AFL 2025 - AFL ROUND 0 - OPENING ROUND.

[balmainforever]

 

[Jugada]

sheesh whoever got on Day goals will be loving life!! he was 100-1 brownlow before that geelong sim game which trimmed him to 60's... now 10.00 2nd fav!! those two pbet specials looked great at qtr time.. the 4 goals 100 touches for the mids was looking great with plenty of goals and touches at qtr time, Newcombe, Heeney really died out to kill the 100 touches chances... and the small forwards 10 goals ended up stuck on the 3 it was at qtr time I think

Will Day 2nd favourite for the Brownlow has the be the biggest game one over reaction of all time. Genuine insanity

 

[pacemaker]

 

[Atavistic]

B365 has juicier odds for defenders and mids this year. 2 @ 51 for some defenders tomorrow. Hope it continues. Still no 3 @ 201 though.

 

[FootyStar#1]

AFL Dabbles Pick Em for Supercoach and Fantasy:

Bet 1:
Nick Daicos Over 102.5 Supercoach Points
Josh Daicos Over 96.5 AFL Fantasy Points
Darcy Cameron Over 99.5 AFL Fantasy Points
Coniglio Over 84.5 Supercoach Points
Lachie Ash Over 81.5 Supercoach Points

Odds: $26.50 (1u)

Happy to take those lines on N Daicos, J Daicos, D Cameron.......D Cameron is a good matchup for Briggs here , as D Cameron scored higher against him last season in their H2H. Bet 1, I took earlier in the morning when D Cameron line was 99.5 AFL Fantasy. Bet 2 and Bet 3, line for D Cameron I took at 95.5 AFL Fantasy, when the line went down.

Conigilio is getting older and scoring wise , he didnt do very well in Pre Season scoring 40 Fantasy playing 2/3rds of a game. Initial instinct was to go over, despite the numbers from pre-season and alot of games where he didn't clear this line last season. He is a tad slower but Ill back him in here as he polled a Brownlow Vote against the Pies last season. No Tom Green in the middle and the beneficiaries of the higher Supercoach can benefit someone like him. I believe of the above 5 legs, Conigilios is the riskiest of those five. But in a wet weather game, it should suit his Supercoach scoring with alot of tackles and looseball/hardball gets-would rather be on the over than under there. If Coniglio doesnt cover this line its best avoid him for any props on the overs for the rest of the season (eg disposals, Fantasy, Supercoach)


Bet 2:

Nick Daicos Over 102.5 Supercoach Points
Josh Daicos Over 96.5 AFL Fantasy Points
Darcy Cameron Over 95.5 AFL Fantasy Points
Lachie Ash Over 81.5 Supercoach Points
Lipinski Over 81.5 Supercoach Points

Odds: $25.50 (0.50u)

Lipinski To go over his Supercoach points line of 81.5 Supercoach Points. He cleared this game in last years match against GWS but surprisingly didnt clear his AFL Fantasy line of 79.5. He was the leading Fantasy and 2nd highest Supercoach scorer in the pre season game for Richmond v Pies amongst all players. Not sure if there is a trap to this bet.



Bet 3:
Nick Daicos Over 102.5 Supercoach Points
Josh Daicos Over 96.5 AFL Fantasy Points
Darcy Cameron Over 95.5 AFL Fantasy Points
Lachie Ash Over 81.5 Supercoach Points
Lipinski Over 81.5 Supercoach Points
Toby Greene Over 1.5 Goals

Odds: $40 (0.25 of a unit)

And Dabble have Toby Greenes goals line as a pick Em at Under/Over 1.5 Goals. Im going to go the over there just because last time Jesse Hogan didnt play for the Giants, Toby Greene snagged a Michelle Pfeiffer ( 5 goals). Not sure if he kicks a bag but happy to back a guy that cleared this line 14 times out of 24 last season. Seeing quoted prices of Toby Greene 2+ Goals ranging from: $1.73 $1.75, $1.80, $1.91 and $1.95. Not sure if we get around evens for that. Interesting to note is Dabble only have 2 goalscorers for the Under/Over props for the Pick Em. Maybe they know something I dont. Not sure if there is a trap to this?

Been on this forum a long time but can I just ask you an honest question NYRB, do you just take the piss with your bets on here? Your strike rate must be like less than 1%. Nearly every bet I see you discuss are utter dog shit. Feel like you must work for a bookie and if not, man you should probably give up betting if these are actual bets your placing (so should I really).

 

[Del125763]

Been on this forum a long time but can I just ask you an honest question NYRB, do you just take the piss with your bets on here? Your strike rate must be like less than 1%. Nearly every bet I see you discuss are utter dog shit. Feel like you must work for a bookie and if not, man you should probably give up betting if these are actual bets your placing (so should I really).

What I post is for entertainment purposes only. I don't guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided. Any action you take upon the information on the posts on this board here is strictly at your own risk, and I (or betting companies) won't be liable for any losses and damages in connection with the use of the posts. Im sure most of us on here are over the age and are wise enough to make our own decisions.

 

[the_big_sav]

Been on this forum a long time but can I just ask you an honest question NYRB, do you just take the piss with your bets on here? Your strike rate must be like less than 1%. Nearly every bet I see you discuss are utter dog shit. Feel like you must work for a bookie and if not, man you should probably give up betting if these are actual bets your placing (so should I really).

1% is amazing for this degen forum

 

[Del125763]

1% is amazing for this degen forum

Your strike rate must be like less than 1%.

