Take your red and black glasses off.
Melbourne need alot of things, talent is one of them, and talent is what they get with pick 2.
I'm not going to go through the last 10 years of gun players that have been picked early in drafts... Because there are too many, but I can promise you, Melbourne will not be trading pick two for two okay, middle/late age midfielders.
They just wont.
You'll get no argument from me that they are 'unlikely' to trade pick 2 HOWEVER.. let us take a roll call of all MELBOURNE's early draft picks in the last 13 years (since playing off in the 2000 GF against us)... and then lets compare whether Melbourne would prefer that player or Myers + Vince at their club, hypothetically speak, right now:
2001 - #9 - Luke Molan (never played a game) - Myers/Vince Wins
2002 - #14 - Daniel Bell - Myers/Vince Wins
#15 - Nick Smith - Myers/Vince Wins
2003 - #3 - Colin Sylvia - Myers/Vince Wins
- #5 - Brock McLean - Myers/Vince Wins
2004 - #13 - Matthew Bate - Myers/Vince Wins
2005 -
#12 - Nathan Jones - Myers/Vince Win (but close)
2006 - #12 - James Frawley - Myers/Vince Win
2007 - #4 - Cale Morton - Myers/Vince Wins
-
#14 - Jack Grimes - Myers/Vince Win (but close)
2008 - #1 - Jack Watts - Myers/Vince Win
2009 -
#1 - Tom Scully - Scully Wins
#2 - Jack Trengrove - Myers/Vince Win (But Close)
#11 - Jordan Gysberts - Myers/Vince Win
2010 - #12 - Lucas Cook - Myers/Vince Win
2011 - No picks in top 15
2012 - #4 - Jimmy Toumpass - Too early to call
So based on their prior recruiting record Melbourne have a 1/6 chance that their top 5 pick will be better than Myers/Vince. They have a 1/15 chance that Myers/Vince will be better than any player they select with a top 15 pick.
That should just explain how much of a lottery drafting is ffs. Also how very difficult it is to have an ALL youth team.. so Aish gets drafted.. who leads him? who blocks for him? who shows him the running patterns required? who mentors him? THAT is why basically no young players have kicked on at melbourne.. they are isolated in a crap team.
If I was Melbourne.. I would take Myers and Vince for Pick 2 and know that I actually have a chance that guys like Trengrove, Grimes, Jones, Toumpas, Viney etc etc might actually have some help to reach their potential.
Let us not forget that David Myers was a pick 6.. so a top 10 draft pick that you KNOW can play to X level.. that is surely more valuable that a pick that is '4 higher' BUT could turn out to be a flop...
It is not Red and Black glasses.. just statistic and common sense.. we over value drafting far too much.. especially as we are talking about 17/18 year old kids.. not like they are 24 and been through the VFL or (US College) system etc.. and you know what they are capable of.. there is still a lot of unknowns about these young guys.