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Discussion 2025 Midprice Madness

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JY5165 said:
do you also have holmes or sdk? they all seem like decent options but im ending up with a lot of players with early byes
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Yeah I got Holmes and Mills as well. So, 3 outs from defense as well as Daicos in the mids from that Rd3 bye. Pain in the arse trying to navigate these byes, but I don't want to compromise what players I want too much in spite of them, despite also having one eye on them to make sure I don't have a ridiculous amount of players missing.
 
iDon said:
Peatling only 21%, could be an okay miss / correction trade. Would have to go 90+ to make money and won't be a keeper. Not sure he is full locked. Thoughts maths wizards?
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He's only $15K appox more expensive than Sanders ....and $40K under Smith

I'd prefer to jettison Sanders B4 Peatling ...and probably even Smith
 
iDon said:
Smith hard no, not in my team. Sanders is in and out at the moment, could ditch Sanders, Peatling stays and take myself another premo. decisions.
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Same thought process here .... thinking Sanders to Harcia to free up $100K
 
iDon said:
Peatling only 21%, could be an okay miss / correction trade. Would have to go 90+ to make money and won't be a keeper. Not sure he is full locked. Thoughts maths wizards?
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Average when not sub = 91
Average with 40%+ CBAs = 93
Average with 50%+ CBAs = 98
Average with 60%+ CBAs = 106

When he had 50%+ CBAs, he averaged 19 touches and 8 tackles

VFL season 2024 average (only 3 matches because he was in and out of the AFL side and emergency a few times) = 120 AF
5-rd-avg from the last 5 matches of VFL season 2023 = 106 AF

That'll do me...

The rest of the Crows mids are attack-focused. Peatling as the defensive-minded one, he could end up getting the most CBAs protecting the others and feeding them the ball. I have no doubt he'll have a couple of 25 touches/10 tackle games. I would not at all be surprised if he goes 105 and is a keeper.

Aside from a couple of days where I got spooked off all Crows players because of Sam Berry (LOL! I know, crazy stuff what goes through my mind sometimes), he's close to the biggest lock this year for me.
 
iDon said:
Peatling only 21%, could be an okay miss / correction trade. Would have to go 90+ to make money and won't be a keeper. Not sure he is full locked. Thoughts maths wizards?
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I think Peatling is for those who can’t afford Soligo, Day, Washcroft, Oliver prices.
I am putting my house on more of the $170-280k guys and I think by the end of this week we will have forgotten about the $280-390k guys like Peatling, Sanders and Bailey and all end up scrambling to free up funds for some genuine premo steak.

Or at least more $430k plus players if you don’t like the taste of A5 Wagyu.

Me I prefer slow cooking some Chuck Steak for $250k and below.
 

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stevebbb said:
Average when not sub = 91
Average with 40%+ CBAs = 93
Average with 50%+ CBAs = 98
Average with 60%+ CBAs = 106

When he had 50%+ CBAs, he averaged 19 touches and 8 tackles

VFL season 2024 average (only 3 matches because he was in and out of the AFL side and emergency a few times) = 120 AF
5-rd-avg from the last 5 matches of VFL season 2023 = 106 AF

That'll do me...

The rest of the Crows mids are attack-focused. Peatling as the defensive-minded one, he could end up getting the most CBAs protecting the others and feeding them the ball. I have no doubt he'll have a couple of 25 touches/10 tackle games. I would not at all be surprised if he goes 105 and is a keeper.

Aside from a couple of days where I got spooked off all Crows players because of Sam Berry (LOL! I know, crazy stuff what goes through my mind sometimes), he's close to the biggest lock this year for me.
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Never done such a deep dive into one guy like this.

Well done on getting this data.

Saw some similar stats from Harcia in the VFL when he wasn’t a sub for Ross the Boss.

There is a whole list of VFL players at rookie prices putting up similar numbers.

Made a rough list in a post a fortnight or so ago.

I did like seeing Peatling sneak a few goals in the practice game which gave him an uptick in my ratings.

But he has fallen in and out of my side as I try to square off the Defenders as that feels like it could be the feast or famine line. Taking almost as much money as the midfield line to get going.

Had one team with Peatling at M7 and all I could afford in Rucks was Cameron and Bryan with Boyd.
Silly SC projections had that as my highest predicted scoring team so far with between 1923-1940 Points for R1.

Then I chop it up start again with Gawn and Xerri and can’t get above 1800.

Go figure.
 
dabombers said:
Had one team with Peatling at M7 and all I could afford in Rucks was Cameron and Bryan with Boyd.
Silly SC projections had that as my highest predicted scoring team so far with between 1923-1940 Points for R1.
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Wouldn't put any stock into SC Gold projections at all in the preseason considering all rookies are projected to score between 18-38.
 
Scythe94 said:
Wouldn't put any stock into SC Gold projections at all in the preseason considering all rookies are projected to score between 18-38.
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This. Projected means absolutely nothing, especially at the start of the season. If I score my projected ~1800 I'll delete my team and you won't see me again until next year.
 
dabombers said:
Never done such a deep dive into one guy like this.

Well done on getting this data.

Saw some similar stats from Harcia in the VFL when he wasn’t a sub for Ross the Boss.

There is a whole list of VFL players at rookie prices putting up similar numbers.

Made a rough list in a post a fortnight or so ago.

I did like seeing Peatling sneak a few goals in the practice game which gave him an uptick in my ratings.

But he has fallen in and out of my side as I try to square off the Defenders as that feels like it could be the feast or famine line. Taking almost as much money as the midfield line to get going.

Had one team with Peatling at M7 and all I could afford in Rucks was Cameron and Bryan with Boyd.
Silly SC projections had that as my highest predicted scoring team so far with between 1923-1940 Points for R1.

Then I chop it up start again with Gawn and Xerri and can’t get above 1800.

Go figure.
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As Steve showed, Peatling is an easy pick IF he gets decent CBA's (50%+)

Personally I'm assuming that Adelaide promised him a midfield role to get him to join the club so he will get that most weeks. I see him as a stepping stone though. Best case scenario he lasts until the byes.
 

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Scythe94 said:
Wouldn't put any stock into SC Gold projections at all in the preseason considering all rookies are projected to score between 18-38.
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To illustrate my point dabombers, here's the worst team I could possibly come up with in order to maximise projected scores. That projected is probably 400-600 points higher than everybody's teams on here, yet it would be absolutely horrendous in practice:

1740460180326.png

TL;DR - don't worry about your projected scores, especially in the preseason.
 
stevebbb said:
This. Projected means absolutely nothing, especially at the start of the season. If I score my projected ~1800 I'll delete my team and you won't see me again until next year.
Click to expand...


sounds like my opening round last year (never to be spoken of again).
 

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