balmainforever
Dibs
- Sep 4, 2003
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AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 5
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
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- May 5, 2014
- 1,431
- 1,998
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- Gold Coast
1U - Jack Graham 20+ - $1.87 (Multiple books)
.75U - Jack Graham 25+ - $5.50 (TS)
.75U - Jack Graham 30+ - $23 (TS)
Attended 48% of CBAs last week which was more than he attended under Hardwick/ McQualter last year, suggesting he is getting backed in in the mids more so this year under Yze. Considering he was coming off a long lay-off from injury and would have been underdone, the increase in minutes is even more significant.
In the 11 games since 2021 that he had 40% of CBAs or more, he went 30+ twice.
Not the greatest spot, he's pretty sh*t, but WC are trash and he has a massive midfield opportunity this week, and is out of contract at the end of the year, so he will probably be trying to raise the bar throughout the year.
No Taranto, Hopper, Cotchin, Jack Ross.
.75U - Jack Graham 25+ - $5.50 (TS)
.75U - Jack Graham 30+ - $23 (TS)
Attended 48% of CBAs last week which was more than he attended under Hardwick/ McQualter last year, suggesting he is getting backed in in the mids more so this year under Yze. Considering he was coming off a long lay-off from injury and would have been underdone, the increase in minutes is even more significant.
In the 11 games since 2021 that he had 40% of CBAs or more, he went 30+ twice.
Not the greatest spot, he's pretty sh*t, but WC are trash and he has a massive midfield opportunity this week, and is out of contract at the end of the year, so he will probably be trying to raise the bar throughout the year.
No Taranto, Hopper, Cotchin, Jack Ross.
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Saturday Same Game Combo
Greater Western Sydney 1-39
Un 164.5 Total Match Points
Gold Coast 1-39
Un 162.5 Total Match Points
Fremantle 1-24
Un 166.5 Total Match Points
$110 PB
Think Freo in an upset they were fuming over that 2 to 3 touches that ball took in the dying minute
.
Greater Western Sydney 1-39
Un 164.5 Total Match Points
Gold Coast 1-39
Un 162.5 Total Match Points
Fremantle 1-24
Un 166.5 Total Match Points
$110 PB
Think Freo in an upset they were fuming over that 2 to 3 touches that ball took in the dying minute
.
D
Del125763
Guest
Not a good day from my side for the marks multis. All of them lost despite there being 199 marks in the game.
All my Fantasy and disposals predictions were off for Dogs v Bombers.
All my Fantasy and disposals predictions were off for Dogs v Bombers.
- Jun 16, 2018
- 9,178
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- North Melbourne
Jokes aside lads, punting can spiral out of control if you aren't careful, just like drinking and drugs and what have you.
If you are relatively new to this, especially if you are a young fella, keep a spreadsheet of your punting.
It's easy, just record your deposits in one column, your withdrawals in another, and update it whenever you put money in or take money out.
When you see how much you are up or down in black and white, it will keep you in check.
Some rage posting on here during the game is one thing but it shouldn't be spilling over into real life and arguments with family or whatever.
It's just a game, we're putting money on guys we've never met to kick some leather through some big sticks, usually they fail us, but we come back the next week because it's fun, and every now and then we have a win and it gives us a high.
The moment it stops being fun you've gotta walk away for a while.
When you keep track and know for a fact you are only losing what you can afford to lose, its all fun, the ups and the downs, even when shits all going against you, you can still have a laugh at the tragedy of it all, how can these 'professional' players miss set shots from 20m out that cost me a fat grand? Seriously man give me a break wtf
If you are relatively new to this, especially if you are a young fella, keep a spreadsheet of your punting.
It's easy, just record your deposits in one column, your withdrawals in another, and update it whenever you put money in or take money out.
When you see how much you are up or down in black and white, it will keep you in check.
Some rage posting on here during the game is one thing but it shouldn't be spilling over into real life and arguments with family or whatever.
It's just a game, we're putting money on guys we've never met to kick some leather through some big sticks, usually they fail us, but we come back the next week because it's fun, and every now and then we have a win and it gives us a high.
The moment it stops being fun you've gotta walk away for a while.
When you keep track and know for a fact you are only losing what you can afford to lose, its all fun, the ups and the downs, even when shits all going against you, you can still have a laugh at the tragedy of it all, how can these 'professional' players miss set shots from 20m out that cost me a fat grand? Seriously man give me a break wtf
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McCluggages Luggage
Team Captain
GWS 1-39 @ 2.03
Carlton -59.5 @ 6.50
Port Adelaide 1-39 @ 2.08
Hawthorn H2H @ $4.05
$111.15 $10 freebet SB.
Carlton -59.5 @ 6.50
Port Adelaide 1-39 @ 2.08
Hawthorn H2H @ $4.05
$111.15 $10 freebet SB.
McCluggages Luggage
Team Captain
I have all my bets marked out on a chalkboard in my designated degenerate betting computer room that runs my statistical analysis off bigfooty punting thread posts and sportsbet powerprices with charts and graphs and shit dawg.
