balmainforever
Dibs
- Sep 4, 2003
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AFL 2025 - AFL ROUND 6
- Thread starter balmainforever
- Start date
- Tagged users None
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D
Del125763
Guest
Brisbane v Collingwood
SGM
Neale Under 29.5 Disposals
N Daicos Under 29.5 Disposals
Pies +11.5 spread
Odds: $6.00 (1U)
Happy to fade both Naicos and Neale in a Prime Time Football game telecast around the country. Naicos is about a 50:50 to clear this line against previous seasons' Top 8 sides from quick observation since 2024.
Both teams will have about 2-3 minute phases per quarter where they will look to hold on to possies.
BetR Free Hit- My Tease:
McStay AGS
Ah Chee 2+ Goals
Collingwood +25.5 Spread
Odds: $4.20
SGM
Neale Under 29.5 Disposals
N Daicos Under 29.5 Disposals
Pies +11.5 spread
Odds: $6.00 (1U)
Happy to fade both Naicos and Neale in a Prime Time Football game telecast around the country. Naicos is about a 50:50 to clear this line against previous seasons' Top 8 sides from quick observation since 2024.
Both teams will have about 2-3 minute phases per quarter where they will look to hold on to possies.
BetR Free Hit- My Tease:
McStay AGS
Ah Chee 2+ Goals
Collingwood +25.5 Spread
Odds: $4.20
Hellboy101
Senior List
SGM:Sidebottom, Dunkley and Fletcher 20+
Wilmot 15+ @ 3.5 - Picklebet plus the bonus up to $100 if the bet wins
Wilmot 15+ @ 3.5 - Picklebet plus the bonus up to $100 if the bet wins
D
Del125763
Guest
Live Betting Brisbane v Collingwood
Josh Daicos AGS to score a Goal in the 2nd Qtr at $10.50 (1u)
Scored a goal in the opening quarter and from time to time he is hovering up the ground around the 50 metre line to deliver the ball.
Too big a price and id be tempted to top up quarter-by -quarter.
Josh Daicos AGS to score a Goal in the 2nd Qtr at $10.50 (1u)
Scored a goal in the opening quarter and from time to time he is hovering up the ground around the 50 metre line to deliver the ball.
Too big a price and id be tempted to top up quarter-by -quarter.
Elliott 0.2
Ah chee 0.2
Bailey 0.1
Hill 0.0
Morris 0.0
W Ashcroft 7 touches
But day and big O have goals
Ah chee 0.2
Bailey 0.1
Hill 0.0
Morris 0.0
W Ashcroft 7 touches
But day and big O have goals
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D
Del125763
Guest
Live Betting Brisbane v Collingwood 4th Quarter
N Daicos Anytime goalscorer in the 4th Quarter at $6.25. 1.5u stake (I managed to get a bit better that the graphic below)
J Daicos Anytime Goalscorer in the 4th Quarter at $11. 0.5u stake
Anyone else a value play from the Sportsbet ?
N Daicos Anytime goalscorer in the 4th Quarter at $6.25. 1.5u stake (I managed to get a bit better that the graphic below)
J Daicos Anytime Goalscorer in the 4th Quarter at $11. 0.5u stake
Anyone else a value play from the Sportsbet ?
D
Del125763
Guest
-3.5u down on the Live Betting plays for Thursday Night Footy.
Im off tomorrow as I have a plane to catch, so will be back for Saturday for a hopeful bounceback.
D
Del125763
Guest
Dabble Pick Em Props for Tomorrow Carlton v Roos:
Larkey Over 4 Marks
Zurhaar Over 4 Marks
Pat Cripps Under 5 Tackles
Paul Curtis Over 1.5 Goals
Odds: $12.36 (0.5u)
Larkey, Zurhaar and P Curtis both cleared these lines last season in both their games against the Blues. And ill add in Cripps to go under on his tackles line, I dont think he gets more than 6+ Tackles in this game. From his 66 game career, he averages 5.07 tackles a game at the Docklands. If he lands on 5 and the other props come through, its a half pay-out. This season he has gone over 5 tackles this season, 1 out of 5 times.
