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AFL 2025 - AFL ROUND 1

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Gws @ 1.84 is a great value.

The Orange Tsunami destroyed the pies without 3 of their top players. Often overlooked, defenders strangled the opposition.

Taylor, Buckley, Idun, Whitfield, Harry H, Ash. They are both tall and small. Arguably the best defence in the league.

Besides, getting rid of the cobwebs means they should be shorter on odds.
I Agree Season 3 GIF by PBS
 
Lewis Young $4 for a goal on PB. If he plays it’ll probably be forward seeing how they already have Weitering, Haynes, Silvagni and McGovern in the backline
 
Lewis Young $4 for a goal on PB. If he plays it’ll probably be forward seeing how they already have Weitering, Haynes, Silvagni and McGovern in the backline

Plus Curnow out and question marks over McKay fitness.

Not only do we need a 2nd tall forward, but I think McKay might not fit enough for choopout ruck minutes.

So Young as fwd-ruck makes a lot of sense.
 

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Anyone else think Richmond are going to be genuinely terrible this year.
Gonna have a sneaky tenner on them to lose by 100+ every week.

Should have to only hit 3 times to be profitable.

This week paying $11 on sb
 
Anyone else think Richmond are going to be genuinely terrible this year.
Gonna have a sneaky tenner on them to lose by 100+ every week.

Should have to only hit 3 times to be profitable.

This week paying $11 on sb

I think West Coast will be worse than Richmond. No ruckman, no midfield outside of old Kelly and fat Harley. Barass gone. Gov old. Allen injury prone. They've got nothing. Tigs will beat them at least once.
 
I love the unders in the Melb GWS game. Cadman was trash, Hogan and Stringer out, Brown can't mark and May and Lever will gobble everything up. Melbourne struggling in their forward line too so it'll be a battle of teams with not much potency up forward.

Melbourne mids will break even at the very least but you'd expect Gawn to dominate so they'll have the edge there. I think the Dees will win clearance and inside 50's but struggle to score, and defend their own goal well. As long as the GWS mids don't kick too many goals this one goes under easily.
 

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Cottrell 2+
Campbell ATG
Vlastuin 20 d
Acres 20 d @16.95 PB, bonus back if one leg fails.

I was going to use the SB free hit on this bet but it was only @10.50 'Trash', Id rather take the better odds and hope I only miss by one leg if it's a loss.
 
TAB free hit. Bonus bets when it loses.

Leg 1 - Jacob Weitering (CAR) 8+ Marks
Leg 2 - Nick Haynes (CAR) 8+ Marks
Leg 3 - Oliver Hollands (CAR) 6+ Marks
Leg 4 - Mitch McGovern (CAR) 8+ Marks
Leg 5 - Adam Saad (CAR) 6+ Marks
@ 41

Hoping a young Richmond side concede a lot of marks like they did last year.
 
Riley Thilthorpe 4,5,6 @12, 40, 150. Bet365. Will kick a few bags this year if he stays fit.
Both his previous 5 goal performances were early in the season, round 1 2021 in his debut game and round 3 2023.

He kicked 2 against the Saints in his return from injury round 19 last year coming on as sub in the last quarter.
 
Cottrell 2+
Campbell ATG
Vlastuin 20 d
Acres 20 d @16.95 PB, bonus back if one leg fails.

I was going to use the SB free hit on this bet but it was only @10.50 'Trash', Id rather take the better odds and hope I only miss by one leg if it's a loss.
I like Cottrell as well. Kicked 1.4 in their recent very one sided preseason game and more importantly, named in the forward pocket (lel).

$2.80 to snag 2 seems like decent value as you'd expect there to be multiple, multiple goal kickers tonight.

Also, like Docherty for 20+ disposals @ $1.94.

Last 5 against Richmond has covered 20 comfortably (25, 31, 26, 24, 26). Those numbers were obviously from a few seasons back but tonight should be pretty bruise free and open so would expect him to get a fair bit of it off halfback/wing with Newman out.

Have taken a free swing at both legs @ $5 on sb.
 

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I love the unders in the Melb GWS game. Cadman was trash, Hogan and Stringer out, Brown can't mark and May and Lever will gobble everything up. Melbourne struggling in their forward line too so it'll be a battle of teams with not much potency up forward.

Melbourne mids will break even at the very least but you'd expect Gawn to dominate so they'll have the edge there. I think the Dees will win clearance and inside 50's but struggle to score, and defend their own goal well. As long as the GWS mids don't kick too many goals this one goes under easily.
+ heavy rain
 
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