If you can crack odds of > $200 on a 0.5%-1% chance- you take that every Sunday, and twice on Mondays. Losing 99 bets and winning 1 bet, at odds of above $150+ is a play in my book. I will admit my bets dont win on a regular basis but I have had my fair share of long shot multi wins. We all like a bit of degen on this thread. There are other forum users who post consistent profit throughout the season, doing mainly single bets or less legs involved. That might be your cup of tea?

And I want to re-emphasize, you take the information on this board at YOUR OWN risk. (I might consider putting that on my Disclaimer or footnote as Im sure there are alot of lurkers who will tail and possibly get upset if their bet doesn't get up) There is no obligation to anyone in here to post winners to please others. Im also quite happy for people to contradict and pinpoint things where the information is wrong. (i think thats what the general gist of a forum is)

And it might be an important message for punters on here there are help assistance programs if you do run into betting problems. Feel that its the right thing to mention, as I have been lingering too around these forums for a while and been betting for 20+ years. There are assistance programs in place, such as:

Gambling Help Online | Gambling Help Online

www.gamblinghelponline.org.au

Gambler's Help, Victoria, Australia

Every year Gambler's Help assists thousands of Victorians with free and confidential advice 24/7.

gamblershelp.com.au

 

[Atavistic]

Been on this forum a long time but can I just ask you an honest question NYRB, do you just take the piss with your bets on here? Your strike rate must be like less than 1%. Nearly every bet I see you discuss are utter dog shit. Feel like you must work for a bookie and if not, man you should probably give up betting if these are actual bets your placing (so should I really).

NYRB provides good analysis sometimes and helped me win 6k on marks multis back in 2023. I don't think you should be so critical of him.

 

[TryAnHit]

NYRB provides good analysis sometimes and helped me win 6k on marks multis back in 2023. I don't think you should be so critical of him.

Agree. I feel like his 2023 stuff was less crazy tho haha

 

[mouncey2franklin]

NYRB is one of the real characters on this board.

He as hit some excellent long shots over the years.

But he is clearly mad as a cut snake.

I see him as being like a cross between Plugger and Roby (in a good way).

 

[sohohoho]

There are other forum users who post consistent profit throughout the season, doing mainly single bets or less legs involved. That might be your cup of tea?

just do the tips and save the long write ups when this is the sort of analysis you have
"D Cameron is a good matchup for Briggs here , as D Cameron scored higher against him last season in their H2H"

might get more done then

 

[kicksome]

going with brent daniels to kick some sausages today, he started last year with a bang kicking 4.2 in opening round against the pies. With out hogan this forward line is going to operate a bit differently.

2+ $4.50
3+ $14
4+ $51 pointsbet

 

[kicksome]

Xavier O'Halloran just for a laugh, he bobs up from time to time
AGS $2.40
2+ $12
3+ $61 b365

 

[pacemaker]

One thing I'll remember was NRYB AFL womans GF multi for tackles at $21+. It hit. He is a degen. He doesn't post the $2 bets like myself. To quote that dog ad, he doesn't risk going for a 1 or 2 or take a slice, he risks being runout altogether.

That being said Daicos unders today man

 

[pacemaker]

going with brent daniels to kick some sausages today, he started last year with a bang kicking 4.2 in opening round against the pies. With out hogan this forward line is going to operate a bit differently.

2+ $4.50
3+ $14
4+ $51 pointsbet

Have taken daniels 2+

 

[fpm84]

Daniels 2+
Toby 2+
Elliott 2+
Hill AGS
@29 B365

 

[Jugada]

Won’t hear this NYRB slander. There is nothing better than when he does a big write up for a footy tip in the middle of the night and then randomly makes it a multi at the end with some random women’s T20 cricket match which must be about to get started

 

[tangolikelama]

Tell you what, if any of you campaigners write some dribble about me like above, I'd be pretty disappointed given we're a bunch of flipping degenerates

 

[dontlimitme]

Been on this forum a long time but can I just ask you an honest question NYRB, do you just take the piss with your bets on here? Your strike rate must be like less than 1%. Nearly every bet I see you discuss are utter dog shit. Feel like you must work for a bookie and if not, man you should probably give up betting if these are actual bets your placing (so should I really).

post some of your own bets and thoughts superstar

 

[pacemaker]

Tell you what, if any of you campaigners write some dribble about me like above, I'd be pretty disappointed given we're a bunch of flipping degenerates

And on that note this is hitting today!

Collingwood 1-24
Harry Himmelberg To Take 6+ Marks
Jack Crisp To Get 20+ Disposals
Bobby Hill To Kick 3+ Goals
Brent Daniels To Kick 3+ Goals
Finn Callaghan To Get 20+ Disposals

$452 pb

Dare to dream the impossible dream today! ------------------ >> WCE premiers 2025

 

[tangolikelama]

Pies h2h
Tobes / Hill 2+
Jones / WHE AGS
NDaicos / Callaghan 25+
O 172.5+

@48

free money lads

 

[pacemaker]

Milo Check 2+
M Brown 2+
Ian Hill AGS
Karate kick to chest AGS

$9 - b365

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Reef been playing in backline? Any chance he goes forward?

 

[pacemaker]

Perryman 1 @ $4 (TS), 2 @ $21 (PB), and 3 @ $67 (365).

Yeah I like this. He may only get one but if you split $50 - 20,20,10 he only needs to get one to profit.

Playing against old team, knows the ground, knows the players, would know game plans and have instinctive movement knowledge (player IQ) around their structure, where the space is ect ect.

 

[Robo87]

Reef been playing in backline? Any chance he goes forward?

surely not with membrey fwd, & they cant even fit schultz in the fwd line atm (based on the trial game).