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2025 Ladder Predictions

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Based on last 10 years. Bottom 4 team regularly jumps into the 8, even more so top 10. Bottom 8 side will jump into the top 4.

Data below showing how often it strikes (highlighted) along with the closest alternative.

Screenshot afl.webp

Who are the likely risers this year. I think North from the bottom 4 to top 8 and St Kilda from bottom 8 into top 4. Opening up the ladder i think the Swans are most likely to rise (minimum) 8 spots outside these 2 teams.

I'll go with:

Brisbane
Sydney
Suns
St Kilda
Hawthorn
Fremantle
GWS
North
Geelong
Collingwood

Adelaide
Bulldogs
Carlton
Port Adelaide
Melbourne
Essendon
West Coast
Richmond
 
How are Port $2.10 to make the top 10 and Carlton are $3.75?

Can't see a world where Port finish ahead of Carlton.
For one thing, they have a huge home ground advantage every second week, while Carlton play many, many more “neutral” games.

You may not believe this, but Carlton only have 4 legitimate home ground and crowd advantage games for the year, and astonishingly, their first is not until their FIFTEENTH GAME!

Port have also been given an amazing leg-up having been drawn to play each of last years bottom 4 teams, in their first 4 games. Which ought to enable them to get off to a flier and gain some real momentum and confidence.
 

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