balmainforever
Dibs
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AFLW 2025 - AFLW Trade and Draft - All the player moves
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AFL 2025 - AFL ROUND 10
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
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Curnow 2+ / Heeney 20+ @3 B365 mega boost special
J Motlop 2/3 @ 4.50 / 15 @ B365
J Motlop 2/3 @ 4.50 / 15 @ B365
- Jun 23, 2020
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Any chance of Blakey getting near it? Absolute cat.
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Motlop costs me, I knew he was average but Even a single goal was to much to ask. Noticed he's scared and Suprisingly slow. Shouldn't be playing AFL footy. Last time I put the campaigner in a multi.
mozz23
Team Captain
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Get in there
D
Del125763
Guest
AFL Saturday 3 leg multi
Pies to win by 1-39 pts v Crows
Giants to win by 1-39 pts v Dockers
Rozee AGS v Cats
Odds: $10.14
Pies to win by 1-39 pts v Crows
Giants to win by 1-39 pts v Dockers
Rozee AGS v Cats
Odds: $10.14
Keays for goals. Decent in the wet and loves the G.
D
Del125763
Guest
Prop Bets I dont mind for Saturday:
Briggs Over 79.5 AFL Fantasy Points
Serong Over 90.5 AFL Fantasy Points
Bailey Smith Over 98.5 AFL Fantasy Points
Odds: $6.50 (4u) at Dabble
Taking on Serong and B Smith props, as I feel that we are getting good number. PB have Serong 90+ Fantasy at $1.30 and B Smith is $1.55 to get 110+ Fantasy. Both of those prices feel short compared to the Pick Em spread to what Dabble are offering. Serong has cleared this line in his last 3 against the Giants. B Smith has covered this line 6/8 times this season.
And a bet for these 7 props (doubles, trebles). 24.50u spread across these 6 props:
Briggs 100+ AFL Fantasy Pts $4.25
Brayshaw AGS $3.25
Serong AGS $3.00
Nick Daicos 6+ Tackles at $4.00
Rozee AGS/4+ Clearances at $4.37
Jack Crisp Goal at $3.00
Pendlebury AGS/Under 24.5 Disposals $7.21
Briggs has scored better than Jackson in his past couple of duels (104 and 97). With there being a bit of rain around Sydney today, happy to have play on those lines despite it now being a good weather game. Jacksons Dabble line for Fantasy is 96.5 and I feel Briggs is not that much lesser a ruckman compared to him.
Serong chipped in with 2 goals in their last encounter against the Giants last year and that price is a bit too big too pass up. Can get $3.15 at Sportsbet. But for multi purposes, Sportsbet dont offer Fantasy markets nor clearance markets which you can multi against. Sportsbet algorithm gives you odds of $8.00 for Brayshaw and Serong to goal, whilst PointsBet gives odds of $10.40.
Brayshaw like above, will get an opportunity or two in front of goal. Dockers didn't play that badly last year against GWS at the same ground, and Im confident either Serong or Brayshaw will get opportunities in front of goal today.
A speculative little play on N Daicos tackles as there is a bit of rain around Melbourne as well today. The same bet at TAB is paying $2.10 for 6+ Tackles, so at $4.00 happy to take that. Dabble have also pulled their tackles off , so I feel they too are unsure about the weather factor today and how to price the tackles.
Less confident about the last leg but I cant oppose Rozee in any prop based on his Showdown medal last week. Just on quick inspection $4.37 is a fair price, consider he has achieved this in 10 of his past 32 games.
The last one on Pendles is a also another speculative bet, chucked into there. This would have come out on top if invested in the 2024 season on a weekly basis. Feel like coming back managed game, coach Macrae might look to manage his minutes. Could very well end up on 30 but 24.5 line feels a bit too high for a player that is coming to the end of his career.
Hoping for at least 2 of the props to get up, the more, the merrier. I have not done a 6-fold or a 7-fold but a 7 legger for all to come through would pay odds of over 15,000.
Briggs Over 79.5 AFL Fantasy Points
Serong Over 90.5 AFL Fantasy Points
Bailey Smith Over 98.5 AFL Fantasy Points
Odds: $6.50 (4u) at Dabble
Taking on Serong and B Smith props, as I feel that we are getting good number. PB have Serong 90+ Fantasy at $1.30 and B Smith is $1.55 to get 110+ Fantasy. Both of those prices feel short compared to the Pick Em spread to what Dabble are offering. Serong has cleared this line in his last 3 against the Giants. B Smith has covered this line 6/8 times this season.
And a bet for these 7 props (doubles, trebles). 24.50u spread across these 6 props:
Briggs 100+ AFL Fantasy Pts $4.25
Brayshaw AGS $3.25
Serong AGS $3.00
Nick Daicos 6+ Tackles at $4.00
Rozee AGS/4+ Clearances at $4.37
Jack Crisp Goal at $3.00
Pendlebury AGS/Under 24.5 Disposals $7.21
Briggs has scored better than Jackson in his past couple of duels (104 and 97). With there being a bit of rain around Sydney today, happy to have play on those lines despite it now being a good weather game. Jacksons Dabble line for Fantasy is 96.5 and I feel Briggs is not that much lesser a ruckman compared to him.
