AFL 2023 - AFL Round 4

[balmainforever]

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Finally donuts

 

[kicksome]

Switch turned on at half time. Duncan a handy addition it would seem.

I was wrong on the geelong switch flicking call

 

[LukeParkerno1]

I was wrong on the geelong switch flicking call

It’s Hawthorn let’s revisit that statement in 2-3 weeks

 

[LukeParkerno1]

WCE saying suspend Jezza

 

[dontlimitme]

cameron deadset best in the afl atm

 

[LukeParkerno1]

cameron deadset best in the afl atm

Should win a Brownlow

 

[Fabab]

cameron runs into umpire.

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Stengle sucks

 

[LukeParkerno1]

cameron runs into umpire.

Nothing in it lol

 

[Suncraze]

2u Tom Stewart U24.5 Disposals $1.89 Sportsbet
Should cop the tag you would think

Added 1u Day +0.5/U49.5 Disposals $3.30 v Stewart

LIVE Cats -10.5 $1.90 Lads 2u

Adding 1.5u -5.5 $1.85 Sportsbet

2u Geelong 4th Q Over 6.5 Pts $1.75 TAB 2u

Happy Easter all, that's a genuine FILL. 5-0

 

[Fabab]

Happy Easter all, that's a genuine FILL. 5-0

well done matey.

 

[GROTTO]

cameron runs into umpire.

Surprised he wasnt given a free kick and shot at goal. lol.

 

[NYRB]

PointsBet Multiplier spreads for Geelong and Hawthorn. Stat Multiplier data for the last 3 years, involving Kicks x Handballs x Goals

Suggested tips using $1 staking system.

View attachment 1655512

Hawkins- No PLAY. As mentioned by alot of forumites here , he is getting older and slower now. He is now shoe-in for his usual 2-3 goals these days.

Jeremy Cameron UNDER 235- averages 4.23 handballs a game over the last 3 years. Even if he kicks a bag of 6 goals today, it might not clear. He has only clared 274 6 times out of 40 last 3 seasons.

Duncan- NO PLAY. His average over the last 3 years suggests its too high to go over here.

Isaac Smith OVER 72. Against his old side today and its a day game today at the MCG. We all know what happened from him in his last day game here.

Miers- NO PLAY. Can see Miers scoring a goal but with an average of 8.25 kicks a game and 7.05 handballs over the last 3 years, it suggests to me there is more to lose than gain possibly here. I dont see him scoring more than 2+ goals today.

Stengle NO PLAY. The spread is priced correctly and he could very well go on to have a big day today.

Close NO PLAY. One of my more frustrating players involving multis in the past. Its a no for me and he isn't a shoe-in for a goal today from my side.

Holmes OVER 45. Worth a play on the overs purely because of the low line. Can see him nagging a goal and hoping he can pop up with a few disposals. Was involved in some multis last week from my side involving him with 15+ Disposals, which fell short. So its a risk reward play.

Cam Guthrie - NO PLAY. I think Ive seen him more in the defence than in midfield/forward this year.

Rohan NO PLAY. Averages 6.41 kicks and 3.11 handballs last 3 years. He is below those averages this year. Even if he kicks 2 goals here, your probably not going to get a great return.

Blicavs- OVER 41. Big return and at 198 cm its a gut based play , given that Hawks line is small. Another reason I like this bet is he averages 8.47 handballs a game over the last 3 years. Hoping Scott throws him up in the forward line maybe for a spell or two.

Dangerfield NO PLAY. Although its a game I can see him snaring a few goals.

Atkins NO PLAY. 45 out of his 50 games last 3 seasons have been UNDER 21.

Dylan Moore NO PLAY. Can see him having a big game today but I think Cats will know his a danger and look to close him down as much as possible.

Bresut UNDER 73. Feels about 20 points too high based on averages.

AMON NO PLAY. I dont see him scoring a goal today

Mackenzie NO PLAY. Would love him to do well as he is in my AFL Fantasy team. I dont have him pencilled in for a goal today.

Newcombe OVER 38. Im going here for a goal from him , think one or two of the Hawks midfielders have to get a goal today.

Morrison NO PLAY. Dont see him scoring a goal today.

Worpel NO PLAY. Line seems about 7-8 ticks too high for me.

MacDonald- never reached triple figures on the multiplier last 3 seasons

Day UNDER 50 never reached triple figures on the multiplier last 3 seasons. Only 1 time out of 25 games last 3 seasons has he gone above 59.

Josh Ward UNDER 29 never reached triple figures on the multiplier last 3 seasons. 15 of the last 17 games he has gone UNDER 29.


Late Note: Cancelled Max Holmes OVER 45 at the time of writing as his line has moved up to 63 now.

Multiplier results, using $ 1 stakes

Jeremy Cameron -$45
Blicavs -$41
Breust -$116
Newcombe -$38
Day +$50
Ward +$29

Net Result: -$161

Late goals from JC and Breust there swung that to net a loss.

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Cameron is going to win the Coleman by 20 lol

What’s 10 plus paying next week

 

[Ohh Ok]

Jezza "Sorry to the umpire, I might give him my shoes or something after that"

 

[Checkered]

8 legger done in by Atkins stranded on 14 *

 

[LukeParkerno1]

8 legger done in by Atkins stranded on 14 *

I raise you Sicily the one week tht dumb peanut doesn’t get 20 lol

 

[freo_leo29]

I raise you Sicily the one week tht dumb peanut doesn’t get 20 lol

Didn't touch it in the last, piss poor captain, just gave up

Then sat on the bench for the last 8 minutes

 

[LukeParkerno1]

Didn't touch it in the last, piss poor captain, just gave up

Then sat on the bench for the last 8 minutes

Usually gets 26+ and can’t even jag 20…this was after Donuts and Stengle did something and Jezza 4+…you can’t make this up lol

 

[GROTTO]

balmainforever time to open up AFL ROUND 5.

Degens are itching and scratching.

 

[TryAnHit]

Anyone else remember when the Chad was an up and coming star of the comp?

Then they tried to turn the best small fwd into a midfielder

 

[freo_leo29]

GC @2.20 versus Freo for round 5

 

[LukeParkerno1]

GC @2.20 versus Freo for round 5

Can’t trust either side lol ultimate I have no idea

 

[kicksome]

Then they tried to turn the best small fwd into a midfielder

Why do so many good forwards want to make their way into the midfield. Need to play to your strengths

 

[GROTTO]

Why do so many good forwards want to make their way into the midfield. Need to play to your strengths

Rachele another playing more as a mid-forward then a pure small forward.