Analysis A Thread for Unspecific Footy Data

[GremioPower]

I am not sure if our Q4 struggles are as important as we tend to believe they are. At least, not in comparison with other issues we might have.

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So far in the 2025, we have played 11 games.

- The team leading at QT has won 9 times.
*exceptions: R3, loss v. ESS; R8, loss v. FOO
- The team leading at HT has won 10 times.
*exception: R3, loss v. ESS

Only once the team leading at QT was trailing at HT (R8, v. FOO). We did. We lost it.

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Our QT record is: 6-5
Our HT record is: 5-6 (-R8, v. FOO)
Our 3QT record is: 5-6
Our FT record is: 4-7 (-R3, v. ESS)

Our Q1 record is: 6-5
Our Q2 record is: 4-7 (1-4, when losing at QT)
Our Q3 record is: 6-5 (2-4, when losing at HT)
Our Q4 record is: 0-11 (0-6, when losing at 3QT)

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We have been struggling from the start most of the time.

 

[GremioPower]

FINALS: STRAIGHT-SETS EXITS

Since 2000, with the current setup, there have been 14 teams (10 clubs) eliminated after losing both QF and SF matches. From a rare occurrence in the beginning, it became a common feature since 2014.

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2001 - Port (3)
2007 - W. Coast (3)
2014 - Geelong (3), Freo (4)
2015 - Sydney (4)
2016 - Hawthorn (3)
2018 - Hawthorn (4)
2019 - Brisbane (2)
2021 - Brisbane (4)
2022 - Melbourne (2)
2023 - Port (3), Melbourne (4)
2024 - G.W.S. (4)
2025 - W. Lakes (1)

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By Ladder:
1st, 1
2nd, 2
3rd, 5
4th, 6

By Club:
2x - Port, Hawthorn, Brisbane, Melbourne
1x - W. Coast, Geelong, Freo, Sydney, G.W.S., W. Lakes

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I’ll check how they did in the next season.

 

[GremioPower]

FINALS: STRAIGHT-SETS EXITS

THE SEASON AFTER

Port, 2002: 1st/PF (QF loss)
W. Coast, 2008: 15th
Geelong, 2015: 10th
Freo, 2015: 1st/PF (QF win)
Sydney, 2016: 1st/GF (QF loss)
Hawthorn, 2017: 12nd
Hawthorn, 2019: 9th
Brisbane, 2020: 2nd/PF (QF win)
Brisbane, 2022: 6th/PF
Melbourne, 2023: 4th/SF
Melbourne, 2024: 14th
Port, 2024: 2nd/PF (QF loss)
G.W.S., 2025: 5th/EF

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Teams are all over the place. Anything can happen apparently.