Serong chipped in with 2 goals in their last encounter against the Giants last year and that price is a bit too big too pass up. Can get $3.15 at Sportsbet. But for multi purposes, Sportsbet dont offer Fantasy markets nor clearance markets which you can multi against. Sportsbet algorithm gives you odds of $8.00 for Brayshaw and Serong to goal, whilst PointsBet gives odds of $10.40.
Brayshaw like above, will get an opportunity or two in front of goal. Dockers didn't play that badly last year against GWS at the same ground, and Im confident either Serong or Brayshaw will get opportunities in front of goal today.
A speculative little play on N Daicos tackles as there is a bit of rain around Melbourne as well today. The same bet at TAB is paying $2.10 for 6+ Tackles, so at $4.00 happy to take that. Dabble have also pulled their tackles off , so I feel they too are unsure about the weather factor today and how to price the tackles.
Less confident about the last leg but I cant oppose Rozee in any prop based on his Showdown medal last week. Just on quick inspection $4.37 is a fair price, consider he has achieved this in 10 of his past 32 games.
The last one on Pendles is a also another speculative bet, chucked into there. This would have come out on top if invested in the 2024 season on a weekly basis. Feel like coming back managed game, coach Macrae might look to manage his minutes. Could very well end up on 30 but 24.5 line feels a bit too high for a player that is coming to the end of his career.
Hoping for at least 2 of the props to get up, the more, the merrier. I have not done a 6-fold or a 7-fold but a 7 legger for all to come through would pay odds of over 15,000.
Alex Neal-Bullen 1/2/3 @ 2 / 6 / 23 @ B365 - 1.1, 2, 1.2, 1 last 4 games
Lachlan Sullivan 1/2/3 @ 2 / 5.50 / 21 @ SB
Jordon Dawson 1/2/3 @ 2.55 / 9.25 / 41 @ SB
Lachlan Sullivan 1/2/3 @ 2 / 5.50 / 21 @ SB
Jordon Dawson 1/2/3 @ 2.55 / 9.25 / 41 @ SB
D
Del125763
Guest
Crisp bet comes through before half-time 
Now I hope for one of the other props to come through. Pendles had a set shot for goal in the 1st half which he missed.
Naicos is on 2 tackles at HT. With rain picking up , its a chance without getting too ahead of myself.
Ill add a cheeky 4 legger for the GWS v Freo game and Port v Geelong game
0.125u
Brayshaw Goal
Serong Goal
Rozee Goal/4+ Clearances
Briggs 100+ AFL Fantasy Pts
Odds: $148.14
Now I hope for one of the other props to come through. Pendles had a set shot for goal in the 1st half which he missed.
Naicos is on 2 tackles at HT. With rain picking up , its a chance without getting too ahead of myself.
Ill add a cheeky 4 legger for the GWS v Freo game and Port v Geelong game
0.125u
Brayshaw Goal
Serong Goal
Rozee Goal/4+ Clearances
Briggs 100+ AFL Fantasy Pts
Odds: $148.14
How is Hawthorn $1.65 favorite against Brisbane next week?
PowerfulPies2023
Premiership Player
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Goalscorer bets are for suckers. So many of you here piss your.money away each week.
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D
Del125763
Guest
AFL Fantasy props were right. +22.00 units up for Fantasy.
Serong misses a chance on the run in the last quarter to cost me a winner.
-24.50units down
Overall : -1.50units down for Saturday.
Last edited by a moderator:
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At the G and have a good record against them
S Davidson 1/2/3 @ 2.25 / 8.75 / 34 @ B365
D
Del125763
Guest
0.5u stake at Dabble Sportsbook
Must of followed a few lately haha
D
Del125763
Guest
-0.5U down. Now this was a game with plenty of Bulldog goals.
D
Del125763
Guest
I see the first two games tomorrow going unders in the totals. And tipping the Eagles with the emotion of passing of Selwood to do it for him today in an upset.
Observation of the MCG yesterday was it seemed slippery, wet and damp. Rain expected in Brisbane.
AFL Sunday Bets for me:
Richmond v North Melbourne Under 150.5 pts
Brisbane v Melbourne Under 150.5 pts
Eagles to beat the Saints
Odds: $64.15 (Bet Refund if 1 Leg Fails)
Harley Reid AGS v Saints
George Wardlaw AGS v Richmond
Melbourne +31.5 handicap v Brisbane
Odds: $9.68 (Bet Refund if 1 Leg Fails)
Observation of the MCG yesterday was it seemed slippery, wet and damp. Rain expected in Brisbane.
AFL Sunday Bets for me:
Richmond v North Melbourne Under 150.5 pts
Brisbane v Melbourne Under 150.5 pts
Eagles to beat the Saints
Odds: $64.15 (Bet Refund if 1 Leg Fails)
Harley Reid AGS v Saints
George Wardlaw AGS v Richmond
Melbourne +31.5 handicap v Brisbane
Odds: $9.68 (Bet Refund if 1 Leg Fails)
