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AFL 2026 AFL Brownlow

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Our model's Round 5 Brownlow votes are in.

Adelaide v Carlton
3. S Berry
2. J Rachele
1. S Walsh

Collingwood v Fremantle
3. L Jackson
2. N Daicos
1. L Ryan

North Melbourne v Brisbane
3. L Neale
2. L Davies-Uniacke
1. Z Bailey

Essendon v Melbourne
3. A Roberts
2. D Parish
1.Z Merrett

Sydney v Gold Coast
3. I Heeney
2. B Grundy
1. J McInerney

Hawthorn v Western Bulldogs
3. J Newcombe
2. J Ginnivan
1. J Battle

Geelong v West Coast
3. B Smith
2. M Holmes
1. T Bruhn

GWS v Richmond
3. F Callaghan
2. C Oliver
1. L Ash

Port Adelaide v St Kilda
3. N Wanganeen-Milera
2. Z Butters* (model doesn't account for abuse)
1. J Horne-Francis

Predicted Top 5 after Round 5
1. N Daicos (10 votes)
2. B Smith (9)
=4. M Bontempelli, Z Butters (8)
= 6. M Holmes, M Gawn (7)

Full leaderboard and future projections at footytipjar.com
 
BROWNCROW MEDAL :tm:

Rd5

Adel v Carl
3 - S Berry
2 - Rachele
1 - Milera

Col v Freo
3 - Jackson
2 - N Daicos
1 - A Pearce

NM v Bris
3 - Neale
2 - H Sheezel
1 - Z Bailey

Ess v Melb
3 - A Roberts
2 - D Parish
1 - Z Merrett

Syd v GC
3 - Heeney
2 - Grundy
1 - Papley

Haw v WB
3 - Newcombe
2 - Ginnivan
1 - M lewis

Gee v WC
3 - B Smith
2 - Holmes
1 - Atkins

Gws v Rich
3 - Callaghan
2 - Cadman
1 - Oliver

Port v Stk
3 - Butters
2 - NWM
1 - Wilkie


Leaderboard after rd 5

12 - Butters
10 - N Daicos
9 - B Smith
8 - Bont - L Neale
7 - C Serong - Sheezel
6 - Petracca - Sinclair - W Ashcroft - Jackson - Newcombe - Heeney -A Roberts
5 - Merrett - J Steele - Grundy
Rachele will be getting the 3 in that one
 
BROWNCROW MEDAL :tm:

Rd 6

Coll v Carl
3 - N Daicos
2 - Walsh
1 - Perryman

Gee v WB
3 - J Cameron
2 - B Smith
1 - Holmes

Syd v Gws
3 - Oliver
2 - Blakey
1 - Grundy

GC v Ess
3 - Rowell
2 - Merrett
1 - Petracca

Haw v Port
3 - Butters
2 - Watson
1 - JHF

Adel v Stk
3 - Way. Milera
2 - Sinclair
1 - Walker

NM v Rich
3 - Sheezel
2 - LDU
1 - Curtis

Melb v Bris
3 - Langford
2 - L Neale
1 - Tholstrup

Freo v WC
3 - J Clark
2 - Jackson
1 - Amiss


LEADERBOARD after rd 6

15 - Butters
13 - N Daicos
11 - B Smith - L Neale
10 - Sheezel
8 - Sinclair - Bont - Jackson
7 - C Serong - Oliver - Petracca - Merrett - Way. Milera
6 - W Ashcroft - A Roberts - Grundy - Newcombe - Heeney
 

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Our model's Round 6 Brownlow votes are in.

Carlton v Collingwood
3. N Daicos
2. S Walsh
1. J Elliott

Geelong v Western Bulldogs
3. J Cameron
2. B Smith
1. M Holmes

Sydney v GWS
3. N Blakey
2. C Oliver
1. J McInerney

Gold Coast v Essendon
3. M Rowell
2. C Petracca
1. D Parish

Hawthorn v Port Adelaide
3. Z Butters
2. N Watson
1. J Horne-Francis

Adelaide v St Kilda
3. T Walker
2. J Sinclair
1. W Milera

North Melbourne v Richmond
3. H Sheezel
2. P Curtis
1. C Zurhaar

Melbourne v Brisbane
3. K Chandler
2. H Langford
1. L Neale

West Coast v Fremantle
3. J Amiss
2. C Serong
1. J Clark

Predicted Top 5 after Round 6

1. N Daicos (13 votes)
=2. Z Butters, B Smith (11)
4. H Sheezel (9)
=5. M Bontempelli, M Holmes, C Petracca, C Oliver (8)

Full leaderboard and future projections at footytipjar.com
 
Interesting aspect of these leaderboards:
  • All of them have Butters prominent - coming from a Port fan (we suck), don't think he can maintain this with us being a bottom 6 side.
  • Petracca started like a house on fire but GC boys will take votes of each other.
  • Sheez prominent also but had such a soft draw early he won't maintain
  • Looks like a race between 2 - BSmith and Naicos. Very interesting race - a play on both looks like the play? BSmith great next 3 fixutres so will probably drop more. Naicos one more good fixture left before a run of tough match-ups
 
Yeh you'd have to say Port appearing to be bottom 6 and under 8 wins will hurt butters going 30+. Can't see them having lots of honourable losses where he could get 3 in a loss.

Umps getting stats will see smith getting high 20s early 30s in all their wins will keep him in the votes. Just depends if they notice his kicking/Holmes impact.

Sheezal probably has this week to poll then thats it (geel/syd/gc/adel/freo) that'll drop him right back

Bont will lose a bit during this tough patch for dogs.

Petrecca is hard read. Theory would be Anderson Rowell Petrecca all steal votes off each other but will his goals make him stand out and get more 3s? Suns should be winning enough games for them to be polling 5/6 or 6/6 each week

Sportsbet currently have

Naicos $3
Smith $6
Petrecca $10

Would be the 3 i lean towards
 
BROWNCROW MEDAL :tm:

Rd 7


WB v Syd
3 - Curnow
2 - Grundy
1 - Bont

Rich v Melb
3 - K Pickett
2 - Sparrow
1 - Gawn

Haw v GC
3 - Newcombe
2 - Impey
1 - Gunston

Ess v Coll
3 - Pendlebury
2 - N Daicos
1 - De Goey

Port v Geel
3 - Horne-Francis
2 - Butters
1 - Georgiades

Freo v Carl
3 - Bolton
2 - Jackson
1 - Walsh

STK v WC
3 - Wanganeen-Milera
2 - Higgins
1 - R Marshall

Bris v Adel
3 - L Neale
2 - Bailey
1 - W Ashcroft

GWS v NM
3 - Whitfield
2 - Greene
1 - Xerri


LEADERBOARD after rd7

17 - Butters
15 - N Daicos
14 - L Neale
11 - B Smith
10 - Sheezel, Jackson
9 - Bont, Newcombe
8 - Grundy, Sinclair
7 - Bolton, W Ashcroft, K Pickett, C Serong, Oliver, Petracca, Way.Milera, Merrett
6 - Heeney, A Roberts, Horne-Francis
 
Last edited:
How Butters polls is going to be the most interesting this year. Take this past weekend for example. JHF should poll the 3 and then a case can be made for Georgie 2 and Sweet 1 with Butters missing out, while others will give him 2.
 

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