Analysis 2023 Draft Watch

[WalshistheGOAT]

With the rumoured changes to bench/sub rules next year to allow 5 on the bench with no sub, reckon I'd be pretty wrapped with this line up going forward


Williams Weitering Marchbank/Kemp
Saad Mcgovern Newman
Acres Cripps O.Hollands
Durdin Mckay E.Hollands
Collard Curnow Martin
Dekoning Cerra Walsh

Silvagni Docherty Cuningham Cottrell Leake/Edwards

 

[WalshistheGOAT]

Yes, but I'd be drafting Edwards first.

Edwards a much higher chance of being there at 28/26 than Collard though. Similar to how we took Harry before Charlie when we knew Adelaide was keen

 

[The Return of the Paf]

Edwards a much higher chance of being there at 28/26 than Collard though. Similar to how we took Harry before Charlie when we knew Adelaide was keen

I realise that but it depends on who we want more. I want Edwards and Moir, TBH. I wouldn't risk it.

 

[GT619]

Yes, but I'd be drafting Edwards first.

Definitely

 

[Bamboo Harvester]

If Charlie Edwards is still on the board at 22 and we slide back, I will hunt down Austin

Not that it means a lot, but PMBangers just posted his latest player rankings. He has Edwards at pick 28, which will likely be our first pick taking into account academy and f/s.

He also has Sanchez at pick 37, well within reach of our second pick.

I can only dream....

 

[GT619]

I realise that but it depends on who we want more. I want Edwards and Moir, TBH. I wouldn't risk it.

I feel Edwards will be gone before our pick , etc we would need to move up

 

[The Return of the Paf]

I feel Edwards will be gone before our pick , etc we would need to move up

If that's the case, I hope he goes before the pick we traded to North.

 

[GT619]

If that's the case, I hope he goes before the pick we traded to North.

Austin did say he rates the top end from inside top 10 to 12, so probably an indication we are looking to go up

 

[swuzzlebubble]

pick 28, which will likely be our first pick taking into account academy and f/s.

Am I correct that if only 3 GC NA bids come before our first, then we'd be at 25?
This means GC 4th NA (Graham) and Bulldogs f/s Croft don't get bids before our pick.

 

[Bletch]

Am I correct that if only 3 GC NA bids come before our first, then we'd be at 25?
This means GC 4th NA (Graham) and Bulldogs f/s Croft don't get bids before our pick.

Yep.

But if the 4 GC bids and Croft, and McCabe (Haw f/s) come in before our pick, our first pick will be 28. Our second pick would be 31 (due to the 3 GC picks lost). That's pretty much worst case. There are other academy picks, but all NGA, which can't be matched before 40.

Another way of looking at it would be to say that we have picks 22 and 25, with those six players excluded. So build up your phantoms without those six players and see where we land.

 

[swuzzlebubble]

Do we have the option to take 3 selections at draft?
Or does the need to promote a rookie prevent that?

 

[Bletch]

Do we have the option to take 3 selections at draft?
Or does the need to promote a rookie prevent that?

It's 3 plus a rookie elevation. May well only take the two though (given our 3rd is 70).

 

[swuzzlebubble]

It's 3 plus a rookie elevation. May well only take the two though (given our 3rd is 70).

Yes unless we were keen on someone like the Werribie chap who might otherwise go early rookie draft. 70 probably comes into ~50?

 

[Bletch]

Yes unless we were keen on someone like the Werribie chap who might otherwise go early rookie draft. 70 probably comes into ~50?

Yep. And there's still a Delisted Free Agency period before the draft. Possible (unlikely) we might pick up someone there.

Most likely, we take our two picks at the draft, wait and see who's left at 70, and if no-one, then look at a Rookie, or save the spot for SSP.

Third possibility is we find a way to move up the draft order with our existing picks and a future pick. In this case, might only take one draft pick and elevate two rookies, leaving two rookie slots open for either rookie draft or SSP.

 

[TerryWallet]

Going by Austin's actual words and delivery of them, i think it's pretty clear that while he would like to get in "the Top 10 or 12", he is fully expecting to not be able too. Next best option was to turn one good pick after 10-12 into two good picks after 10-12. Because he sees them as all pretty even.

Which we did.

So i think it's fairly safe to assume we will use just our two 20's picks this year. Plenty of nice talent there we can have 2 cracks at.

 

[HereComesJuddy]

Collard, Charlie Edwards and Mannagh for me.

 

[Eddie19]

Collard, Charlie Edwards and Mannagh for me.

Same!

 

[GT619]

Collard, Charlie Edwards and Mannagh for me.

Fine with me

 

[GT619]

Same!

I can see them going early though

 

[JuddgementDay]

Collard, Charlie Edwards and Mannagh for me.

Tholstrup and then either Collard or CEdwards - then Mannagh

 

[camcanchris]

DeMattia for me ... gives me Hayden Young

26

Hayden Young

Age

24

Ht

189cm

Wt

88kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

10.0

3star

K

6.6

3star

HB

3.4

3star

M

3.2

3star

T

1.4

3star

CL

0.2

2star

D

10.0

3star

K

6.6

3star

HB

3.4

2star

M

3.2

3star

T

1.4

2star

CL

0.2

2star

D

10.0

3star

K

6.6

3star

HB

3.4

3star

M

3.2

4star

T

1.4

4star

CL

0.2

2star

vibes

 

[WalshistheGOAT]

DeMattia for me ... gives me Hayden Young vibes

In terms of how they play they couldn't be further apart unfortunately. Pretty ordinary user of the footy and more of a junkyard dog type. Think James Worpel with a bit better speed.

 

[Stamos]

Cal Twomey's Phantom Form Guide: Top draft prospects' October ranking

AFL.com.au's draft guru Cal Twomey delivers his fourth Phantom Form Guide ahead of the 2023 National Draft

www.afl.com.au

 

[Sin City]

Cal Twomey's Phantom Form Guide: Top draft prospects' October ranking

I think he’s getting closer to the mark with Leake and also Ollie Murphy now.

 

[WalshistheGOAT]

Everyone I like magically goes from within our pick range to 5-10 spots too high on Twomey's power rankings of doom

I WILL REMEMBER U MCKERCHER COLLARD AND LEAKE