Somewhat like Russel Crowe in A Beautiful Mind and Matt Damon in Good Will Hunting, but far less successful.
- Jun 16, 2018
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- North Melbourne
This is how I used to approach it when I first got into punting:
This is how I pick my bets now:
McCluggages Luggage
Team Captain
That was a good post. Don't lose your shit over this. I was just joking about that post with fake ***** ranting.
I took a bath tonight betting on scrub teams compared to last night when I should have gone all in on McLuggage 2+ @ 11 last night, but I am a shit fanboy, but seriously my unit size varies on a % of my balance across all my accounts if I have a bad day or run I don't wipe myself out. It's just a hobby.
I did used to use that spreadsheet template from that aus sportsbetting forum but now just kinda keep track day to day in notepad++
I took a bath tonight betting on scrub teams compared to last night when I should have gone all in on McLuggage 2+ @ 11 last night, but I am a shit fanboy, but seriously my unit size varies on a % of my balance across all my accounts if I have a bad day or run I don't wipe myself out. It's just a hobby.
I did used to use that spreadsheet template from that aus sportsbetting forum but now just kinda keep track day to day in notepad++
- Jun 16, 2018
- 9,178
- 16,432
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- North Melbourne
Has kicked 6.1 and 3.3 so far in the VFL.
McCluggages Luggage
Team Captain
I wish I had a win so I could justify a free late night UE kebab.
Absolutely spot on mouncey2franklin. Last night can get in the bin. Think I'll break for rest of weekend.
- May 20, 2016
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- GWS
alright here we ****ing go degens this weekend its time for the BIG TWIN TOWERS of carlton and geelong to **** some shit teams up. Carlton vs adelaide at the dome and geelong at home to NORF
charlie/harry goal in every Q @ 141 SB
hawk/jez goal in every Q @ 121 SB
charlie/jez goal in every Q @ 103.5 SB
charlie/harry/jez/hawk goal in every Q @ 20000 SB BOOSTED (if this wins me and BloodRet are going straight to vegas)
and then charlie/harry/jez/hawk a goal in each half @ 8 SB boosted (MORAL)
also playing charlie/harry/jez/hawk 3+ @ 10.40 SB
charlie/harry/jez/hawk 4+ @ 64 SB
and then charlie/jez combos 3/3 @ 3, 4/4 @ 8, 5/5 @ 29 and 6/6 @ 117, all on SB
might be better prices elsewhere these are just SB
LETS GO
charlie/harry goal in every Q @ 141 SB
hawk/jez goal in every Q @ 121 SB
charlie/jez goal in every Q @ 103.5 SB
charlie/harry/jez/hawk goal in every Q @ 20000 SB BOOSTED (if this wins me and BloodRet are going straight to vegas)
and then charlie/harry/jez/hawk a goal in each half @ 8 SB boosted (MORAL)
also playing charlie/harry/jez/hawk 3+ @ 10.40 SB
charlie/harry/jez/hawk 4+ @ 64 SB
and then charlie/jez combos 3/3 @ 3, 4/4 @ 8, 5/5 @ 29 and 6/6 @ 117, all on SB
might be better prices elsewhere these are just SB
LETS GO
Attachments
- Sep 25, 2013
- 15,617
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- Sydney
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- Norwich City, Detroit Pistons
I’m already on the McKay curnow every q by default but TAILED
- Aug 17, 2009
- 358
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- Adelaide
Betr offering $25 for a west coast win and Harley Reid 25+ max $10 bet
SB SGM is $15 for the same
SB SGM is $15 for the same
- Sep 25, 2013
- 15,617
- 23,638
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- Sydney
- Other Teams
- Norwich City, Detroit Pistons
Brent Daniels 3, 4. Heatmap still looked good last week
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D
Del125763
Guest
Sportsbet Powerprice for Port Adelaide v Freo
McEntee anytime Goalscorer at $4.08. He isn’t the first player that would come off my mind for goals for Port. Am aware that he could be subbed off early or may not be in the first 22 (in which case bet would get refunded) . Like the Port Adelaide win today and feel goals will be spread around.
I’m also on Charlie Curnow / McKay Goal Every Q
And
Hawkins/ J Cameron Goal Every Q
McEntee anytime Goalscorer at $4.08. He isn’t the first player that would come off my mind for goals for Port. Am aware that he could be subbed off early or may not be in the first 22 (in which case bet would get refunded) . Like the Port Adelaide win today and feel goals will be spread around.
I’m also on Charlie Curnow / McKay Goal Every Q
And
Hawkins/ J Cameron Goal Every Q
Tailed bolded. Good luck
- Mar 21, 2008
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Carlton to kick 2+ each quarter
GWS to kick 2+ each quarter
@ 2.82
GWS to kick 2+ each quarter
@ 2.82
that is a good price, the anytime normal price big also. good find
I think Mead is sub tonight
Tailed and 2+ is 4.25
I was hoping someone would offer better odds at some point but looks like we are out of luck