Curtis has been in solid form in 2025 and even if he gets the Blues 2nd best defender, he should be good enough to clear this line. I made the mistake in one of the games earlier this season opposing his goals. Under the roof, on an Easter holiday....back the goals in this one.
Larkey Over 4 Marks
Zurhaar Over 4 Marks
Pat Cripps Under 5 Tackles
Paul Curtis Over 1.5 Goals
Odds: $12.36 (0.5u)
Larkey, Zurhaar and P Curtis both cleared these lines last season in both their games against the Blues. And ill add in Cripps to go under on his tackles line, I dont think he gets more than 6+ Tackles in this game. From his 66 game career, he averages 5.07 tackles a game at the Docklands. If he lands on 5 and the other props come through, its a half pay-out. This season he has gone over 5 tackles this season, 1 out of 5 times.
Curtis has been in solid form in 2025 and even if he gets the Blues 2nd best defender, he should be good enough to clear this line. I made the mistake in one of the games earlier this season opposing his goals. Under the roof, on an Easter holiday....back the goals in this one.
- Aug 17, 2009
- 358
- 529
- AFL Club
- Adelaide
Taking a piece of Durdin and Curtis 2+ @ $5.80 boosted on PB
I think both are in solid form and as permanent forwards should comfortably have enough shots in a game I expect will be free flowing
I think both are in solid form and as permanent forwards should comfortably have enough shots in a game I expect will be free flowing
D
Del125763
Guest
Bets I dont mind in North Melbourne v Carlton Easter Friday.
A mix of goals between : Wardlaw, Parker, Walsh and Sheezel. Done a double, treble and four-fold.
Double (0.5u on each):
Wardlaw AGS, Parker AGS @ 5.28
Wardlaw AGS, Walsh AGS @ 6.01
Wardlaw AGS, Sheezel AGS @ 5.68
Parker AGS, Walsh AGS @ 5.06
Parker AGS, Sheezel AGS @ 5.14
Sheezel AGS, Walsh AGS @ 5.47
Treble (0.125u on each):
Wardlaw, Parker, Walsh all AGS @ 11.63
Wardlaw, Parker, Sheezel all AGS @ 11.05
Parker, Walsh, Sheezel all AGS @ 10.45
Four-Fold (0.0625u)
All listed 4 players to score a goal at 23.33
3 Leg SGM
Paul Curtis 2+ Goals
Sheezel AGS
Over 179.5 pts
Odds: $7.50 (Bet Refund if 1 Leg Fails)
3 Leg SGM
Charlie Curnow 3+ Goals
Larkey 3+ Goals
LDU AGS
Odds: $9.42 (Bet Refund if 1 Leg Fails)
A mix of goals between : Wardlaw, Parker, Walsh and Sheezel. Done a double, treble and four-fold.
Double (0.5u on each):
Wardlaw AGS, Parker AGS @ 5.28
Wardlaw AGS, Walsh AGS @ 6.01
Wardlaw AGS, Sheezel AGS @ 5.68
Parker AGS, Walsh AGS @ 5.06
Parker AGS, Sheezel AGS @ 5.14
Sheezel AGS, Walsh AGS @ 5.47
Treble (0.125u on each):
Wardlaw, Parker, Walsh all AGS @ 11.63
Wardlaw, Parker, Sheezel all AGS @ 11.05
Parker, Walsh, Sheezel all AGS @ 10.45
Four-Fold (0.0625u)
All listed 4 players to score a goal at 23.33
3 Leg SGM
Paul Curtis 2+ Goals
Sheezel AGS
Over 179.5 pts
Odds: $7.50 (Bet Refund if 1 Leg Fails)
3 Leg SGM
Charlie Curnow 3+ Goals
Larkey 3+ Goals
LDU AGS
Odds: $9.42 (Bet Refund if 1 Leg Fails)
D
Del125763
Guest
And a bit of a lotto play as I think this happens more than 1/46 times, and having struck a $46 shot last week , I think this is not an unfathomable outcome.
