- Mar 14, 2011
- 22,379
- 114,093
- AFL Club
- St Kilda
- Other Teams
- Leeds united, Chicago Bulls
For me it’s more looking at it from the point of view of did we select the wrong talent?Here is why we don't judge picks the right way.
The worst pick we made during that fallow period was Ryan Gamble.
Is it because he was really poor? No.
Is it because we gave up a lot to get him? No.
It's because we picked him and then he played instead of Tom Lynch.
So we judge Lynch based on his output, but he was never really given a chance because we went and got Gamble at pick 90 and then played him.
OTOH, if we treat Lynch right and he stays, do we recruit Membrey? Butterfly effect and all that.
In short, no alot of the time we selected a pretty good footballer.
We lost a number to injury.
Even this McCartin v Petracca debate. His season in Sydney had him rated as an elite CHB.
So did we potentially miss the best player in the draft? Yes. But we also missed an elite rated player - the talent ID wasn’t wildly off.
Every clubs muck up entire drafts like we did. It’s just the ones we hit we lost a number due to things you can’t predict. Like even when we made trades or built via other means, we got the short end of 3 very talented footballers in Carlisle Roberton and Koby Stevens, throw in Paddy into that lot and arguably you have lost 2 very good to excellent at their best Key position players. You lost an AA40 in Roberton and you lose Koby who was very handy.
But then you lost Jack to stuff out of our control. Gresham was broken from 2020-2022. Right on the cusp we thought we had a star.
It’s a lot of bad luck and it happened from the point that we were trying to build up not from a position of strength.
There are a lot of nuances to this as opposed to we drafted badly.
If there was an area that we should be critical. It’s that we held on too long to talented footballers and got cents in the dollar for their values - when if we backed ourselves in 12 months earlier. We would have received first rounders and potentially more.





