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I've reviewed my data of the upcoming US 2016 midterm elections for the House of Representatives (since last week).
Using the betting odds as indicators of trends, the Dems have made some further progress in regards to the Toss Up seats.
In 16 seats for the Dems, their odds have reduced since last week indicating improved chances of winning those seats. Only 5 seats have improved for the GOP.
This translates into, I now have the Dems at one seat better than last week with my numbers showing 212 for the Dems and 223 for GOP.
That is, the Dems still need to flip another 6 seats.
I have 24 seats that I describe as Toss Up seats. That is, where neither party has a better than $1.50 odds of winning the seat.
Out of those 24 (Toss Up) seats, I have the Dems as favourites in 8 and the GOP in 17, so there is room for the Dems to gain seats in these competitive Toss Ups.
But not suprisingly, RealClearPolitics is once again showing extreme bias towards the Dems in their evaluations. Again, it's looking like a repeat of prior to the 2016 US Presidential election where the bias MSM are going to pretend that the Dems have this in the bag when a closer inspection of the data shows differently.
( https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/house/2018_elections_house_map.html )
When I compare the data shown by RealBiasedPolitics, they have about 20 seats leaning much more to the Dems than what other data and betting sites would indicate to be true (in contrast, I found 2 seats that were shown to be leaning to much to the GOP).
To be fully fair here, the betting sites still have the Dems as easy favourites at $1.36 to take majority seats.
I'm assuming that is pure speculation that the Dems will continue to gain more seats in the coming weeks ... especially in some of those 17 Toss Up seats currently favoured by GOP candidates.
I really hate to agree with anything you post but I am with you on this.Let's face it, this thread depends heavily on FK to correct fake news... but I'll be fairly distracted for the next week.
In the public interest, I suggest that we lock this thread until after the GF, lest people become misinformed.
I really hate to agree with anything you post but I am with you on this.
Side by Side, Go Pies.
Fair to point it out. But i doubt anyone here thinks the US have been angels. it is however not enough to change the argument which is about relativity and all world superpowers have been absolute bastards. You need to find a lot lot more to say US pre Trump is as bad if not worse then the alternative.This is just peripheral , just one massive crime that is not even well known.
I hear she is thinking of testifying at a later date,only problem is most of the people who Ford accuses of being at the party have come out and denied any knowledge of incident or even being at party.There are rumours that if the Kavanaugh confirmation is derailed
Trump will nominate Hillary to make sure that she is finally investigated
There’s a weird thing about memory - it isn’t actually that good.I hear she is thinking of testifying at a later date,only problem is most of the people who Ford accuses of being at the party have come out and denied any knowledge of incident or even being at party.
The only one that remembers incident is Ford herself lol yeah this should go down well when the Republicans rip into her or maybe she'll get cold feet.
Yeah sounds totally believable coming from Feinstein the same Democrat that sent her 20 year Chinese spy home with full pay.
Such a Woman of Integrity.
And that exact argument can be used to discredit Ford's account of events.So, people not even remembering they were at a party or what happened that night is not proof of anything.
Absolutely people don't remember that far back I don't remember what I ate yesterday.There’s a weird thing about memory - it isn’t actually that good.
Look for the Revisionist History podcast on memory.
People can’t even recall accurately what they we’re doing on 9/11. We were in London and my wife reminded me that I called her when the first plane hit. I have no recollection of that, though I vividly recall watching live as the second plane hit.
In the study mentioned in the podcast, within days of the event, the researchers asked hundreds of people what they were doing on 9/11.
Then they asked them months later, then at intervals in the following years.
Nobody’s story stayed exactly the same, though some details stuck.
So, people not even remembering they were at a party or what happened that night is not proof of anything.
And as we know, some memories stick.Absolutely people don't remember that far back I don't remember what I ate yesterday.
All the same said Lady coming out decades later saying this is what happened on the back of the Democrats Feinstein doesn't mean it happened either.
It's the Democrats going to the gutter and trying to delay the Kavanaugh confirmation because they are desperate. Probably paid her a handsome sum as well imo.
Anyhow now that she decided to come out coincidentally during the confirmation and not decades before she better hope someone remembers something and be ready for the consequences that come with it
So if that is the argument to discredit both the accused and the accuser's account of events, how can anyone take the view that it definitely did or did not happen, which would make the claim for a witch hunt seem void?And that exact argument can be used to discredit Ford's account of events.
This is just another witch hunt. Democrats playbook 101. I'm just amazed that Ford doesn't have Gloria Allred (or Allred's daughter) as her Lawyer. They must have thought that might even be a little bit too obvious for TDS sufferers to ignore ... so they just went with another Democrat/Soros donating Lawyer in Debra Katz.
Bill Cosby said nothing happened too.Absolutely people don't remember that far back I don't remember what I ate yesterday.
All the same said Lady coming out decades later saying this is what happened on the back of the Democrats Feinstein doesn't mean it happened either.
It's the Democrats going to the gutter and trying to delay the Kavanaugh confirmation because they are desperate. Probably paid her a handsome sum as well imo.
Anyhow now that she decided to come out with allegations coincidentally during the confirmation and not decades before she better hope someone remembers something and be ready for the consequences that come with it
Oh yuck.Anyhow now that she decided to come out with allegations coincidentally during the confirmation and not decades before she better hope someone remembers something and be ready for the consequences that come with it
Then it should be investigated.And that exact argument can be used to discredit Ford's account of events.
This is just another witch hunt. Democrats playbook 101. I'm just amazed that Ford doesn't have Gloria Allred (or Allred's daughter) as her Lawyer. They must have thought that might even be a little bit too obvious for TDS sufferers to ignore ... so they just went with another Democrat/Soros donating Lawyer in Debra Katz.
Former Donald Trump aide Jason Miller has been accused of secretly administering an "abortion pill" to a woman he got pregnant during an affair, new court documents show.
The court filing, obtained and reported on by Splinter, alleges that Miller had an affair with a woman he met at a strip club in Orlando, Florida in 2012. As a result of the affair the woman got pregnant. Miller is accused of then giving her an abortion pill without her knowledge or consent. The woman claims the pill caused her to lose the baby and nearly cost her her life.
He never stated exactly what they were the 'best at' to be fair.....He only hires the best people.
Bill Cosby said nothing happened too.
Saw statistics that 7 in 10 women and 1 in 33 men do not report sexual attacks precisely because of posters like you. Therefore 98% of perpetrators are never brought to answer.
Geez - the GOP is hardly the light on the hill by any event. Politics is a crapfest no matter which way you look at it, so say the GOP wouldn't have done the same thing is incredulous.Or desperate times call for desperate measures.
Political hit job from the Dems of the highest order you know it and I know it.... but good try though.
High school really! how about Kindergarten?
Democrats setting the bar lower with every passing week.
Inb4 but Trump..
Bill Cosby? How many years? Who believed them? HmmmmmmOr desperate times call for desperate measures.
Political hit job from the Dems of the highest order you know it and I know it.... but good try though.
High school really! how about Kindergarten?
Democrats setting the bar lower with every passing week.
Inb4 but Trump..