Walsh 2+ Goals
Sheezel 2+ Goals
Odds: $46 (0.0625u) from Tab Touch WA who are offering better odds for multi goalscorer bets compared to Pointsbet and Sportsbet.
Walsh 2+ Goals
Sheezel 2+ Goals
Odds: $46 (0.0625u) from Tab Touch WA who are offering better odds for multi goalscorer bets compared to Pointsbet and Sportsbet.
W White 2/3/4 @ 4.20 / 13 / 61 SB - Kicked 0.3 and 1.1 in his two games this season
D
Del125763
Guest
Aidan Corr Marks Ladder
6+ @ 3.10 (1u)
8+ @ 9.50 (0.50u)
10+ @ 31 (0.25u)
Weitering 10+ Marks @ $6 (0.75u)
6+ @ 3.10 (1u)
8+ @ 9.50 (0.50u)
10+ @ 31 (0.25u)
Weitering 10+ Marks @ $6 (0.75u)
- Aug 17, 2009
- 358
- 529
- AFL Club
- Adelaide
Think I'll try Treacy 8-10 marks @ 3.80/9.50 (PB). Had 11 against Melbourne last year and May and Lever are out, so seems like value.
Thinking about Clark and Ryan too. They had huge marks totals vs Melbourne last year.
Thinking about Clark and Ryan too. They had huge marks totals vs Melbourne last year.
D
Del125763
Guest
End the Friday Easter game a little down on -0.5725u.
1 more Corr mark would have swung that to a green.
We move on to Saturday.
yep which is even more annoying when b365 has limited you to less than 50c on the market.Wright was $101 to kick 6 on 365
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- Aug 17, 2009
- 358
- 529
- AFL Club
- Adelaide
Little play on Josh Treacy 5/6/7+ @ $5/$10/$21 with May and Lever out
Edit $6.50/$15/$36 on PB
Edit $6.50/$15/$36 on PB
fpm84
Premium Gold
Some great odds for Demons goalkickers at B365 if you think they'll be remotely competitive today.
Tholstrup 3+ $71
Chandler 3+ $51
Tholstrup 2+, Chandler 2+
$126
Tholstrup 3+ $71
Chandler 3+ $51
Tholstrup 2+, Chandler 2+
$126
Yeah worth a ping on the Melb roughies.
Tholstrup 2/3 @ 13 / 71 b365 - kicked 2 and 1.1 in his last two games.
Spargo 2/3 @ 8 / 29 PB
T McDonald 2/3 @ 3.50 / 34 B365 - likely a throw away bet but Goodwin may become desperate..
Yep, giving The Dees a chance today. Either 1-12 or 13-24 @ halftime.
K Pickett 2+
J Treacy 4+
B Keays 2+
A Cadman 2+
N Anderson AGS
$10 @ $45.75 B365
J Treacy 4+
B Keays 2+
A Cadman 2+
N Anderson AGS
$10 @ $45.75 B365
D
Del125763
Guest
AFL Pick Em for the first 2 games today:
20k/hour winds in Melbourne today means Im going to fade the marks/goals at the MCG.
So Ill oppose Treacy goals
Giants highest tackling team in the comp and since Dawson has moved to Adelaide he has gone under 6 Tackles , 3 of the last 4 games. Only 1 player this season, a tackling/tagger specialist has managed to clear the Over 6 tackles- Conor Nash. Seeing some books offer $1.56 for 6+ Tackles which really represents poor value.
Under 3 Goals Treacy
Under 5.5 Tackles Jordan Dawson
Odds: $3.20 (1u)
20k/hour winds in Melbourne today means Im going to fade the marks/goals at the MCG.
So Ill oppose Treacy goals
Giants highest tackling team in the comp and since Dawson has moved to Adelaide he has gone under 6 Tackles , 3 of the last 4 games. Only 1 player this season, a tackling/tagger specialist has managed to clear the Over 6 tackles- Conor Nash. Seeing some books offer $1.56 for 6+ Tackles which really represents poor value.
Under 3 Goals Treacy
Under 5.5 Tackles Jordan Dawson
Odds: $3.20 (1u)
