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24 Years of AFL Revenue, Distributions, TPP, Broadcast $, Members, Crowds, Participation and TV est
- Thread starter The_Wookie
- Start date
Awesome wookie!
I suspect your revenue estimate is unders on account of the tv rights increase. Adjusting for contra, and taking the $80m Etihad figure as a given, I am reckoning a consolidated revenue around $800m
Other questions...do the attendances include preseason? Based on afl tables the agg attendance last year was 7.29m for the premiership season compared to 7.14m in 2011. Surely there were not 700k to non premiership games in 2011?
I suspect your revenue estimate is unders on account of the tv rights increase. Adjusting for contra, and taking the $80m Etihad figure as a given, I am reckoning a consolidated revenue around $800m
Other questions...do the attendances include preseason? Based on afl tables the agg attendance last year was 7.29m for the premiership season compared to 7.14m in 2011. Surely there were not 700k to non premiership games in 2011?
What is the AFL's financial year ? Is it Nov to Oct?
Other factor is that it is far from certain that the revenue will increase by the increase in the TV rights value...in the four years captured in the table, only one of them (06 to 07) saw the increase in revenues exceed the increase in TV rights....
Given that in every year except one (96 to 97) the AFL has experienced growth in revenue, I think it is unlikely that this is explainable by an off setting loss of revenue in other revenue sources.
More likely it is one or a combination of:
-an increase in the absolute value of contra in the new deal
-the receipt of the TV rights monies not necessarily broken evenly across the years of the deal, and perhaps even part of it received in advance on the first year
Other factor is that it is far from certain that the revenue will increase by the increase in the TV rights value...in the four years captured in the table, only one of them (06 to 07) saw the increase in revenues exceed the increase in TV rights....
Given that in every year except one (96 to 97) the AFL has experienced growth in revenue, I think it is unlikely that this is explainable by an off setting loss of revenue in other revenue sources.
More likely it is one or a combination of:
-an increase in the absolute value of contra in the new deal
-the receipt of the TV rights monies not necessarily broken evenly across the years of the deal, and perhaps even part of it received in advance on the first year
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This was the year of the Olympic games (early season, may have had an effect), perhaps, if ratings from this period are dubious, does it not bring to question the ratings data for any time prior to this period?
Anyways, fantastic work Wookie, and I have to ask the question, are you employed within the industry? or are you just a statistics nut?
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Relative doesn't really cut it. If the AFL is to get a good deal next time around, then it's the absolute numbers that matter.
Viewers --> Advertisers --> Networks --> AFL
It's not a straight line formula, but there is a very strong correlation between how the money flow goes between these, so if viewers are dropping (or more correctly, the money advertisers get from viewers) then the AFL will get less money regardless of what is happening in other sports.
Viewers --> Advertisers --> Networks --> AFL
It's not a straight line formula, but there is a very strong correlation between how the money flow goes between these, so if viewers are dropping (or more correctly, the money advertisers get from viewers) then the AFL will get less money regardless of what is happening in other sports.
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