the ruck this week.
Do they have enough depth in the middle to get the ball forward though? Atkins, Bruhn and Bowes don’t get me too excited.
fpm84
Premium Gold
Bulldogs are favourites for a reason… we will be missing Guthrie, Blicavs, Duncan from our mid rotations at minimum and whispers Danger won’t play either.
In short load up $$$ on the Dogs.
% might come into it too so dogs would want to win big
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Just checked been crunched! Dogs being smashed also now
No it won’t?
Dogs win and it’s up to the Giants…win and in.
- Aug 16, 2009
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King and Luko ruled out which makes this bet look even better.
Also like Sexton up to 6+ @ $101 on SB. Kicked 6 in this corresponding final round junk game against North last year.
Like Rachele for goals, even better with McAdam out, 2.2 last weekend
3 @ 6.20 Lads
4 @ 17 TAB
5 @ 64 SB
3 @ 6.20 Lads
4 @ 17 TAB
5 @ 64 SB
D
Del125763
Guest
Also strong likelihood, by the time Sundays game starts between Carlton and the Giants, Carlton may be in a position where they have 5th spot secured and locked, and Melbourne may have no wiggle room to move higher than 4th spot on the ladder.
In this case, the motivation factor would be higher for the Sydney Swans and the Giants to both win on the Sunday. Giants would prefer to play their First week of Finals in Sydney in some way, shape or form. I also think with 2 weeks into the Finals (with the added week off), teams that are playing in Finals with no motivation to win this weekend will be playing to avoid injuries.
I can see a world where heading into the Sunday- before the start of Swans v Dees, ladder being :
Sportsbet have crunched that into around $23.91 at time of writing.
I Initially liked this idea but blues play last game of the round now so Calton will also know how many Charlie needs (IF ANY). And if charlie kicks 2 or 3 goals it means Tex has to actually chase 11g to win the medal- which seems a stretch too far tbh.
